George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +7.1 #80
Expected Predictive Rating +1.8 #133
Pace 73.7 #56
Improvement -3.7 #327

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #56 B B+ C C+ A
Defense #132 C C C+ C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #50 1.22 #99 +4.4 #47
2 Pt. Jumpers 7% #362 0.92 #25 -4.6 #357
Three Pointers 49% #29 1.05 #123 +5.1 #38
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #54 +4.9 #53
Freethrows 0.32 #121 73% #163 0.23 #121
Second Chance 35.5% #49 1.16 #40 0.41 #30
Turnovers 17.0% #199
Total Offense +5.9 #56

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #168 1.22 #270 -1.6 #234
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #200 0.63 #16 +1.5 #71
Three Pointers 41% #182 1.00 #155 +0.3 #168
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #177 +0.2 #178
Freethrows 0.28 #117 71% #91 0.20 #102
Second Chance 29.0% #114 1.06 #238 0.31 #161
Turnovers 17.8% #109
Total Defense +1.2 #132

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 4.2% #7 0.3% #192
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.3% #86 -0.6% #172
Possession Length 15.5 #37 17.6 #246
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #98 0.18 #216
Improvement -3.6 #339 -0.1 #199

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 6.0% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.6 11.5 11.8
.500 or above 96.9% 99.0% 93.9%
.500 or above in Conference 80.5% 89.6% 68.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round5.2% 5.9% 4.1%
Second Round1.0% 1.2% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Away) - 57.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 23 - 43 - 8
Quad 37 - 310 - 11
Quad 49 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 346 Maine W 67 - 47 97% +7  1 - 0 +5 -5 D+ B F +12 A A+ B-
 Sat, Nov 8 69 South Florida W 99 - 95 46% +1  2 - 0 +12 +12 A+ B- F -0 A+ F D+
 Wed, Nov 12 244 American W 107 - 67 91% +20  3 - 0 +32 +24 A+ A+ B- +6 C A- B+
 Sat, Nov 15 243 Old Dominion W 96 - 73 91% +11  4 - 0 +15 +16 B- A- A+ -1 C+ D A
 Wed, Nov 19 261 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89 - 52 92% +24  5 - 0 +28 +10 A+ F D+ +18 A+ B B
 Sun, Nov 23 86 McNeese St. L 86 - 92 52% -6  5 - 1 +1 +11 C A+ F -10 C F D
 Mon, Nov 24 155 Middle Tennessee W 92 - 79 75% +10  6 - 1 +13 +19 A+ D B -6 C- F B+
 Tue, Nov 25 107 Murray St. L 95 - 96 61% -1  6 - 2 +3 +18 A- C A+ -15 D- F+ D+
 Tue, Dec 2 336 @Army W 84 - 70 92% +5  7 - 2 +6 +9 D- A+ D- -2 F A C-
 Sat, Dec 6 149 William & Mary W 99 - 86 82% +4  8 - 2 +11 +15 A- A+ A+ -5 C D C-
 Wed, Dec 10 286 Delaware L 58 - 70 94% -6  8 - 3 -22 -17 F F F+ -5 F F+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 6 Florida L 70 - 80 10% -8  8 - 4 +11 +6 B A- C +5 D A+ B-
 Wed, Dec 31 134 @Richmond W 99 - 85 60% +10  9 - 4 1 - 0 +19 +34 A+ A+ C+ -15 F C D
 Sat, Jan 3 213 La Salle W 77 - 55 89% +6  10 - 4 2 - 0 +16 +8 C+ A+ C +10 B A+ D
 Tue, Jan 6 90 @Dayton L 72 - 79 42% +1  10 - 5 2 - 1 +2 +7 B+ A- F -4 A F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 279 Loyola Chicago W 101 - 66 93% +20  11 - 5 3 - 1 +25 +14 A C- B- +8 D+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 116 Davidson L 79 - 84 75% -9  11 - 6 3 - 2 -5 +11 D+ A- A+ -17 F F C-
 Mon, Jan 19 81 @George Mason L 64 - 69 40% -1  11 - 7 3 - 3 +5 -2 C- C+ D+ +6 C- C B+
 Sat, Jan 24 134 Richmond W 85 - 69 79% +16  12 - 7 4 - 3 +15 +14 B+ A+ C +1 B B- B-
 Tue, Jan 27 24 @Saint Louis L 76 - 79 13% +5  12 - 8 4 - 4 +16 +7 B+ C D +9 A+ B- B
 Sat, Jan 31 170 Fordham L 65 - 79 85% -4  12 - 9 4 - 5 -18 -6 D B- F -13 D F C
 Wed, Feb 4 130 @Saint Joseph's W 78 - 76 58%
 Sat, Feb 7 120 @Duquesne W 83 - 82 55%
 Tue, Feb 10 111 Rhode Island W 79 - 72 73%
 Fri, Feb 13 81 George Mason W 78 - 75 62%
 Tue, Feb 17 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 80 - 86 28%
 Tue, Feb 24 213 @La Salle W 79 - 72 74%
 Fri, Feb 27 90 Dayton W 79 - 75 65%
 Wed, Mar 4 141 St. Bonaventure W 84 - 75 80%
 Sat, Mar 7 279 @Loyola Chicago W 84 - 73 84%
Totals 18 - 12 10 - 8 +7 +6 B B+ C +1 C C C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 1.2 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 3.0 4.8 0.8 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 4.8 11.4 3.9 0.1 20.4 4th
5th 0.0 2.6 11.3 5.8 0.3 20.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 7.6 7.6 0.7 16.5 6th
7th 0.1 3.7 8.2 1.9 0.0 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.8 0.1 9.9 8th
9th 0.2 2.4 2.1 0.2 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.2 2.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 5.1 12.7 21.4 25.8 21.0 10.1 2.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.2% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 2.2% 15.6% 15.3% 0.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.8 0.3%
12-6 10.1% 10.3% 10.3% 11.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 9.1
11-7 21.0% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 11.5 0.7 0.7 0.0 19.5 0.1%
10-8 25.8% 4.4% 4.4% 11.7 0.4 0.7 0.0 24.7
9-9 21.4% 3.6% 3.6% 11.9 0.1 0.6 0.0 20.7
8-10 12.7% 2.3% 2.3% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.4
7-11 5.1% 1.9% 1.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
6-12 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 14.0 0.0 1.4
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 11.6 94.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 10.8 1.5 1.5 13.4 80.6 3.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7% 0.7% 11.0 0.7