Richmond
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#186
Expected Predictive Rating-6.8#278
Pace66.9#240
Improvement+3.2#20

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#233
First Shot+1.1#145
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#339
Layup/Dunks-3.2#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#119
Freethrows+2.8#53
Improvement+1.9#47

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#136
First Shot+3.5#77
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#326
Layups/Dunks+5.3#40
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#241
Freethrows-0.9#252
Improvement+1.3#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.1 13.1
.500 or above 12.6% 38.1% 12.4%
.500 or above in Conference 19.6% 34.5% 19.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 20.4% 8.8% 20.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 1.8% 0.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Auburn (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 34 - 76 - 16
Quad 46 - 311 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 242   Marist L 72-79 72%     0 - 1 -14.3 +0.3 -14.9
  Nov 13, 2024 205   @ Charlotte L 48-65 42%     0 - 2 -16.0 -20.5 +2.9
  Nov 16, 2024 260   @ Bucknell L 76-80 2OT 56%     0 - 3 -6.6 -8.7 +2.7
  Nov 20, 2024 211   Maine W 70-66 66%     1 - 3 -1.4 +0.2 -1.5
  Nov 26, 2024 103   Louisiana Tech L 62-65 29%     1 - 4 +1.5 -2.7 +3.9
  Nov 27, 2024 270   Ball St. W 73-60 68%     2 - 4 +7.0 +7.8 +0.9
  Dec 08, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 62-87 1%    
  Dec 14, 2024 132   Belmont W 75-74 51%    
  Dec 18, 2024 219   @ William & Mary L 76-77 46%    
  Dec 21, 2024 346   VMI W 77-63 91%    
  Dec 28, 2024 188   Florida Gulf Coast W 67-64 62%    
  Dec 31, 2024 151   George Washington W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 171   @ Massachusetts L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 08, 2025 82   @ George Mason L 60-71 17%    
  Jan 11, 2025 91   Rhode Island L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 15, 2025 88   @ St. Bonaventure L 61-71 18%    
  Jan 18, 2025 137   Saint Louis W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 25, 2025 134   Davidson W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 29, 2025 151   @ George Washington L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 01, 2025 55   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 59-73 11%    
  Feb 05, 2025 208   Duquesne W 68-64 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 134   @ Davidson L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 11, 2025 86   Loyola Chicago L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 201   Fordham W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 19, 2025 143   @ La Salle L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 22, 2025 101   @ Saint Joseph's L 65-74 21%    
  Feb 25, 2025 55   Virginia Commonwealth L 62-70 25%    
  Mar 01, 2025 46   @ Dayton L 63-78 10%    
  Mar 08, 2025 82   George Mason L 63-68 34%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.0 0.6 0.0 3.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.0 1.2 0.1 5.2 7th
8th 0.5 2.9 2.8 0.3 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.6 4.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 5.2 2.4 0.1 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 5.0 3.9 0.5 0.0 10.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 4.1 5.3 1.3 0.0 11.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 3.6 5.5 2.1 0.1 12.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.9 3.8 5.3 2.7 0.3 13.1 14th
15th 0.4 1.7 3.5 4.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 12.1 15th
Total 0.4 1.8 4.5 8.5 11.8 13.9 14.6 13.7 11.3 8.2 5.3 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 91.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 78.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 35.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 14.9% 14.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 7.5% 7.5% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.7% 8.7% 8.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 1.7% 4.4% 4.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
11-7 3.2% 3.7% 3.7% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
10-8 5.3% 1.6% 1.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2
9-9 8.2% 1.1% 1.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
8-10 11.3% 0.3% 0.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
7-11 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.6
6-12 14.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.6
5-13 13.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.9
4-14 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.8
3-15 8.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.5
2-16 4.5% 4.5
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.5 0.0%