Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#118
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#123
Pace69.5#187
Improvement-1.0#255

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#147
First Shot-0.4#187
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#119
Layup/Dunks+1.3#129
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#140
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#305
Freethrows+1.7#87
Improvement-1.3#295

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#94
First Shot+5.3#40
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#328
Layups/Dunks+1.4#125
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#60
Freethrows+0.1#169
Improvement+0.3#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 2.4% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.7 11.9
.500 or above 80.1% 81.0% 53.9%
.500 or above in Conference 60.6% 61.2% 45.0%
Conference Champion 2.7% 2.7% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.7% 2.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.3% 2.4% 1.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 96.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 64 - 9
Quad 35 - 48 - 13
Quad 410 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 345 Stetson W 93-62 94%     1 - 0 +16.1 +8.1 +6.4
  Fri, Nov 7 85 Tulsa L 65-82 38%     1 - 1 -10.6 -3.2 -8.7
  Tue, Nov 11 339 Stonehill W 80-57 94%     2 - 1 +8.7 +1.1 +7.2
  Fri, Nov 14 327 Albany W 80-61 92%     3 - 1 +6.3 +5.2 +2.3
  Tue, Nov 18 77 @Yale W 86-77 24%     4 - 1 +19.4 +17.8 +2.1
  Mon, Nov 24 137 Towson L 55-62 57%     4 - 2 -5.6 -9.4 +2.9
  Tue, Nov 25 189 Vermont W 80-65 68%     5 - 2 +13.2 +11.1 +3.5
  Wed, Nov 26 164 Temple W 90-75 63%     6 - 2 +14.6 +13.3 +1.4
  Tue, Dec 2 210 Brown W 66-56 81%     7 - 2 +3.7 -1.9 +6.3
  Sat, Dec 6 75 @Providence L 71-90 24%     7 - 3 -8.3 +1.0 -9.4
  Tue, Dec 9 81 McNeese St. L 64-66 46%     7 - 4 +2.0 -4.1 +6.1
  Tue, Dec 16 354 Canisius W 76-57 97%    
  Wed, Dec 31 260 Loyola Chicago W 77-65 86%    
  Sat, Jan 3 73 @George Mason L 66-74 24%    
  Wed, Jan 7 229 La Salle W 75-65 82%    
  Sat, Jan 10 138 @Davidson L 70-71 46%    
  Wed, Jan 14 48 Virginia Commonwealth L 71-76 33%    
  Wed, Jan 21 103 @Richmond L 72-76 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 73 George Mason L 69-71 44%    
  Tue, Jan 27 70 @Dayton L 69-77 24%    
  Sun, Feb 1 143 @Duquesne L 77-78 47%    
  Sat, Feb 7 103 Richmond W 75-73 56%    
  Tue, Feb 10 80 @George Washington L 75-82 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 218 Fordham W 73-63 81%    
  Tue, Feb 17 41 Saint Louis L 73-79 31%    
  Sat, Feb 21 229 @La Salle W 72-68 64%    
  Wed, Feb 25 105 @St. Bonaventure L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 171 Saint Joseph's W 75-68 74%    
  Wed, Mar 4 143 Duquesne W 80-75 67%    
  Sat, Mar 7 218 @Fordham W 70-66 63%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.2 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.5 0.6 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.0 5.0 1.2 0.1 10.9 5th
6th 0.3 3.1 5.8 2.0 0.1 11.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 6.2 3.2 0.2 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.3 4.1 0.6 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.3 4.6 0.9 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.9 1.1 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.2 1.6 2.9 1.1 0.1 5.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.9 0.1 3.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.2 7.5 11.0 13.6 14.9 14.5 12.4 8.9 5.4 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 69.4% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
14-4 30.3% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 37.0% 14.8% 22.2% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 26.1%
16-2 0.4% 21.8% 18.5% 3.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 4.1%
15-3 1.1% 14.1% 12.1% 2.1% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0 2.3%
14-4 3.0% 9.2% 9.1% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.7 0.1%
13-5 5.4% 6.9% 6.9% 11.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.1
12-6 8.9% 5.2% 5.2% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 8.4
11-7 12.4% 3.2% 3.2% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 12.0
10-8 14.5% 1.7% 1.7% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 14.2
9-9 14.9% 1.1% 1.1% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.7
8-10 13.6% 0.6% 0.6% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.6
7-11 11.0% 0.4% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 10.9
6-12 7.5% 0.3% 0.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 7.4
5-13 4.2% 4.2
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.4% 2.3% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 97.6 0.1%