Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#119
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#109
Pace68.0#224
Improvement-1.4#277

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#135
First Shot+0.5#165
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#143
Layup/Dunks+0.9#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#266
Freethrows+0.4#148
Improvement-0.5#209

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#109
First Shot+3.8#62
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#315
Layups/Dunks+2.0#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#106
Freethrows-0.6#226
Improvement-1.0#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.3% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.8 12.0
.500 or above 86.5% 88.8% 71.1%
.500 or above in Conference 59.3% 62.7% 36.0%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.9% 5.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round2.1% 2.2% 1.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Home) - 87.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 2
Quad 23 - 74 - 9
Quad 35 - 48 - 13
Quad 410 - 119 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 349 Stetson W 93-62 95%     1 - 0 +15.6 +7.8 +6.2
  Fri, Nov 7 92 Tulsa L 65-82 38%     1 - 1 -10.9 -3.2 -9.0
  Tue, Nov 11 338 Stonehill W 80-57 94%     2 - 1 +8.9 +2.4 +6.1
  Fri, Nov 14 310 Albany W 80-61 91%     3 - 1 +7.4 +5.3 +3.2
  Tue, Nov 18 76 @Yale W 86-77 25%     4 - 1 +19.3 +18.1 +1.7
  Mon, Nov 24 128 Towson L 55-62 54%     4 - 2 -4.8 -8.0 +2.1
  Tue, Nov 25 178 Vermont W 80-65 66%     5 - 2 +13.7 +11.2 +3.9
  Wed, Nov 26 151 Temple W 90-75 60%     6 - 2 +15.5 +14.2 +1.4
  Tue, Dec 2 226 Brown W 66-56 83%     7 - 2 +3.0 -2.0 +5.7
  Sat, Dec 6 78 @Providence L 71-90 25%     7 - 3 -8.9 +0.1 -9.1
  Tue, Dec 9 70 McNeese St. L 64-66 43%     7 - 4 +2.9 -4.5 +7.3
  Tue, Dec 16 347 Canisius W 62-45 95%     8 - 4 +1.8 -9.2 +12.7
  Mon, Dec 22 205 Northeastern W 85-77 80%     9 - 4 +2.1 +16.3 -13.6
  Wed, Dec 31 270 Loyola Chicago W 78-66 87%    
  Sat, Jan 3 88 @George Mason L 67-73 28%    
  Wed, Jan 7 233 La Salle W 74-64 84%    
  Sat, Jan 10 140 @Davidson L 70-71 45%    
  Wed, Jan 14 47 Virginia Commonwealth L 72-77 32%    
  Wed, Jan 21 104 @Richmond L 71-75 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 88 George Mason L 70-71 49%    
  Tue, Jan 27 68 @Dayton L 68-76 23%    
  Sun, Feb 1 121 @Duquesne L 77-79 41%    
  Sat, Feb 7 104 Richmond W 74-72 56%    
  Tue, Feb 10 77 @George Washington L 74-81 25%    
  Sat, Feb 14 193 Fordham W 71-63 77%    
  Tue, Feb 17 37 Saint Louis L 74-81 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 233 @La Salle W 71-67 66%    
  Wed, Feb 25 116 @St. Bonaventure L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 188 Saint Joseph's W 74-66 77%    
  Wed, Mar 4 121 Duquesne W 80-76 63%    
  Sat, Mar 7 193 @Fordham W 68-66 58%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 4.2 3.2 0.6 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.4 4.4 1.0 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.6 1.8 0.1 11.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 6.4 2.9 0.2 12.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.6 4.0 0.4 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.4 4.5 0.8 0.0 10.5 9th
10th 0.4 2.9 4.2 1.1 0.1 8.6 10th
11th 0.2 1.6 3.1 1.2 0.1 6.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.0 0.1 3.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.4 7.8 11.6 14.0 15.6 14.6 12.0 8.5 5.0 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 94.7% 0.1    0.1
16-2 80.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-3 64.1% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1
14-4 26.3% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 19.4% 8.3% 11.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 12.1%
15-3 1.0% 13.1% 9.5% 3.6% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9 4.0%
14-4 2.4% 10.2% 9.9% 0.3% 11.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 0.3%
13-5 5.0% 6.6% 6.6% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.7
12-6 8.5% 4.1% 4.1% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.1
11-7 12.0% 3.4% 3.4% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.6
10-8 14.6% 1.8% 1.8% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 14.3
9-9 15.6% 1.1% 1.1% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 15.4
8-10 14.0% 0.6% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.9
7-11 11.6% 0.4% 0.4% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 7.8% 0.2% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 7.8
5-13 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 4.4
4-14 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 2.0
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 97.9 0.1%