Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#178
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#122
Pace67.9#216
Improvement+0.7#122

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#164
First Shot-2.8#261
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#29
Layup/Dunks+5.6#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#337
Freethrows-0.7#224
Improvement+0.6#121

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#202
First Shot+0.7#149
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#308
Layups/Dunks+2.7#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#324
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#260
Freethrows+2.7#40
Improvement+0.1#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 3.1% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.3 14.0
.500 or above 43.6% 68.2% 41.2%
.500 or above in Conference 30.8% 45.9% 29.4%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.9% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 17.7% 11.8% 18.3%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round1.5% 3.1% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 8.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 35 - 66 - 14
Quad 48 - 214 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 337   Central Connecticut St. W 81-70 90%     1 - 0 -3.4 +1.5 -5.0
  Nov 09, 2023 302   Fairfield W 93-80 83%     2 - 0 +2.2 +5.4 -4.6
  Nov 14, 2023 300   Wagner W 69-53 83%     3 - 0 +5.3 +2.4 +4.9
  Nov 18, 2023 63   Northwestern L 61-72 20%     3 - 1 -2.6 +0.6 -4.8
  Nov 19, 2023 64   Washington St. L 57-78 20%     3 - 2 -12.8 -8.8 -5.5
  Nov 26, 2023 89   Yale W 76-72 36%     4 - 2 +6.9 +15.2 -7.7
  Dec 02, 2023 45   @ Providence L 63-77 9%    
  Dec 06, 2023 221   Brown W 74-69 68%    
  Dec 10, 2023 123   @ College of Charleston L 72-79 26%    
  Dec 16, 2023 172   Delaware L 71-72 48%    
  Dec 21, 2023 237   New Hampshire W 76-70 72%    
  Dec 30, 2023 223   Northeastern W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 03, 2024 124   Saint Joseph's L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 09, 2024 140   @ Davidson L 66-71 32%    
  Jan 13, 2024 142   Massachusetts W 77-76 52%    
  Jan 17, 2024 108   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 20, 2024 69   @ Dayton L 62-73 16%    
  Jan 24, 2024 171   Fordham W 71-68 58%    
  Jan 27, 2024 111   @ George Mason L 65-73 25%    
  Jan 31, 2024 204   La Salle W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 03, 2024 88   Duquesne L 73-77 36%    
  Feb 06, 2024 149   @ George Washington L 75-80 33%    
  Feb 11, 2024 142   @ Massachusetts L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 18, 2024 135   Loyola Chicago W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 21, 2024 87   Richmond L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 25, 2024 204   @ La Salle L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 28, 2024 83   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-74 18%    
  Mar 02, 2024 148   Saint Louis W 75-74 55%    
  Mar 06, 2024 111   George Mason L 68-70 44%    
  Mar 09, 2024 171   @ Fordham L 68-71 39%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 1.9 0.7 0.1 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 2.7 0.4 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.6 1.4 0.1 6.1 7th
8th 0.3 3.5 3.4 0.2 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.9 4.1 1.0 0.1 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 4.8 2.6 0.1 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.3 4.4 0.7 8.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.3 1.6 0.0 9.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.8 3.4 0.3 0.0 10.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 1.9 4.1 3.2 0.8 10.4 14th
15th 0.2 1.0 2.6 3.5 2.6 0.6 0.0 10.6 15th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.1 5.6 8.8 11.5 13.5 13.3 12.1 10.6 8.4 5.3 3.3 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 93.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 91.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 50.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
13-5 17.3% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 4.3% 4.3% 10.0 0.0 0.0 4.3%
16-2 0.1% 33.3% 26.7% 6.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1%
15-3 0.3% 19.9% 19.3% 0.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7%
14-4 0.9% 5.7% 5.3% 0.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.5%
13-5 1.9% 6.9% 6.9% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.8
12-6 3.3% 6.9% 6.9% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.1
11-7 5.3% 4.3% 4.3% 13.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.1
10-8 8.4% 2.4% 2.4% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2
9-9 10.6% 1.5% 1.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.4
8-10 12.1% 1.9% 1.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.9
7-11 13.3% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.2
6-12 13.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.3
5-13 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
4-14 8.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.7
3-15 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.6
2-16 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 98.4 0.0%