Davidson
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#127
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#79
Pace65.3#294
Improvement-0.7#229

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#131
First Shot+3.2#91
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#301
Layup/Dunks-3.3#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#81
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#55
Freethrows+0.1#169
Improvement+0.1#168

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#134
First Shot-0.6#198
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#75
Layups/Dunks-0.4#191
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#75
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement-0.8#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.4% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.7 12.2
.500 or above 80.2% 86.7% 66.3%
.500 or above in Conference 57.5% 61.3% 49.4%
Conference Champion 2.3% 2.7% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.5% 2.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round2.0% 2.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Home) - 68.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 52 - 9
Quad 36 - 38 - 12
Quad 49 - 118 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 155 Washington St. W 85-69 68%     1 - 0 +13.3 +10.0 +3.3
  Tue, Nov 11 196 @Charlotte W 62-55 56%     2 - 0 +7.7 +1.4 +7.7
  Sat, Nov 15 124 Bowling Green W 91-87 60%     3 - 0 +3.6 +9.4 -6.3
  Fri, Nov 21 147 Boston College W 59-49 56%     4 - 0 +10.7 +1.7 +11.1
  Sun, Nov 23 44 Utah St. L 60-94 20%     4 - 1 -22.7 -8.4 -14.1
  Fri, Nov 28 302 N.C. A&T W 90-74 88%     5 - 1 +5.3 +18.5 -12.2
  Thu, Dec 4 359 The Citadel W 79-63 96%     6 - 1 -1.8 +3.2 -3.4
  Sun, Dec 7 39 St. Mary's L 61-70 26%     6 - 2 +0.1 -0.2 -0.5
  Sat, Dec 13 329 Mercyhurst W 80-47 92%     7 - 2 +19.9 +16.7 +9.4
  Thu, Dec 18 156 Temple W 77-72 68%    
  Mon, Dec 22 17 @Kansas L 60-78 4%    
  Tue, Dec 30 138 Duquesne W 78-74 64%    
  Sat, Jan 3 174 @Saint Joseph's W 71-70 51%    
  Wed, Jan 7 288 @Loyola Chicago W 74-68 71%    
  Sat, Jan 10 115 Rhode Island W 71-69 57%    
  Wed, Jan 14 80 @George Washington L 73-81 23%    
  Wed, Jan 21 199 Fordham W 71-63 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 50 Virginia Commonwealth L 69-75 31%    
  Wed, Jan 28 75 @George Mason L 64-72 22%    
  Sat, Jan 31 102 @Richmond L 71-76 32%    
  Tue, Feb 3 43 Saint Louis L 73-79 28%    
  Fri, Feb 6 288 Loyola Chicago W 77-65 86%    
  Sun, Feb 15 62 @Dayton L 67-77 19%    
  Wed, Feb 18 102 Richmond W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Feb 21 199 @Fordham W 68-66 57%    
  Wed, Feb 25 138 @Duquesne L 75-77 42%    
  Sun, Mar 1 240 La Salle W 73-63 80%    
  Wed, Mar 4 174 Saint Joseph's W 73-67 71%    
  Sat, Mar 7 112 @St. Bonaventure L 68-72 36%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.4 3.3 0.6 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.6 4.9 1.1 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.3 3.0 5.8 2.1 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.0 5.9 3.3 0.3 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.4 4.5 0.6 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.0 4.8 1.0 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.4 1.3 0.1 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 1.4 0.1 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.7 5.0 8.5 11.2 13.8 14.9 14.0 11.6 8.1 4.9 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 94.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 88.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 62.8% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.1
14-4 32.0% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 8.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 24.8% 18.1% 6.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.1%
15-3 1.1% 13.9% 10.9% 2.9% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0 3.3%
14-4 2.4% 9.5% 9.3% 0.3% 11.3 0.2 0.1 2.2 0.3%
13-5 4.9% 6.8% 6.8% 0.1% 11.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.6 0.1%
12-6 8.1% 4.7% 4.7% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 7.7
11-7 11.6% 2.9% 2.9% 12.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.2
10-8 14.0% 1.2% 1.2% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.9
9-9 14.9% 0.9% 0.9% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.8
8-10 13.8% 0.6% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.7
7-11 11.2% 0.4% 0.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 8.5% 0.2% 0.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 8.5
5-13 5.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.0% 1.9% 0.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.0 0.1%