Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.7 #279
Expected Predictive Rating -9.3 #316
Pace 66.3 #248
Improvement +1.5 #124

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #238 C- C D+ C- B
Defense #300 C- C F C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #189 1.12 #222 -1.0 #212
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #336 0.71 #248 -3.5 #335
Three Pointers 50% #25 0.97 #247 +3.3 #69
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #207 -1.1 #208
Freethrows 0.29 #232 69% #282 0.20 #252
Second Chance 32.7% #122 0.91 #320 0.30 #208
Turnovers 18.7% #291
Total Offense -2.5 #238

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #237 1.06 #70 +2.9 #83
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #131 0.81 #279 -1.1 #275
Three Pointers 41% #165 1.14 #336 -2.8 #303
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #216 -1.1 #215
Freethrows 0.29 #143 79% #363 0.23 #221
Second Chance 30.5% #177 1.06 #230 0.32 #207
Turnovers 12.1% #362
Total Defense -4.2 #300

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.1% #53 -0.6% #115
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.2% #245 2.7% #229
Possession Length 18.1 #262 17.5 #236
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #296 0.19 #230
Improvement -1.3 #262 +2.8 #43

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 94.5% 89.6% 98.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Home) - 47.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 21 - 62 - 9
Quad 31 - 113 - 20
Quad 44 - 67 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 305 Cleveland St. W 91 - 88 67% +2  1 - 0 -8 +6 D+ F+ A+ -14 C- F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 301 Mercyhurst L 65 - 73 67% -7  1 - 1 -19 -9 D F D- -11 F+ D+ C+
 Sun, Nov 9 148 North Texas L 62 - 64 24% -4  1 - 2 -1 -1 F C- B+ -0 C+ A+ C
 Thu, Nov 13 99 @Wichita St. L 74 - 95 9% -14  1 - 3 -13 +10 A+ F C- -25 D F F
 Sun, Nov 16 103 Colorado St. L 67 - 80 21% -12  1 - 4 -11 +3 A- D F -16 C F F
 Fri, Nov 21 308 Northern Illinois L 59 - 76 69% -9  1 - 5 -29 -10 C- F F+ -21 F F+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 110 Northern Iowa L 51 - 72 17% -18  1 - 6 -17 -8 F B C- -12 C- C+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 241 San Jose St. L 51 - 63 42% -1  1 - 7 -17 -16 D C F -3 C+ A- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 293 Central Michigan W 83 - 72 65% +2  2 - 7 +0 +10 D+ B+ A- -9 F+ C D
 Sat, Dec 6 214 Princeton W 73 - 68 48% -1  3 - 7 -1 +5 B- A+ C -5 B- C+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 355 Chicago St. L 75 - 84 84% -6  3 - 8 -26 -9 F A+ F -18 D- C- D-
 Wed, Dec 17 97 San Francisco L 71 - 85 13% -12  3 - 9 -9 +11 C- A- A+ -22 F B F
 Sat, Dec 20 46 Santa Clara W 80 - 78 5% +1  4 - 9 +14 +15 A+ D A+ -1 A+ D- F+
 Wed, Dec 31 119 @Rhode Island W 61 - 57 12% +7  5 - 9 1 - 0 +10 -3 A- B- F +13 A+ C D+
 Sat, Jan 3 88 Dayton L 68 - 70 18% +6  5 - 10 1 - 1 +1 +2 B C C -1 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 115 Davidson L 64 - 79 25% -10  5 - 11 1 - 2 -15 -5 F+ B+ C+ -11 D+ C- D
 Sat, Jan 10 79 @George Washington L 66 - 101 7% -20  5 - 12 1 - 3 -25 -10 C+ F F -12 D- A F
 Tue, Jan 13 82 George Mason L 74 - 82 16% +3  5 - 13 1 - 4 -4 +10 A A- B- -15 C F F+
 Fri, Jan 16 88 @Dayton L 51 - 78 8% -6  5 - 14 1 - 5 -18 -14 F D+ F -4 D+ A+ D+
 Tue, Jan 20 142 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 84 15% +3  5 - 15 1 - 6 -10 -1 B+ F F -9 B B+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 113 Duquesne L 59 - 71 25% -4  5 - 16 1 - 7 -12 -12 F D+ C+ -0 C+ A F+
 Tue, Jan 27 131 Saint Joseph's L 64 - 85 30% -20  5 - 17 1 - 8 -22 -3 C- D+ C -21 F F F
 Fri, Jan 30 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 89 4% -0  5 - 18 1 - 9 -1 +9 C A+ C- -10 C C F
 Tue, Feb 3 215 La Salle L 70 - 71 48%
 Fri, Feb 6 115 @Davidson L 63 - 76 11%
 Fri, Feb 13 24 Saint Louis L 67 - 87 3%
 Wed, Feb 18 169 @Fordham L 64 - 73 20%
 Sat, Feb 21 131 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 77 14%
 Sat, Feb 28 136 Richmond L 72 - 77 31%
 Wed, Mar 4 24 @Saint Louis L 64 - 90 1%
 Sat, Mar 7 79 George Washington L 73 - 84 15%
Totals 6 - 25 2 - 16 -7 -2 C- C D+ -4 C- C F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.8 11th
12th 0.2 2.1 1.2 0.1 3.6 12th
13th 0.4 5.1 5.7 0.8 0.0 11.9 13th
14th 20.0 36.1 23.1 3.8 0.2 83.2 14th
Total 20.0 36.5 28.4 11.7 2.8 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12 0.5% 0.5
5-13 2.8% 2.8
4-14 11.7% 11.7
3-15 28.4% 28.4
2-16 36.5% 36.5
1-17 20.0% 20.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 16.0%