Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.0 285
Expected Predictive Rating -8.4 304
Pace 66.5 239
Improvement +2.0 104

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 256 C- C- D+ C- B
Defense D+ 290 C- C F+ C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 206 C- 56% 228 -1.2 228
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 340 C 38% 176 -3.3 334
Three Pointers 50% 23 C- 32% 243 +3.8 65
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 53 C- -1.8 235
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 200
Second Chance C+ 32.0% 140 D 0.93 311 C- 0.30 210
Turnovers D+ 18.7% 300
Freethrows C 0.30 194 D- 68% 322 C- 0.20 247
Total Offense D+ -3.1 256

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 243 B 53% 60 -2.9 83
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 138 D 42% 310 +1.2 287
Three Pointers 42% 149 F+ 39% 346 +3.3 320
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 124 D+ +1.9 251
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 231
Second Chance C+ 29.7% 152 C- 1.05 218 C 0.31 183
Turnovers F+ 12.8% 354
Freethrows B- 0.28 108 F 78% 362 C 0.22 184
Total Defense D+ -3.9 290

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 271 17.4 204
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 299 0.19 234
Improvement -1.5 #264 +3.5 #33

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 96% 87% 98%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 16.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 31 - 123 - 21
Quad 44 - 57 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 311 Cleveland St. W 91 - 88 68% +2  66% 1 - 0 D -9 C+ +3 D F+ A F -11 C- F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 297 Mercyhurst L 65 - 73 64% -7  13% 1 - 1 F -19 F -11 D- F D D- -8 F C- B-
 Sun, Nov 9 130 North Texas L 62 - 64 20% -4  21% 1 - 2 C -0 D+ -4 F D+ B+ B- +3 C+ A+ C+
 Thu, Nov 13 95 @Wichita St. L 74 - 95 8% -14  6% 1 - 3 D- -13 A- +9 A+ F+ C F -23 D F F
 Sun, Nov 16 100 Colorado St. L 67 - 80 19% -12  0% 1 - 4 D -11 C +1 A D F F -14 C- F F+
 Fri, Nov 21 328 Northern Illinois L 59 - 76 74% -9  12% 1 - 5 F -31 F -12 D+ F F+ F -21 F F F
 Tue, Nov 25 90 Northern Iowa L 51 - 72 12% -18  0% 1 - 6 F+ -15 F -11 F B C- D- -8 C B- F
 Wed, Nov 26 240 San Jose St. L 51 - 63 40% -1  45% 1 - 7 F+ -16 F -18 D+ C F C -0 C A- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 271 Central Michigan W 83 - 72 59% +2  55% 2 - 7 C+ +2 B +6 D A- A- D+ -4 D C D
 Sat, Dec 6 244 Princeton W 73 - 68 52% -1  40% 3 - 7 C- -3 C +1 B- A+ C- C- -3 B- C+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 352 Chicago St. L 75 - 84 82% -6  12% 3 - 8 F -26 F -11 F A+ F F -14 D- C- F+
 Wed, Dec 17 113 San Francisco L 71 - 85 17% -12  2% 3 - 9 D -11 B +7 D B+ A F -20 F B- F
 Sat, Dec 20 44 Santa Clara W 80 - 78 5% +1  61% 4 - 9 B+ +14 A +11 A+ D- A+ B- +3 A+ F+ F+
 Wed, Dec 31 124 @Rhode Island W 61 - 57 12% +7  85% 5 - 9 1 - 0 B +10 D -6 A- B F A+ +16 A+ C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 91 Dayton L 68 - 70 18% +6  79% 5 - 10 1 - 1 C +1 C- -1 B+ C C C+ +2 A+ B- F
 Wed, Jan 7 111 Davidson L 64 - 79 24% -10  0% 5 - 11 1 - 2 F+ -15 F+ -8 F+ B C+ D- -7 D+ C- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 79 @George Washington L 66 - 101 6% -20  0% 5 - 12 1 - 3 F -25 F -12 C+ F F F+ -9 D- A F
 Tue, Jan 13 99 George Mason L 74 - 82 19% +3  75% 5 - 13 1 - 4 D+ -6 B+ +8 A A- B F -14 C F F
 Fri, Jan 16 91 @Dayton L 51 - 78 8% -6  22% 5 - 14 1 - 5 F -18 F -17 F D F C- -2 D+ A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 20 135 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 84 14% +3  69% 5 - 15 1 - 6 D -9 D -4 B+ F F D -6 B+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 104 Duquesne L 59 - 71 22% -4  11% 5 - 16 1 - 7 D -11 F -14 F D+ B- B- +3 C+ A D
 Tue, Jan 27 138 Saint Joseph's L 64 - 85 30% -20  0% 5 - 17 1 - 8 F -23 D -5 C- D C F -19 F F F
 Fri, Jan 30 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 89 4% -0  44% 5 - 18 1 - 9 C +0 B+ +7 B- A D D- -8 C C F
 Tue, Feb 3 221 La Salle W 71 - 61 47% +1  48% 6 - 18 2 - 9 C+ +4 D -4 D+ B+ D A- +8 B- A+ C
 Fri, Feb 6 111 @Davidson L 64 - 84 11% -16  0% 6 - 19 2 - 10 D- -14 C- -1 A C F F -15 F A+ D
 Fri, Feb 13 22 Saint Louis L 59 - 86 4% -12  1% 6 - 20 2 - 11 D- -13 F -12 C+ F C+ C -1 D+ B- B+
 Wed, Feb 18 151 @Fordham L 62 - 72 17%
 Sat, Feb 21 138 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 76 14%
 Sat, Feb 28 131 Richmond L 71 - 77 29%
 Wed, Mar 4 22 @Saint Louis L 64 - 91 1%
 Sat, Mar 7 79 George Washington L 72 - 83 15%
Totals 7 - 24 3 - 15 -7 D+ -3 D- C- B D+ -4 C- D- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C C- C- 38% 22% 50% B C- C+ D C- D+ C D- C- D+ B D F+ D+ 37% 22% 42% C+ C- C+ C- C F+ B- F C
1.04 56% 38% 32% -2 +1 1.00 32% 0.9 .30 19% .30 68% .20 1.14 53% 42% 39% +2 0 1.05 30% 1.0 .31 13% .28 78% .24
Nov
3		 Cleveland St. C+ F+ A B- D- 34% 7% 59% B D F+ D+ F+ A A C- A- F B+ F C+ D+ 32% 21% 46% B- C- F B+ F C+ F+ F F
1.27 53% 50% 36% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.0 .29 10% .39 76% .29 1.22 50% 67% 35% +4 -1 1.09 50% 0.9 .44 19% .40 91% .36
Nov
6		 Mercyhurst F D+ F D- F+ 45% 6% 49% B+ D- D- F F D B+ B- A- D- B F D F+ 40% 22% 38% F F D- B C- B- F D F
0.96 55% 0% 29% -7 +2 0.92 27% 0.7 .19 21% .43 74% .32 1.08 50% 60% 35% +2 0 1.07 31% 1.0 .31 18% .38 76% .29
Nov
9		 North Texas D+ D+ F F F 39% 11% 50% A- F B- F D+ B+ A+ D+ A+ B- C A+ D+ C+ 50% 21% 29% C+ C+ C- A+ A+ C+ F F F
0.94 53% 20% 18% -16 +1 0.73 36% 0.8 .30 20% .59 68% .40 0.97 57% 11% 33% -6 +1 0.90 35% 0.5 .16 18% .50 81% .41
Nov
13		 Wichita St. A- B F A+ A 40% 17% 44% A- A+ B F F+ C B+ A+ A+ F B- A+ F D- 33% 18% 49% C D B- F F F C+ C- C+
1.13 63% 13% 48% +7 +1 1.17 32% 0.5 .15 17% .33 83% .28 1.46 53% 10% 46% +2 0 1.07 37% 1.6 .58 3% .30 68% .21
Nov
16		 Colorado St. C C A+ A- A- 32% 8% 61% A- A C+ F D F A+ C A+ F A+ F F C- 29% 16% 56% B- C- F F+ F F+ D- F F
1.11 58% 67% 39% +7 +1 1.18 29% 0.9 .25 22% .47 68% .32 1.33 46% 57% 44% +8 0 1.18 40% 1.3 .50 15% .37 84% .31
Nov
21		 Northern Illinois F D- F A- D 45% 6% 49% B+ D+ F+ F F F+ F F F F C- B- F F 32% 12% 56% B- F F C- F F A+ F A
0.96 52% 0% 39% -1 +2 1.04 24% 0.9 .21 21% .14 57% .08 1.24 56% 33% 43% +6 +1 1.16 46% 0.8 .38 16% .19 80% .16
Nov
25		 Northern Iowa F F F C F 34% 16% 50% C+ F A- C+ B C- B- F C- D- C+ C- F+ D+ 27% 23% 50% A+ C A+ F B- F C B- C
0.83 20% 29% 32% -16 0 0.70 32% 0.9 .29 18% .30 60% .18 1.17 57% 42% 38% +4 -1 1.08 12% 1.8 .21 5% .26 67% .17
Nov
26		 San Jose St. F D+ D- C+ D+ 34% 17% 49% C- D+ D+ B C F C- F F+ C B F A+ C+ 36% 29% 36% C- C C- A+ A- D- D B D+
0.87 58% 33% 35% 0 0 1.03 32% 1.3 .41 36% .27 60% .16 1.08 50% 62% 25% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.7 .24 12% .33 71% .23
Dec
2		 Central Michigan B B- D+ F D- 43% 14% 43% C+ D D A+ A- A- A+ C A+ D+ D+ F C F+ 42% 33% 25% B- D A+ F C D D+ F D-
1.25 63% 33% 26% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.7 .53 12% .57 70% .39 1.08 60% 50% 33% +5 -1 1.08 17% 1.8 .31 15% .30 76% .23
Dec
6		 Princeton C A F F C+ 48% 9% 43% A- B- D+ A+ A+ C- A+ F+ A+ C- B D+ B B- 30% 13% 57% C- B- C- B C+ F B F D+
1.14 71% 25% 26% 0 +2 1.07 25% 2.1 .54 14% .47 65% .31 1.06 50% 43% 30% -5 0 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 8% .27 94% .25
Dec
14		 Chicago St. F F F F F 23% 4% 72% C F A+ C+ A+ F B+ F C- F D B F F+ 33% 40% 27% B- D- F A C- F+ F F F
1.04 45% 0% 26% -13 +1 0.79 51% 1.1 .58 24% .40 64% .25 1.16 59% 33% 43% +2 -3 1.00 39% 0.7 .28 12% .46 90% .41
Dec
17		 San Francisco B A F F D- 47% 19% 35% B D B B B+ A A+ C A+ F A F F F 33% 16% 51% C F A F B- F F B- F
1.17 70% 13% 20% -6 +1 0.91 32% 1.2 .38 8% .59 73% .43 1.40 47% 71% 52% +15 0 1.33 25% 1.3 .32 7% .46 69% .32
Dec
20		 Santa Clara A D A+ A A+ 28% 15% 57% D+ A+ C F D- A+ B+ A- A B- A+ F B+ A+ 38% 20% 42% B- A+ C- F F+ F+ D- D- F+
1.18 54% 86% 38% +10 0 1.22 30% 0.8 .22 13% .39 78% .31 1.15 43% 55% 30% -5 0 0.93 39% 1.3 .50 12% .30 78% .23
Dec
31		 Rhode Island D D+ A+ A A- 44% 8% 49% B+ A- A+ F B F F A+ D A+ A+ C A+ A+ 38% 21% 40% B A+ D+ B C+ C- B C+ B
0.93 53% 67% 42% +6 +2 1.18 46% 0.8 .38 37% .24 90% .22 0.87 44% 40% 21% -13 0 0.77 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 71% .22
Jan
3		 Dayton C- D A+ C B 41% 12% 47% A- B+ A+ F C C F F F C+ A A+ A+ A+ 49% 10% 41% D A+ A F B- F C F D+
1.01 50% 83% 35% +3 +1 1.10 43% 0.7 .30 22% .10 60% .06 1.04 50% 20% 25% -11 +2 0.84 21% 1.4 .29 9% .41 84% .34
Jan
7		 Davidson F+ F A+ F F 50% 13% 38% A+ F+ B B- B C+ A F B- D- A+ F F D+ 32% 16% 52% D+ D+ C C- C- D+ C- B- C
0.96 42% 67% 22% -11 +2 0.83 35% 1.1 .38 18% .39 57% .22 1.19 31% 75% 46% +7 0 1.16 31% 1.1 .34 15% .30 65% .19
Jan
10		 George Washington F A+ C- F C+ 32% 11% 57% B- C+ B- F F F D- F F F+ C F F D- 40% 5% 55% C D- B- A+ A F B- F D
0.86 82% 33% 27% +1 +1 1.06 33% 0.4 .14 26% .21 50% .11 1.32 60% 67% 41% +8 +2 1.23 34% 0.8 .29 10% .28 95% .26
Jan
13		 George Mason B+ A- A+ F+ A- 50% 8% 42% A+ A C+ A+ A- B A F C F B B F C- 43% 32% 26% B+ C F F F F F D- F
1.17 68% 75% 29% +5 +2 1.16 29% 1.3 .36 14% .33 56% .18 1.29 55% 33% 50% +3 -1 1.06 43% 1.4 .60 11% .46 77% .35
Jan
16		 Dayton F F F F F 43% 20% 36% B F A- F D F C+ F D C- C+ A F D 37% 18% 45% B D+ A A+ A+ C- F+ D+ F
0.75 42% 22% 25% -15 0 0.73 37% 0.6 .23 28% .32 56% .18 1.14 58% 22% 43% +4 0 1.10 21% 0.7 .15 16% .49 79% .38
Jan
20		 St. Bonaventure D B F A+ B+ 35% 13% 52% B- B+ C- F F F C D C- D B- A+ D- B+ 32% 27% 41% B B+ A+ F B+ F D+ F F
1.02 65% 17% 44% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.2 .06 23% .28 73% .21 1.22 56% 27% 39% -1 -1 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 6% .31 95% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Duquesne F B- F F F 33% 17% 50% B- F F A+ D+ B- C- C+ C B- B- A- F C 43% 15% 43% B- C+ A+ F+ A D D+ B C-
0.87 63% 25% 21% -11 0 0.81 18% 1.3 .24 16% .33 74% .25 1.05 55% 29% 40% +1 +1 1.06 16% 1.2 .19 15% .38 68% .26
Jan
27		 Saint Joseph's D B- C+ D C 19% 25% 57% D C- B- F D C D+ B C- F F B F+ F 44% 18% 38% C F C+ F F F A+ A+ A+
0.97 60% 38% 30% -3 -2 0.92 35% 0.7 .26 15% .20 73% .14 1.29 75% 30% 38% +8 +1 1.20 32% 1.8 .57 12% .10 50% .05
Jan
30		 Virginia Commonwealth B+ C- F B+ C+ 48% 12% 40% A- B- A A- A D C- D C- D- D A+ C- C 38% 13% 48% C+ C B- D C F F F F
1.10 52% 17% 38% -3 +2 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 19% .29 69% .20 1.31 65% 29% 36% +3 +1 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 10% .47 83% .39
Feb
3		 La Salle D D+ A+ D D 33% 4% 63% B+ D+ D+ A+ B+ D A+ F A+ A- A+ F B- C+ 38% 28% 34% B- B- A+ B+ A+ C C B C+
1.04 53% 50% 31% -4 +2 0.98 26% 1.6 .42 19% .45 60% .27 0.90 39% 54% 31% -4 -1 0.91 18% 0.8 .15 18% .34 68% .23
Feb
6		 Davidson C- C A A+ A 46% 20% 34% A- A B- D C F A+ F A- F F F F F 30% 21% 49% C+ F B- A+ A+ D A F B+
1.02 58% 50% 43% +7 +1 1.17 34% 0.9 .31 24% .44 57% .25 1.34 75% 64% 46% +19 -1 1.40 28% 0.6 .16 14% .19 80% .15
Feb
13		 Saint Louis F D- A+ D+ B- 21% 15% 64% C C+ F F F C+ D+ F F C A- F F D+ 45% 5% 50% C D+ C+ B- B- B+ A+ D+ A+
0.81 45% 50% 29% -5 -1 0.91 15% 0.3 .05 15% .29 50% .15 1.18 52% 67% 50% +11 +2 1.29 31% 1.0 .31 19% .14 75% .10



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.3 1.7 1.0 0.0 3.0 12th
13th 6.9 6.8 0.8 14.5 13th
14th 43.9 32.2 5.9 0.2 82.1 14th
Total 43.9 39.4 14.4 2.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13 2.3% 2.3
4-14 14.4% 14.4
3-15 39.4% 39.4
2-16 43.9% 43.9
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 35.2%