George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#262
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#262
Pace70.6#145
Improvement-0.2#191

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#307
First Shot-3.3#275
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#276
Layup/Dunks+3.4#69
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#305
Freethrows-2.4#308
Improvement+0.1#165

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#184
First Shot+0.6#149
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#256
Layups/Dunks-1.1#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#83
Freethrows-1.7#286
Improvement-0.3#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 n/a
.500 or above 2.1% 4.1% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 4.8% 7.1% 3.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 38.3% 34.4% 40.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 34.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 61 - 9
Quad 32 - 103 - 18
Quad 47 - 510 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 267   St. Francis (PA) W 75-72 63%     1 - 0 -6.0 -10.8 +4.6
  Nov 11, 2021 52   @ Maryland L 64-71 6%     1 - 1 +4.7 -4.6 +9.6
  Nov 13, 2021 193   @ UC San Diego L 55-75 25%     1 - 2 -18.4 -19.7 +2.6
  Nov 16, 2021 208   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 59-74 26%     1 - 3 -14.0 -12.6 -2.2
  Nov 19, 2021 209   Umass Lowell L 56-67 48%     1 - 4 -16.0 -22.2 +6.8
  Nov 22, 2021 205   Wright St. W 74-63 36%     2 - 4 +9.1 +0.4 +8.8
  Nov 23, 2021 137   Kent St. L 69-77 23%     2 - 5 -6.0 +3.0 -9.8
  Nov 24, 2021 93   Missouri St. L 54-72 14%     2 - 6 -12.2 -18.4 +6.0
  Dec 01, 2021 144   Boston University L 65-69 34%    
  Dec 04, 2021 223   @ Charlotte L 62-68 29%    
  Dec 08, 2021 307   Coppin St. W 74-68 70%    
  Dec 13, 2021 248   Radford W 65-63 57%    
  Dec 22, 2021 341   Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-60 83%    
  Dec 30, 2021 39   St. Bonaventure L 59-72 11%    
  Jan 02, 2022 220   @ Saint Joseph's L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 05, 2022 194   @ Duquesne L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 08, 2022 113   Dayton L 62-68 28%    
  Jan 11, 2022 85   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-69 9%    
  Jan 17, 2022 115   George Mason L 66-72 28%    
  Jan 22, 2022 78   @ Rhode Island L 60-75 8%    
  Jan 26, 2022 56   @ Saint Louis L 63-80 6%    
  Jan 30, 2022 246   Fordham W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 02, 2022 244   La Salle W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 05, 2022 73   Davidson L 62-72 19%    
  Feb 09, 2022 116   @ Massachusetts L 72-84 15%    
  Feb 12, 2022 113   @ Dayton L 59-71 13%    
  Feb 19, 2022 78   Rhode Island L 63-72 19%    
  Feb 22, 2022 83   Richmond L 68-77 20%    
  Feb 27, 2022 115   @ George Mason L 63-75 15%    
  Mar 02, 2022 194   Duquesne L 69-70 46%    
  Mar 05, 2022 246   @ Fordham L 64-68 35%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.2 1.9 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 1.8 0.7 0.1 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 2.8 1.8 0.2 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 4.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 8.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.7 5.4 4.7 0.8 0.0 12.7 11th
12th 0.1 2.2 6.6 6.6 2.1 0.1 17.8 12th
13th 0.5 3.0 7.9 8.0 2.2 0.2 21.7 13th
14th 2.1 5.7 9.3 6.2 1.7 0.1 25.1 14th
Total 2.1 6.2 12.4 16.3 18.1 15.5 12.1 7.8 4.7 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 25.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.3% 0.3
11-7 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.5
10-8 1.3% 1.3
9-9 2.6% 2.6
8-10 4.7% 4.7
7-11 7.8% 7.8
6-12 12.1% 12.1
5-13 15.5% 15.5
4-14 18.1% 18.1
3-15 16.3% 16.3
2-16 12.4% 12.4
1-17 6.2% 6.2
0-18 2.1% 2.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%