Richmond
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.6#102
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#63
Pace72.4#101
Improvement+0.1#173

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#115
First Shot+5.3#54
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#340
Layup/Dunks-1.4#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#149
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#111
Freethrows+3.9#15
Improvement-1.5#297

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#103
First Shot+2.6#90
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#219
Layups/Dunks+4.4#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#212
Freethrows-0.8#235
Improvement+1.6#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.9% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.2 11.1 11.4
.500 or above 96.4% 98.4% 93.0%
.500 or above in Conference 63.6% 67.4% 57.2%
Conference Champion 3.9% 4.6% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.8% 1.5%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
First Round4.5% 5.4% 3.1%
Second Round1.0% 1.2% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Elon (Away) - 62.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 2
Quad 23 - 44 - 6
Quad 37 - 411 - 10
Quad 410 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 280 East Carolina W 87-72 90%     1 - 0 +5.4 +6.9 -2.3
  Tue, Nov 11 121 William & Mary W 90-86 67%     2 - 0 +3.9 +8.9 -5.3
  Wed, Nov 19 330 VMI W 87-54 94%     3 - 0 +19.6 +11.5 +10.1
  Sat, Nov 22 362 Gardner-Webb W 102-67 97%     4 - 0 +16.5 +13.6 +0.6
  Thu, Nov 27 151 Furman L 72-73 65%     4 - 1 -0.5 -0.4 -0.1
  Fri, Nov 28 196 Charlotte W 71-66 75%     5 - 1 +2.7 +0.8 +2.3
  Wed, Dec 3 87 @Belmont W 84-76 32%     6 - 1 +17.3 +10.4 +6.5
  Sat, Dec 6 217 Old Dominion W 86-77 85%     7 - 1 +2.6 +3.5 -1.5
  Sat, Dec 13 129 Southern Illinois W 93-84 OT 71%     8 - 1 +7.9 +1.6 +4.5
  Wed, Dec 17 191 @Elon W 81-78 62%    
  Sat, Dec 20 359 The Citadel W 84-62 98%    
  Sun, Dec 28 262 Charleston Southern W 82-69 89%    
  Wed, Dec 31 80 George Washington W 81-80 51%    
  Sun, Jan 4 199 @Fordham W 72-68 65%    
  Wed, Jan 7 112 @St. Bonaventure L 72-74 43%    
  Sun, Jan 11 174 Saint Joseph's W 78-69 78%    
  Wed, Jan 14 240 La Salle W 77-65 86%    
  Sat, Jan 17 43 @Saint Louis L 75-85 18%    
  Wed, Jan 21 115 Rhode Island W 76-72 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 80 @George Washington L 78-84 30%    
  Tue, Jan 27 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 71-80 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 127 Davidson W 76-71 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 115 @Rhode Island L 73-75 45%    
  Tue, Feb 10 75 George Mason L 71-72 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 50 Virginia Commonwealth L 74-77 39%    
  Wed, Feb 18 127 @Davidson L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Feb 21 112 St. Bonaventure W 75-71 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 288 @Loyola Chicago W 79-71 78%    
  Tue, Mar 3 62 Dayton L 75-76 45%    
  Sat, Mar 7 138 @Duquesne W 81-80 51%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.7 1.9 0.4 0.1 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 3.6 2.6 0.5 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.1 3.8 0.6 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.5 3.8 5.1 1.1 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.2 3.0 5.6 1.8 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.9 3.3 0.2 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 5.2 4.4 0.6 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.4 1.0 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.5 1.3 0.1 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.6 1.0 0.1 5.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 3.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.0 6.9 9.6 13.0 14.8 14.1 12.4 9.6 6.5 3.6 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 92.7% 0.6    0.5 0.2 0.0
15-3 73.4% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1
14-4 34.0% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
13-5 8.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 67.6% 29.7% 37.8% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 53.8%
16-2 0.7% 49.0% 22.3% 26.7% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 34.4%
15-3 1.7% 29.3% 18.0% 11.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.2 13.8%
14-4 3.6% 20.2% 14.8% 5.4% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 2.9 6.3%
13-5 6.5% 12.8% 10.8% 2.0% 11.1 0.1 0.6 0.1 5.7 2.2%
12-6 9.6% 8.8% 8.3% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 8.8 0.6%
11-7 12.4% 5.4% 5.3% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 11.7 0.1%
10-8 14.1% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 11.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 13.7 0.0%
9-9 14.8% 1.7% 1.7% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 14.5
8-10 13.0% 1.1% 1.1% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.9
7-11 9.6% 0.6% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
6-12 6.9% 0.5% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.9
5-13 4.0% 0.3% 0.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.9% 4.1% 0.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 95.1 0.9%