Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#203
Expected Predictive Rating-9.7#315
Pace68.2#188
Improvement+0.1#153

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#302
First Shot-6.2#333
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#61
Layup/Dunks-1.2#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#69
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.7#361
Freethrows+2.5#47
Improvement+0.1#99

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#107
First Shot+2.2#106
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#183
Layups/Dunks+0.3#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#74
Freethrows-0.7#233
Improvement-0.1#231
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.5% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 7.5% 8.9% 2.3%
.500 or above in Conference 24.3% 26.2% 17.5%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.7% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 20.2% 18.4% 26.6%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.7%
First Round1.0% 1.1% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Army (Home) - 78.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 105 - 16
Quad 46 - 411 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 171   Quinnipiac L 62-67 55%     0 - 1 -8.3 -14.3 +6.3
  Nov 12, 2022 197   Texas St. L 66-70 61%     0 - 2 -8.8 -9.9 +1.2
  Nov 15, 2022 335   Stony Brook W 74-64 87%     1 - 2 -4.3 -3.1 -0.6
  Nov 21, 2022 53   Kansas St. L 57-77 15%     1 - 3 -10.7 -11.2 +1.0
  Nov 22, 2022 122   Tulane L 75-78 31%     1 - 4 +0.1 +3.0 -2.9
  Nov 23, 2022 236   Illinois St. W 57-44 57%     2 - 4 +9.3 -7.0 +18.8
  Nov 27, 2022 163   @ Boston College L 49-53 31%     2 - 5 -0.8 -17.8 +16.9
  Dec 03, 2022 66   Providence L 74-88 26%     2 - 6 -9.3 +1.6 -11.0
  Dec 07, 2022 223   Brown L 58-59 65%     2 - 7 -7.0 -9.8 +2.7
  Dec 10, 2022 294   Army W 74-66 79%    
  Dec 13, 2022 119   Umass Lowell L 66-68 42%    
  Dec 18, 2022 239   @ Georgia St. L 62-63 46%    
  Dec 22, 2022 235   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 71-66 67%    
  Dec 31, 2022 137   @ Duquesne L 66-73 25%    
  Jan 04, 2023 146   Fordham L 65-66 49%    
  Jan 07, 2023 202   @ La Salle L 63-66 39%    
  Jan 11, 2023 120   St. Bonaventure L 62-64 43%    
  Jan 14, 2023 98   @ Massachusetts L 64-74 19%    
  Jan 17, 2023 105   @ Richmond L 57-66 20%    
  Jan 21, 2023 147   George Mason L 64-65 49%    
  Jan 25, 2023 95   Dayton L 58-62 36%    
  Jan 28, 2023 202   La Salle W 66-63 61%    
  Feb 01, 2023 234   @ Saint Joseph's L 67-68 45%    
  Feb 07, 2023 57   @ Saint Louis L 64-78 11%    
  Feb 11, 2023 147   @ George Mason L 61-67 29%    
  Feb 15, 2023 104   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 18, 2023 98   Massachusetts L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 22, 2023 207   George Washington W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 25, 2023 146   @ Fordham L 62-68 28%    
  Mar 01, 2023 175   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-65 34%    
  Mar 04, 2023 135   Davidson L 66-67 45%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 2.2 0.3 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.6 1.0 0.0 5.7 7th
8th 0.3 3.4 2.7 0.1 6.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 4.4 0.8 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.6 2.8 0.1 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.3 4.9 0.6 0.0 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.8 2.2 0.0 10.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.5 3.9 0.4 11.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.0 4.1 0.9 0.0 12.7 14th
15th 0.2 1.1 2.8 4.1 2.9 0.8 0.1 12.0 15th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.2 6.7 9.9 13.1 14.8 14.2 12.5 9.8 6.7 4.0 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 91.7% 0.0    0.0
15-3 70.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 20.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 4.2% 4.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 8.5% 8.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 6.5% 6.5% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.1% 5.5% 5.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-6 2.2% 4.4% 4.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
11-7 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.9
10-8 6.7% 2.9% 2.9% 15.8 0.0 0.2 6.5
9-9 9.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.6
8-10 12.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 12.3
7-11 14.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 14.0
6-12 14.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.7
5-13 13.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.0
4-14 9.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 9.9
3-15 6.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.7
2-16 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.2
1-17 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.2
0-18 0.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%