George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#149
Expected Predictive Rating+8.1#79
Pace81.9#3
Improvement-1.4#294

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#172
First Shot+3.8#79
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#343
Layup/Dunks+4.1#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#135
Freethrows+1.2#103
Improvement+0.3#147

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#152
First Shot-0.3#180
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#110
Layups/Dunks-1.2#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#211
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#253
Freethrows+2.9#31
Improvement-1.7#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 5.4% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 12.6 13.5
.500 or above 85.2% 95.8% 82.4%
.500 or above in Conference 41.2% 52.7% 38.1%
Conference Champion 2.3% 4.9% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.5% 6.1% 11.7%
First Four0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
First Round2.8% 4.9% 2.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 21.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 36 - 58 - 11
Quad 410 - 118 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 355   Stonehill W 89-44 94%     1 - 0 +28.0 +1.2 +23.1
  Nov 11, 2023 311   William & Mary W 95-89 87%     2 - 0 -5.3 +0.8 -6.9
  Nov 14, 2023 106   Hofstra W 71-60 49%     3 - 0 +12.1 -8.4 +19.6
  Nov 18, 2023 237   New Hampshire W 79-67 77%     4 - 0 +5.0 -2.7 +6.8
  Nov 24, 2023 121   Ohio W 99-94 2OT 42%     5 - 0 +8.1 -2.7 +9.3
  Nov 25, 2023 120   Illinois-Chicago L 79-89 42%     5 - 1 -6.9 +2.9 -9.0
  Nov 26, 2023 172   Delaware W 81-71 54%     6 - 1 +9.7 +2.6 +6.6
  Dec 01, 2023 81   @ South Carolina L 69-78 21%    
  Dec 05, 2023 317   Navy W 76-64 88%    
  Dec 09, 2023 361   Coppin St. W 83-63 97%    
  Dec 21, 2023 295   Alcorn St. W 86-75 85%    
  Dec 30, 2023 345   Maryland Eastern Shore W 84-68 93%    
  Jan 03, 2024 171   Fordham W 77-73 64%    
  Jan 06, 2024 83   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 70-79 21%    
  Jan 13, 2024 140   Davidson W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 15, 2024 111   George Mason W 74-73 50%    
  Jan 20, 2024 142   @ Massachusetts L 81-84 37%    
  Jan 24, 2024 87   @ Richmond L 70-78 22%    
  Jan 27, 2024 204   La Salle W 83-77 71%    
  Jan 30, 2024 69   @ Dayton L 67-77 19%    
  Feb 06, 2024 178   Rhode Island W 80-75 67%    
  Feb 10, 2024 135   Loyola Chicago W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 13, 2024 111   @ George Mason L 71-77 29%    
  Feb 17, 2024 87   Richmond L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 21, 2024 124   @ Saint Joseph's L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 24, 2024 148   @ Saint Louis L 79-82 39%    
  Feb 27, 2024 142   Massachusetts W 84-81 59%    
  Mar 02, 2024 204   @ La Salle L 79-80 50%    
  Mar 06, 2024 108   St. Bonaventure L 74-75 49%    
  Mar 09, 2024 88   @ Duquesne L 77-85 23%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 2.1 0.6 0.1 4.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 3.1 1.4 0.1 5.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.5 2.0 0.3 6.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.7 3.3 0.6 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.9 0.1 8.0 7th
8th 0.4 4.1 3.5 0.2 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 5.2 1.4 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 4.6 3.2 0.1 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.0 3.9 0.7 7.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.8 2.0 0.0 7.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.7 2.8 0.4 8.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.2 2.1 0.6 0.0 7.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 1.6 0.6 0.0 5.9 15th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.3 6.5 8.5 10.9 13.6 14.4 13.2 10.3 7.6 5.2 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 97.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 74.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 54.2% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.2% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
12-6 5.9% 0.3    0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 89.4% 6.4% 83.0% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.6%
16-2 0.2% 38.6% 17.5% 21.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 25.5%
15-3 0.5% 10.9% 7.9% 3.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.3%
14-4 1.3% 17.4% 14.3% 3.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 3.6%
13-5 2.7% 6.2% 6.1% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.1%
12-6 5.2% 7.4% 6.7% 0.7% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.8 0.7%
11-7 7.6% 4.9% 4.9% 12.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.3
10-8 10.3% 4.0% 4.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.9
9-9 13.2% 2.3% 2.3% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 12.9
8-10 14.4% 3.1% 3.1% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 14.0
7-11 13.6% 1.4% 1.4% 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.4
6-12 10.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.7
5-13 8.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4
4-14 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.5
3-15 3.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.9% 2.7% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 97.1 0.2%