Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.3 #234
Expected Predictive Rating -8.0 #289
Pace 64.9 #295
Improvement +6.3 #1

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #190 C C+ C D+ B
Defense #280 C C C F C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #214 1.09 #258 -2.1 #256
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #330 0.75 #165 -3.0 #323
Three Pointers 51% #24 1.01 #194 +4.8 #41
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #186 -0.4 #186
Freethrows 19.3 #86 71% #226 13.7 #117
Second Chance 31.4% #153 0.97 #266 0.30 #207
Turnovers 18.4% #269
Total Offense -0.9 #190

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #247 1.03 #47 +3.6 #69
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #151 0.86 #309 -1.4 #277
Three Pointers 43% #138 1.11 #299 -2.8 #290
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #203 -0.6 #203
Freethrows 16.5 #147 78% #351 12.9 #213
Second Chance 32.3% #244 0.99 #131 0.32 #191
Turnovers 11.8% #363
Total Defense -3.4 #280

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.9% #69 -0.4% #127
Shot Type Make % Effect -2.6% #214 1.7% #216
Possession Length 18.3 #278 17.7 #259
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #292 0.18 #211
Improvement +1.8 #72 +4.5 #5

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 4.4% 8.2% 1.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.3% 15.9% 35.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Home) - 40.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 72 - 10
Quad 33 - 85 - 18
Quad 45 - 59 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 325 Cleveland St. W 91-88 80%     2.2   1 - 0 -10.1 +6.1 -16.2
  Thu, Nov 6 332 Mercyhurst L 65-73 81%     -6.7   1 - 1 -21.5 -10.5 -11.2
  Sun, Nov 9 138 North Texas L 62-64 30%     -3.8   1 - 2 -0.8 -0.7 -0.2
  Thu, Nov 13 94 @Wichita St. L 74-95 12%     -13.8   1 - 3 -12.3 +9.7 -23.5
  Sun, Nov 16 90 Colorado St. L 67-80 24%     -11.9   1 - 4 -9.7 +2.6 -14.4
  Fri, Nov 21 320 Northern Illinois L 59-76 79%     -8.5   1 - 5 -29.7 -12.2 -19.8
  Tue, Nov 25 92 Northern Iowa L 51-72 17%     -17.5   1 - 6 -15.1 -7.2 -10.7
  Wed, Nov 26 194 San Jose St. L 51-63 42%     -1.2   1 - 7 -14.1 -14.7 -1.8
  Tue, Dec 2 330 Central Michigan W 83-72 81%     1.9   2 - 7 -2.4 +8.1 -9.8
  Sat, Dec 6 236 Princeton W 73-68 62%     -0.8   3 - 7 -2.5 +5.6 -7.6
  Sun, Dec 14 337 Chicago St. L 75-84 83%     -6.2   3 - 8 -23.3 -8.0 -15.0
  Wed, Dec 17 95 San Francisco L 71-85 18%     -12.3   3 - 9 -8.4 +12.5 -23.0
  Sat, Dec 20 68 Santa Clara W 80-78 12%     1.0   4 - 9 +10.4 +12.4 -2.0
  Wed, Dec 31 129 @Rhode Island W 61-57 19%     7.1   5 - 9 1 - 0 +8.9 -2.7 +11.9
  Sat, Jan 3 77 Dayton L 68-70 20%     6.0   5 - 10 1 - 1 +2.5 +2.2 +0.1
  Wed, Jan 7 139 Davidson L 68-71 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 66 @George Washington L 70-86 7%    
  Tue, Jan 13 93 George Mason L 67-74 26%    
  Fri, Jan 16 77 @Dayton L 63-78 9%    
  Tue, Jan 20 114 @St. Bonaventure L 66-77 16%    
  Sat, Jan 24 122 Duquesne L 75-79 36%    
  Tue, Jan 27 199 Saint Joseph's W 71-70 55%    
  Fri, Jan 30 45 @Virginia Commonwealth L 67-86 4%    
  Tue, Feb 3 232 La Salle W 71-68 60%    
  Fri, Feb 6 139 @Davidson L 65-74 22%    
  Fri, Feb 13 35 Saint Louis L 71-86 9%    
  Wed, Feb 18 184 @Fordham L 64-70 30%    
  Sat, Feb 21 199 @Saint Joseph's L 68-73 33%    
  Sat, Feb 28 123 Richmond L 72-76 36%    
  Wed, Mar 4 35 @Saint Louis L 68-89 3%    
  Sat, Mar 7 66 George Washington L 73-83 18%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 5th
6th 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.7 6th
7th 0.2 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.9 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 2.7 0.5 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 4.4 1.5 0.1 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.5 6.2 3.5 0.2 11.4 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 6.9 6.3 0.9 0.0 15.2 11th
12th 0.0 1.2 6.5 8.9 2.1 0.0 18.8 12th
13th 0.0 1.4 6.9 9.1 3.4 0.1 20.9 13th
14th 1.6 5.0 6.0 2.2 0.2 14.9 14th
Total 1.6 6.4 14.1 18.9 21.0 16.5 11.1 6.2 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 5.0% 5.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.3% 1.7% 1.7% 13.0 0.0 0.3
10-8 1.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 1.2
9-9 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 2.8
8-10 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2
7-11 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 16.5% 16.5
5-13 21.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.9
4-14 18.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.9
3-15 14.1% 14.1
2-16 6.4% 6.4
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%