Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +3.0 114
Expected Predictive Rating +3.5 102
Pace 65.7 260
Improvement -1.1 238

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #178 C+ C D B B-
Defense B- #82 C C A- D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 114 60% 110 +2.5 98
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 290 41% 73 -1.5 263
Three Pointers 44% 125 32% 258 +0.2 173
1st FG Attempt 1.04 130 +1.2 130
Second Chance 33.4% 94 0.94 292 0.31 169
Turnovers 19.6% 324
Freethrows 0.36 42 73% 166 0.26 50
Total Offense -0.5 178

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 142 54% 80 +0.7 145
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 258 33% 36 +1.8 50
Three Pointers 42% 145 37% 304 -2.3 290
1st FG Attempt 1.01 173 +0.2 174
Second Chance 30.9% 198 1.03 193 0.32 204
Turnovers 21.5% 15
Freethrows 0.35 303 71% 88 0.25 284
Total Defense +3.5 82

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.9 70 +0.4 248
Shot Type Accuracy +0.3 163 -0.7 161
Possession Length 17.6 212 17.9 288
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 30 0.14 91
Improvement -0.4 #209 -0.7 #229

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.8% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.7 11.9
.500 or above 97.2% 99.8% 96.3%
.500 or above in Conference 63.5% 85.7% 55.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.5% 2.8% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 25.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 2
Quad 23 - 54 - 8
Quad 36 - 410 - 11
Quad 49 - 319 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 339 Stetson W 93 - 62 93% +17  97% 1 - 0 +17 B +7 C+ A+ F+ A- +9 B- B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 67 Tulsa L 65 - 82 30% -9  5% 1 - 1 -9 D -6 C- B- F D+ -4 C+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 321 Stonehill W 80 - 57 92% +12  88% 2 - 1 +10 C+ +2 C+ C F+ B+ +7 B+ D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 315 Albany W 80 - 61 92% +6  64% 3 - 1 +7 C+ +3 D- B+ C+ B- +4 A+ F A-
 Tue, Nov 18 81 @Yale W 86 - 77 25% +0  42% 4 - 1 +19 A+ +16 A B D+ B- +3 A F A-
 Mon, Nov 24 150 Towson L 55 - 62 61% -2  34% 4 - 2 -7 F+ -10 F A+ F C+ +2 C- B B
 Tue, Nov 25 228 Vermont W 80 - 65 74% +7  83% 5 - 2 +11 B+ +8 B B+ F+ B- +4 B F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 146 Temple W 90 - 75 59% +7  81% 6 - 2 +16 A +12 A+ C- A+ B- +3 C+ B- B-
 Tue, Dec 2 281 Brown W 66 - 56 88% +4  80% 7 - 2 +0 D -5 D- B D B +6 A+ C C+
 Sat, Dec 6 75 @Providence L 71 - 90 23% -5  18% 7 - 3 -8 D+ -4 A+ F F D+ -5 F C A+
 Tue, Dec 9 79 McNeese St. L 64 - 66 46% -2  6% 7 - 4 +2 D- -8 B D- F A- +10 C+ A+ B-
 Tue, Dec 16 349 Canisius W 62 - 45 94% +3  45% 8 - 4 +2 F -12 F+ F+ F A+ +16 B A- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 266 Northeastern W 85 - 77 86% +6  89% 9 - 4 -1 A- +11 B+ A- C+ F+ -11 F B B
 Wed, Dec 31 278 Loyola Chicago L 57 - 61 88% -7  11% 9 - 5 0 - 1 -14 F -20 F C F B +6 F D A+
 Sat, Jan 3 85 @George Mason L 50 - 61 26% -4  7% 9 - 6 0 - 2 -1 F -16 C- F F A+ +13 C+ A- D+
 Wed, Jan 7 210 La Salle L 72 - 79 80% -2  38% 9 - 7 0 - 3 -13 C +1 B- C+ F F -15 F F B-
 Sat, Jan 10 110 @Davidson W 70 - 45 37% +14  99% 10 - 7 1 - 3 +32 B+ +9 A+ F B- A+ +27 A+ A+ A-
 Wed, Jan 14 50 Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 84 32% -8  0% 10 - 8 1 - 4 -1 B- +5 A F D+ D -6 C- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 137 @Richmond W 69 - 68 44% -2  13% 11 - 8 2 - 4 +5 D+ -4 D+ C- F A- +9 C- B B+
 Sat, Jan 24 85 George Mason W 74 - 65 47% +5  93% 12 - 8 3 - 4 +13 A +12 B- C+ A+ C+ +2 B D- C-
 Tue, Jan 27 98 @Dayton W 81 - 76 OT 31% -3  30% 13 - 8 4 - 4 +13 B +6 C D B B +6 F B+ A+
 Sun, Feb 1 112 @Duquesne L 61 - 76 37% -8  3% 13 - 9 4 - 5 -9 D -6 C- C- D C- -3 D D+ B+
 Sat, Feb 7 137 Richmond W 82 - 77 67% -0  49% 14 - 9 5 - 5 +3 B +7 C- A+ C C- -4 C- A- B
 Tue, Feb 10 78 @George Washington L 71 - 78 25%
 Sat, Feb 14 169 Fordham W 68 - 61 73%
 Tue, Feb 17 28 Saint Louis L 71 - 80 19%
 Sat, Feb 21 210 @La Salle W 69 - 66 61%
 Wed, Feb 25 133 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 72 44%
 Sat, Feb 28 131 Saint Joseph's W 71 - 67 66%
 Wed, Mar 4 112 Duquesne W 75 - 72 59%
 Sat, Mar 7 169 @Fordham W 65 - 64 52%
Totals 18 - 13 9 - 9 +3 C +0 C+ C D B- +3 C C A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ B- C- C 41% 15% 44% B- C+ C+ D+ C D B C B B- B- B D+ C 40% 18% 42% C- C C C C A- D+ B- D+
1.08 60% 41% 32% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.9 .31 20% .36 73% .26 1.04 54% 33% 37% -1 0 1.01 31% 1.0 .32 21% .35 71% .25
Nov
3		 Stetson B A+ A- F C 40% 16% 44% C+ C+ A+ B+ A+ F+ A+ A- A+ A- A D B- B 38% 15% 48% D- B- D+ A+ B+ A+ F A+ C-
1.26 80% 50% 27% +6 +1 1.16 48% 1.3 .65 19% .40 79% .32 0.84 44% 43% 30% -7 +1 0.90 28% 0.6 .18 27% .41 55% .22
Nov
7		 Tulsa D C+ F D+ C- 43% 19% 38% C+ C- B C- B- F A+ B+ A+ D+ C A+ F C 47% 16% 38% B- C+ F F F A+ F A+ C-
1.00 61% 25% 31% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.1 .36 25% .39 79% .30 1.26 57% 14% 47% +3 +1 1.11 45% 1.6 .72 21% .47 63% .29
Nov
11		 Stonehill C+ B+ A+ F C 55% 14% 31% A- C+ B- D- C F+ A- A+ A+ B+ A A+ B B+ 28% 14% 58% C B+ D D+ D+ A+ F C- F
1.12 64% 57% 19% -1 +2 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 15% .37 82% .30 0.80 42% 17% 28% -13 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .29 29% .42 71% .30
Nov
14		 Albany C+ D D+ F F 51% 12% 37% B+ D- B+ C+ B+ C+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F A+ A+ 37% 15% 48% C- A+ F F F A- D C D+
1.21 52% 33% 28% -7 +2 0.92 43% 1.3 .54 14% .49 89% .44 0.92 41% 57% 14% -18 +1 0.67 44% 1.2 .54 24% .28 64% .18
Nov
18		 Yale A+ F+ A+ A+ A 46% 14% 40% B+ A A D+ B D+ A- B A- B- B C B+ A+ 52% 15% 33% D- A F D F A- F F F
1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27 1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36
Nov
24		 Towson F+ C A+ F F 34% 17% 49% C F B- A+ A+ F B+ F B- C+ F B- D D- 23% 52% 25% A+ C- C+ B+ B B F C F+
0.90 57% 71% 5% -16 0 0.71 29% 1.7 .50 24% .35 63% .22 1.01 70% 35% 36% +2 -5 0.95 34% 0.6 .22 20% .39 68% .26
Nov
25		 Vermont B+ B+ F C- C+ 52% 5% 43% A+ B A+ F B+ F+ A+ D A+ B- C- F B+ B 29% 9% 62% D+ B D+ F F A+ F B- F
1.25 68% 0% 33% +3 +3 1.14 48% 0.8 .39 17% .72 68% .49 1.02 62% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.4 .39 22% .46 70% .32
Nov
26		 Temple A A+ C+ A+ A+ 30% 19% 52% C- A+ F A+ C- A+ B+ F C+ B- C- A- C C+ 39% 22% 39% C C+ A+ F B- B- F C+ F
1.29 81% 40% 43% +14 0 1.30 17% 1.6 .27 9% .36 61% .22 1.07 61% 30% 33% -1 0 1.00 18% 1.3 .24 16% .56 76% .43
Dec
2		 Brown D C+ D- F F+ 44% 20% 36% C+ D- B- B B D A C- B+ B A+ A+ B- A+ 52% 27% 21% B- A+ F A+ C C+ F+ D F
1.00 60% 33% 19% -8 +1 0.87 34% 1.1 .37 20% .42 73% .30 0.85 40% 15% 30% -17 0 0.69 43% 0.7 .30 21% .33 76% .25
Dec
6		 Providence D+ D+ F+ A+ A+ 32% 14% 54% B- A+ C F F F C- F F+ D+ F F+ F F 32% 13% 55% C+ F C+ D+ C A+ C B- C+
1.02 50% 29% 52% +11 0 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 24% .26 50% .13 1.29 80% 50% 50% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.3 .42 21% .35 74% .26
Dec
9		 McNeese St. D- A- A+ D B- 42% 11% 47% B B F A+ D- F A+ A+ A+ A- A- D+ D+ B 51% 14% 35% D- C+ B+ A+ A+ B- D+ A+ B-
0.94 67% 50% 29% +2 +1 1.08 17% 1.8 .30 31% .57 85% .48 0.96 48% 43% 35% -4 +2 0.98 31% 0.5 .15 16% .33 63% .21
Dec
16		 Canisius F D- F D F 37% 8% 56% B F+ A- F F+ F D A+ C A+ A+ B- C B+ 43% 29% 29% C B C+ A+ A- A+ D+ D+ D
0.98 53% 25% 31% -5 +2 0.94 40% 0.5 .19 21% .26 85% .22 0.71 33% 33% 33% -12 -1 0.76 26% 0.6 .14 30% .32 71% .23
Dec
22		 Northeastern A- C A+ C A- 36% 24% 40% D B+ A+ C A- C+ D D- D- F+ C+ A+ F F 49% 2% 49% F F D A+ B B F F+ F
1.31 61% 83% 35% +13 -1 1.26 47% 1.0 .47 17% .30 69% .20 1.19 55% 0% 50% +9 +3 1.27 32% 0.7 .21 20% .48 76% .37
Dec
31		 Loyola Chicago F F+ C F F 38% 21% 40% C F B F+ C F B- F+ C B B- F F F 44% 8% 49% D F F B D A+ B+ F C-
0.87 44% 40% 21% -13 0 0.77 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 71% .22 0.93 53% 67% 42% +6 +2 1.18 46% 0.8 .38 37% .24 90% .22
Jan
3		 George Mason F B+ F D+ C- 26% 19% 55% C C- D- F F F D- F F A+ B- A+ F C+ 38% 24% 38% C+ C+ A+ F A- D+ F A+ C
0.80 67% 22% 31% -3 -1 0.94 20% 0.4 .08 21% .18 33% .06 0.98 56% 10% 50% +2 0 1.05 13% 1.5 .20 14% .49 58% .28
Jan
7		 La Salle C B F A B- 24% 11% 64% C B- A+ F C+ F A+ C- A F D B F F 56% 9% 35% F F D+ F F B- F B F
1.12 64% 0% 41% +4 0 1.11 44% 0.8 .36 25% .37 67% .25 1.23 63% 33% 50% +11 +3 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 20% .65 67% .43
Jan
10		 Davidson B+ A+ A+ B- A+ 42% 20% 38% B A+ F C F B- F B D- A+ C A+ A+ A+ 53% 10% 38% F A+ A+ A+ A+ A- F B F+
1.16 79% 67% 35% +15 0 1.33 14% 1.0 .14 17% .20 70% .14 0.75 57% 0% 13% -16 +2 0.75 13% 0.8 .10 22% .40 63% .25
Jan
14		 Virginia Commonwealth B- B+ A+ C+ A+ 39% 14% 47% B- A D+ F F D+ A+ F A- D C A+ D C 42% 4% 54% D C- A F D+ F D- A+ C
1.11 63% 71% 35% +7 +1 1.18 27% 0.5 .13 19% .44 63% .28 1.25 60% 0% 38% +3 +2 1.13 26% 1.6 .42 7% .45 64% .29
Jan
21		 Richmond D+ C C F D- 48% 17% 35% A D+ A- F C- F A+ B+ A+ A- C C- D C 31% 21% 48% D- C- A- C B B+ C- A+ B+
1.00 59% 38% 19% -7 +1 0.89 39% 0.9 .33 22% .48 77% .37 0.99 60% 40% 39% +5 -1 1.10 20% 1.0 .20 19% .34 58% .20
Jan
24		 George Mason A B+ F D C 48% 14% 39% A B- D A+ C+ A+ A+ B A+ C+ A- F B+ B+ 44% 22% 34% C- B C- F D- C- F F+ F
1.24 67% 17% 29% -1 +2 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 7% .52 76% .40 1.09 50% 56% 29% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.2 .39 15% .47 79% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Dayton B F B- A+ C 43% 26% 30% C+ C C F D B A+ A- A+ B F+ B- F F 44% 18% 38% C+ F C A+ B+ A+ F C F
1.08 40% 42% 50% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .21 20% .60 78% .47 1.01 71% 29% 47% +11 +1 1.26 27% 0.9 .23 31% .64 76% .48
Feb
1		 Duquesne D C+ F B- C 29% 22% 49% C- C- C- D+ C- D C F F C- B A+ F D+ 41% 2% 56% D D D- C+ D+ B+ F+ F F
0.94 62% 20% 36% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.9 .24 20% .35 50% .17 1.17 53% 0% 43% +5 +3 1.17 36% 1.0 .36 22% .43 91% .39
Feb
7		 Richmond B D+ F C- D 43% 19% 38% B+ C- B A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F F D+ 21% 30% 49% B C- B A+ A- B B+ F C+
1.21 56% 25% 31% -5 +1 0.93 35% 1.5 .52 16% .74 81% .60 1.13 45% 50% 42% +7 -3 1.11 23% 0.7 .16 18% .27 87% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 1.6 0.3 3.4 3rd
4th 0.3 4.3 6.4 1.7 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 2.9 10.3 2.7 0.1 16.0 5th
6th 0.6 9.3 6.4 0.3 0.0 16.6 6th
7th 0.1 4.5 10.1 1.1 0.0 15.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.6 10.4 3.7 0.0 15.7 8th
9th 0.3 5.8 5.6 0.3 11.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.3 3.3 0.4 5.0 10th
11th 0.2 1.3 0.6 2.0 11th
12th 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.6 3.1 11.4 21.4 26.6 22.3 10.9 3.4 0.4 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.4% 2.9% 2.9% 11.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 3.4% 7.0% 7.0% 11.5 0.1 0.1 3.2
11-7 10.9% 3.7% 3.7% 11.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.5
10-8 22.3% 2.1% 2.1% 11.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 21.8
9-9 26.6% 0.8% 0.8% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 26.4
8-10 21.4% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 21.4
7-11 11.4% 0.6% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.1 11.3
6-12 3.1% 0.6% 0.6% 14.0 0.0 3.1
5-13 0.6% 0.6
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 11.8 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%