George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.0#61
Expected Predictive Rating+6.0#93
Pace74.0#75
Improvement-2.7#341

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#25
First Shot+7.5#24
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#129
Layup/Dunks+3.9#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#39
Freethrows+1.8#92
Improvement+0.7#117

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#153
First Shot+0.8#147
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#210
Layups/Dunks-2.2#264
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#133
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows+1.7#86
Improvement-3.4#359
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.5% 19.7% 13.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.9% 5.6% 2.4%
Average Seed 10.5 10.4 10.9
.500 or above 99.1% 99.5% 97.3%
.500 or above in Conference 93.6% 94.3% 90.9%
Conference Champion 18.9% 20.0% 14.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Four2.4% 2.6% 1.5%
First Round17.3% 18.4% 13.0%
Second Round6.2% 6.7% 4.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 1.6% 1.0%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Home) - 80.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 35 - 6
Quad 38 - 312 - 9
Quad 410 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 318 Maine W 67-47 96%     1 - 0 +8.1 -4.4 +13.5
  Sat, Nov 8 86 South Florida W 99-95 60%     2 - 0 +10.3 +10.8 -1.2
  Wed, Nov 12 248 American W 107-67 93%     3 - 0 +32.3 +23.8 +5.4
  Sat, Nov 15 220 Old Dominion W 96-73 92%     4 - 0 +16.3 +14.3 +0.9
  Wed, Nov 19 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-52 95%     5 - 0 +27.2 +10.1 +16.5
  Sun, Nov 23 85 McNeese St. L 86-92 60%     5 - 1 +0.4 +12.5 -11.8
  Mon, Nov 24 140 Middle Tennessee W 92-79 76%     6 - 1 +14.4 +17.3 -3.2
  Tue, Nov 25 110 Murray St. L 95-96 69%     6 - 2 +2.8 +19.3 -16.4
  Tue, Dec 2 341 @Army W 84-70 94%     7 - 2 +5.8 +9.8 -3.5
  Sat, Dec 6 120 William & Mary W 92-83 80%    
  Wed, Dec 10 282 Delaware W 88-69 96%    
  Sat, Dec 13 14 Florida L 78-87 20%    
  Wed, Dec 31 116 @Richmond W 82-79 60%    
  Sat, Jan 3 227 La Salle W 84-68 93%    
  Tue, Jan 6 67 @Dayton L 78-80 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 262 Loyola Chicago W 87-69 94%    
  Wed, Jan 14 131 Davidson W 83-73 82%    
  Mon, Jan 19 66 @George Mason L 75-78 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 116 Richmond W 85-76 78%    
  Tue, Jan 27 48 @Saint Louis L 82-87 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 208 Fordham W 83-68 91%    
  Wed, Feb 4 185 @Saint Joseph's W 84-76 76%    
  Sat, Feb 7 135 @Duquesne W 87-83 64%    
  Tue, Feb 10 109 Rhode Island W 84-76 77%    
  Fri, Feb 13 66 George Mason W 78-75 62%    
  Tue, Feb 17 46 @Virginia Commonwealth L 78-83 32%    
  Tue, Feb 24 227 @La Salle W 81-71 81%    
  Fri, Feb 27 67 Dayton W 81-77 62%    
  Wed, Mar 4 111 St. Bonaventure W 81-73 77%    
  Sat, Mar 7 262 @Loyola Chicago W 84-72 84%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 4.1 6.5 5.0 1.9 0.3 18.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 6.2 7.7 3.2 0.6 0.0 19.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 6.0 7.0 2.2 0.1 16.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.3 6.6 2.1 0.1 13.6 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 5.1 1.9 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.0 2.3 0.2 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.5 6.3 9.7 13.1 16.3 16.4 14.2 9.8 5.5 1.9 0.3 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.1% 1.9    1.8 0.1
16-2 89.8% 5.0    3.9 1.0 0.0
15-3 66.2% 6.5    3.6 2.4 0.4 0.0
14-4 28.9% 4.1    1.3 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.5% 1.1    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 18.9% 18.9 11.0 5.6 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 90.0% 44.0% 46.0% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 82.1%
17-1 1.9% 72.8% 38.0% 34.8% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 56.1%
16-2 5.5% 54.7% 31.1% 23.6% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.0 2.5 34.2%
15-3 9.8% 36.2% 25.3% 10.8% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 0.1 6.2 14.5%
14-4 14.2% 24.9% 20.1% 4.9% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.5 0.3 10.6 6.1%
13-5 16.4% 18.2% 16.5% 1.7% 11.1 0.0 0.2 2.2 0.6 0.0 13.5 2.0%
12-6 16.3% 12.2% 11.6% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 1.3 0.6 0.0 14.3 0.6%
11-7 13.1% 7.6% 7.6% 11.5 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.0 12.1
10-8 9.7% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 9.3 0.0%
9-9 6.3% 3.3% 3.3% 11.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.1
8-10 3.5% 1.3% 1.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
7-11 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
6-12 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.7
5-13 0.3% 2.4% 2.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 18.5% 14.3% 4.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5 3.0 9.7 2.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 81.5 4.9%