IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+4.0	#108
Expected Predictive Rating	+6.5	#47

Pace	67.0	#227
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.0	#93

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.1	#126

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.2%	7.3%	2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	2.2%	2.3%	0.3%
Average Seed	10.4	10.4	11.5

.500 or above	66.5%	67.1%	32.2%
.500 or above in Conference	53.5%	54.0%	27.5%
Conference Champion	5.4%	5.5%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	6.4%	6.2%	14.4%

First Four	1.3%	1.3%	0.3%
First Round	6.5%	6.6%	2.7%
Second Round	1.9%	2.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mercyhurst (Home) - 98.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	1 - 3	1 - 3
Quad 2	3 - 5	4 - 9
Quad 3	6 - 4	10 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 1	18 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	222	Cleveland St.	W	91-88	84%	1 - 0			-3.5	+11.7	-15.2
Nov 06, 2025	361	Mercyhurst	W	78-56	98%
Nov 09, 2025	98	@ North Texas	L	61-65	36%
Nov 13, 2025	124	@ Wichita St.	L	72-73	45%
Nov 16, 2025	74	Colorado St.	L	70-71	49%
Nov 21, 2025	306	Northern Illinois	W	81-66	91%
Nov 25, 2025	109	Northern Iowa	W	69-68	51%
Dec 02, 2025	275	Central Michigan	W	78-65	88%
Dec 06, 2025	176	Princeton	W	74-66	76%
Dec 14, 2025	347	Chicago St.	W	82-63	95%
Dec 17, 2025	73	@ San Francisco	L	69-75	29%
Dec 20, 2025	97	Santa Clara	L	73-74	46%
Dec 31, 2025	128	@ Rhode Island	L	74-75	47%
Jan 03, 2026	59	Dayton	L	69-71	42%
Jan 07, 2026	140	Davidson	W	73-67	70%
Jan 10, 2026	79	@ George Washington	L	68-74	30%
Jan 13, 2026	89	George Mason	W	67-66	54%
Jan 16, 2026	59	@ Dayton	L	66-74	24%
Jan 20, 2026	115	@ St. Bonaventure	L	66-68	42%
Jan 24, 2026	110	Duquesne	W	70-67	61%
Jan 27, 2026	116	Saint Joseph's	W	74-70	63%
Jan 30, 2026	57	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	67-76	24%
Feb 03, 2026	193	La Salle	W	77-68	77%
Feb 06, 2026	140	@ Davidson	W	71-70	50%
Feb 13, 2026	70	Saint Louis	L	72-73	49%
Feb 18, 2026	170	@ Fordham	W	76-74	56%
Feb 21, 2026	116	@ Saint Joseph's	L	71-73	43%
Feb 28, 2026	129	Richmond	W	70-65	66%
Mar 04, 2026	70	@ Saint Louis	L	69-76	29%
Mar 07, 2026	79	George Washington	W	72-71	50%
Projected Record						17 - 13	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.9	1.6	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.1		5.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.5	2.6	1.7	0.5	0.1				6.6	2nd
3rd											0.2	1.8	3.2	1.8	0.4	0.0					7.4	3rd
4th										0.1	1.4	4.1	2.2	0.4	0.0						8.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.9	3.9	3.1	0.5	0.0							8.4	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	3.2	4.0	0.8	0.0								8.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	2.3	4.7	1.6	0.1									8.7	7th
8th							0.0	1.2	4.3	2.6	0.2										8.3	8th
9th						0.0	0.7	3.5	3.4	0.5	0.0										8.2	9th
10th					0.0	0.4	2.4	3.8	0.9	0.0											7.6	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	1.9	3.5	1.5	0.1												7.3	11th
12th			0.0	0.3	1.4	2.9	1.9	0.3													6.8	12th
13th		0.1	0.4	1.4	2.1	1.4	0.3														5.5	13th
14th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.2	0.6	0.2															3.4	14th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.3	2.9	4.3	6.8	8.8	10.4	11.4	11.9	11.3	10.1	7.6	5.7	3.7	2.1	0.8	0.3	0.1			Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	91.1%	0.8		0.6	0.1
15-3	74.9%	1.6		1.0	0.5	0.0
14-4	42.6%	1.6		0.6	0.7	0.3	0.0
13-5	15.2%	0.9		0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1
12-6	2.6%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.4%	5.4		2.8	1.7	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0
17-1	0.3%		86.7%	48.3%	38.3%	7.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		74.2%
16-2	0.8%		66.3%	30.8%	35.5%	8.9					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.3		51.3%
15-3	2.1%		53.0%	26.7%	26.3%	9.8						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.0					1.0		35.8%
14-4	3.7%		34.7%	20.7%	13.9%	10.3							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.0	0.0				2.4		17.6%
13-5	5.7%		19.9%	14.2%	5.7%	10.7									0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	0.1	0.0				4.6		6.7%
12-6	7.6%		13.5%	11.4%	2.2%	11.1										0.0	0.1	0.7	0.2	0.0				6.5		2.5%
11-7	10.1%		8.0%	7.2%	0.8%	11.3										0.0	0.0	0.5	0.3	0.0				9.3		0.9%
10-8	11.3%		4.2%	3.9%	0.4%	11.4											0.0	0.3	0.2	0.0				10.8		0.4%
9-9	11.9%		2.1%	2.1%		11.8											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			11.6
8-10	11.4%		0.9%	0.9%		12.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.3
7-11	10.4%		1.1%	1.1%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.3
6-12	8.8%		0.2%	0.2%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	8.8
5-13	6.8%		0.1%	0.1%		13.5														0.0	0.0			6.7
4-14	4.3%																							4.3
3-15	2.9%																							2.9
2-16	1.3%																							1.3
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		7.2%	5.1%	2.1%	10.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.6	1.4	3.3	1.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	92.8		2.2%