Richmond
Atlantic 10
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#77
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#142
Pace69.9#165
Improvement+0.3#146

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#32
First Shot+7.0#19
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#230
Layup/Dunks+3.9#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.9#22
Freethrows-2.4#314
Improvement+0.0#176

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#152
First Shot+0.7#149
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#203
Layups/Dunks+1.2#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#224
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#199
Freethrows+0.6#158
Improvement+0.2#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 1.1% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.1% 20.1% 11.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.0% 8.7% 3.2%
Average Seed 10.8 10.6 11.3
.500 or above 81.3% 88.7% 73.3%
.500 or above in Conference 83.5% 86.6% 80.2%
Conference Champion 13.4% 16.1% 10.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
First Four2.4% 3.4% 1.4%
First Round14.9% 18.3% 11.2%
Second Round5.3% 6.9% 3.5%
Sweet Sixteen1.4% 2.0% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Away) - 52.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 5
Quad 23 - 54 - 10
Quad 38 - 312 - 13
Quad 48 - 119 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 335   NC Central W 70-60 97%     1 - 0 -4.6 -7.9 +3.3
  Nov 12, 2021 45   Utah St. L 74-85 38%     1 - 1 -1.2 +10.6 -12.6
  Nov 16, 2021 140   Georgia St. W 94-78 77%     2 - 1 +14.9 +13.0 +0.9
  Nov 20, 2021 57   @ Drake L 70-73 34%     2 - 2 +8.0 +2.7 +5.3
  Nov 22, 2021 132   Hofstra W 81-68 76%     3 - 2 +12.3 +10.8 +2.5
  Nov 25, 2021 51   Maryland L 80-86 42%     3 - 3 +2.7 +5.8 -2.6
  Nov 27, 2021 37   Mississippi St. L 71-82 OT 34%     3 - 4 -0.1 +2.5 -2.4
  Dec 01, 2021 118   @ Wofford W 73-72 52%    
  Dec 05, 2021 113   @ Northern Iowa W 77-76 51%    
  Dec 11, 2021 115   Toledo W 80-74 73%    
  Dec 17, 2021 64   North Carolina St. L 74-75 47%    
  Dec 19, 2021 233   Old Dominion W 74-61 89%    
  Dec 22, 2021 292   Bucknell W 87-70 94%    
  Dec 30, 2021 221   Saint Joseph's W 85-73 87%    
  Jan 02, 2022 63   @ Saint Louis L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 05, 2022 120   Massachusetts W 86-79 72%    
  Jan 08, 2022 246   @ Fordham W 74-66 77%    
  Jan 11, 2022 117   George Mason W 77-71 73%    
  Jan 14, 2022 84   Davidson W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 22, 2022 242   @ La Salle W 76-68 76%    
  Jan 25, 2022 73   @ Rhode Island L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 29, 2022 80   Virginia Commonwealth W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 01, 2022 192   @ Duquesne W 77-72 68%    
  Feb 04, 2022 39   St. Bonaventure L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 09, 2022 117   @ George Mason W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 12, 2022 242   La Salle W 79-65 89%    
  Feb 18, 2022 80   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 22, 2022 267   @ George Washington W 77-68 79%    
  Feb 25, 2022 63   Saint Louis W 76-74 58%    
  Mar 01, 2022 112   Dayton W 73-67 71%    
  Mar 04, 2022 39   @ St. Bonaventure L 67-74 27%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.3 3.6 4.3 2.8 1.1 0.2 13.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 5.2 4.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.6 4.5 1.0 0.1 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.0 5.3 1.1 0.1 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.7 5.5 1.5 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.1 2.1 0.1 10.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.1 2.5 0.3 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.2 2.9 0.4 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.5 4.6 7.5 10.4 12.7 14.5 14.6 12.1 9.2 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.8% 1.1    1.1 0.0
16-2 93.9% 2.8    2.4 0.4 0.0
15-3 73.9% 4.3    2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 39.1% 3.6    1.1 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.7% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.4% 13.4 7.6 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 96.3% 39.0% 57.3% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.0%
17-1 1.1% 86.1% 33.5% 52.7% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 79.1%
16-2 3.0% 69.1% 30.0% 39.1% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 55.8%
15-3 5.8% 52.7% 28.3% 24.4% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.8 34.0%
14-4 9.2% 34.0% 20.4% 13.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.0 17.1%
13-5 12.1% 20.8% 15.9% 4.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 9.5 5.8%
12-6 14.6% 12.3% 10.9% 1.4% 12.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 12.8 1.6%
11-7 14.5% 7.7% 7.5% 0.2% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 13.4 0.2%
10-8 12.7% 5.5% 5.4% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 12.0 0.1%
9-9 10.4% 3.8% 3.8% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.0
8-10 7.5% 2.3% 2.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.3
7-11 4.6% 1.0% 1.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
6-12 2.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
5-13 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 16.1% 10.8% 5.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 2.2 4.2 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 83.9 6.0%