Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#171
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#221
Pace63.4#315
Improvement-0.6#349

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#236
First Shot-1.2#210
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#250
Layup/Dunks+0.8#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#314
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#120
Freethrows-1.3#266
Improvement-0.2#280

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#114
First Shot-0.5#195
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#35
Layups/Dunks+1.7#121
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#207
Freethrows-3.7#340
Improvement-0.3#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.4% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 30.7% 42.7% 20.4%
.500 or above in Conference 30.3% 36.1% 25.3%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 14.3% 10.9% 17.1%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.9%
First Round1.7% 2.2% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Home) - 46.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 62 - 9
Quad 34 - 66 - 15
Quad 47 - 213 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 321   Fairleigh Dickinson W 88-82 OT 88%     1 - 0 -6.9 -7.9 +0.2
  Nov 11, 2022 253   @ Illinois-Chicago W 70-63 55%     2 - 0 +5.5 -4.2 +9.4
  Nov 17, 2022 169   Tulsa L 66-85 50%     2 - 1 -19.1 -9.5 -9.0
  Nov 18, 2022 61   Boise St. L 48-70 21%     2 - 2 -13.6 -12.3 -3.0
  Nov 20, 2022 56   Texas A&M L 51-67 19%     2 - 3 -6.8 -13.5 +5.0
  Nov 25, 2022 153   @ Harvard L 55-61 35%     2 - 4 -2.1 -10.9 +8.5
  Nov 30, 2022 319   Central Arkansas W 85-70 88%     3 - 4 +2.3 +9.4 -6.2
  Dec 03, 2022 117   DePaul L 67-68 46%    
  Dec 06, 2022 362   Green Bay W 72-52 97%    
  Dec 10, 2022 76   Clemson L 62-69 25%    
  Dec 18, 2022 326   Albany W 71-57 90%    
  Dec 22, 2022 79   Stanford L 58-65 26%    
  Dec 31, 2022 194   George Washington W 70-66 66%    
  Jan 04, 2023 116   @ Davidson L 62-69 27%    
  Jan 07, 2023 158   @ George Mason L 62-66 37%    
  Jan 10, 2023 85   Virginia Commonwealth L 59-62 38%    
  Jan 14, 2023 193   @ Saint Joseph's L 65-67 43%    
  Jan 18, 2023 46   Saint Louis L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 21, 2023 108   St. Bonaventure L 61-63 44%    
  Jan 25, 2023 130   @ Duquesne L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 31, 2023 74   @ Dayton L 52-63 16%    
  Feb 04, 2023 158   George Mason W 65-63 57%    
  Feb 08, 2023 193   Saint Joseph's W 68-64 64%    
  Feb 11, 2023 100   @ Richmond L 57-65 23%    
  Feb 14, 2023 99   @ Massachusetts L 62-70 23%    
  Feb 17, 2023 74   Dayton L 55-60 34%    
  Feb 22, 2023 177   Fordham W 64-61 62%    
  Feb 25, 2023 46   @ Saint Louis L 63-76 12%    
  Mar 01, 2023 180   Rhode Island W 63-60 61%    
  Mar 04, 2023 220   @ La Salle W 63-62 50%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 2.1 0.7 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 1.7 0.1 4.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 3.1 0.5 0.0 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.0 1.4 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.6 3.0 0.3 7.4 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 5.1 1.1 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 5.0 2.5 0.1 8.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 4.1 4.7 0.6 0.0 9.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.5 1.7 0.1 10.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.0 2.8 0.2 10.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 9.7 14th
15th 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 7.9 15th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.3 5.1 8.3 11.6 14.0 14.6 13.1 10.9 8.4 5.4 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 94.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 94.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 54.1% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 20.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 21.1% 10.5% 10.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.8%
15-3 0.2% 15.4% 13.5% 1.9% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.2%
14-4 0.6% 8.9% 8.9% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.6% 8.2% 8.2% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5
12-6 3.1% 5.2% 5.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.9
11-7 5.4% 4.0% 4.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.2
10-8 8.4% 3.6% 3.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 8.1
9-9 10.9% 2.9% 2.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.6
8-10 13.1% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 12.8
7-11 14.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 14.4
6-12 14.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.8
5-13 11.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.5
4-14 8.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.2
3-15 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.1
2-16 2.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.3
1-17 0.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 98.0 0.0%