Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#116
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#126
Pace76.3#42
Improvement+0.2#157

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#28
First Shot+6.9#21
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#186
Layup/Dunks-3.4#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#294
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.7#10
Freethrows+3.9#11
Improvement+3.2#6

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#289
First Shot-1.0#211
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#314
Layups/Dunks-2.2#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#133
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#122
Freethrows-1.2#253
Improvement-3.1#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 5.4% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.7 11.7 12.0
.500 or above 77.2% 83.8% 65.2%
.500 or above in Conference 63.1% 66.2% 57.4%
Conference Champion 3.3% 3.9% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.4% 2.0%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
First Round4.1% 4.8% 2.8%
Second Round1.0% 1.0% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Home) - 64.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 53 - 8
Quad 36 - 510 - 12
Quad 49 - 219 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 211   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-60 79%     1 - 0 +11.9 -3.5 +14.6
  Nov 12, 2021 121   @ Yale L 71-91 40%     1 - 1 -14.1 -4.2 -8.6
  Nov 15, 2021 67   Penn St. W 81-56 46%     2 - 1 +29.3 +16.4 +14.8
  Nov 18, 2021 97   Weber St. L 73-88 42%     2 - 2 -9.7 +5.6 -16.1
  Nov 19, 2021 167   UNC Greensboro W 93-90 OT 63%     3 - 2 +2.9 +16.8 -14.0
  Nov 21, 2021 214   Ball St. L 86-89 70%     3 - 3 -5.2 +4.1 -9.1
  Nov 24, 2021 209   Umass Lowell W 92-81 78%     4 - 3 +6.0 +11.2 -5.9
  Nov 27, 2021 87   Rutgers W 85-83 50%     5 - 3 +5.3 +16.7 -11.4
  Dec 04, 2021 131   Harvard W 82-78 64%    
  Dec 07, 2021 148   @ Northeastern L 72-73 46%    
  Dec 11, 2021 108   North Texas L 69-70 45%    
  Dec 19, 2021 237   Fairfield W 81-71 82%    
  Dec 22, 2021 254   NJIT W 81-70 86%    
  Dec 30, 2021 56   Saint Louis L 81-83 42%    
  Jan 02, 2022 246   @ Fordham W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 05, 2022 83   @ Richmond L 80-86 28%    
  Jan 08, 2022 194   Duquesne W 84-76 75%    
  Jan 11, 2022 73   @ Davidson L 74-81 28%    
  Jan 15, 2022 78   Rhode Island L 78-79 47%    
  Jan 23, 2022 56   @ Saint Louis L 78-86 23%    
  Jan 26, 2022 244   @ La Salle W 80-75 67%    
  Jan 30, 2022 115   George Mason W 81-78 61%    
  Feb 05, 2022 78   @ Rhode Island L 75-82 27%    
  Feb 09, 2022 262   George Washington W 84-72 85%    
  Feb 12, 2022 220   Saint Joseph's W 90-81 77%    
  Feb 16, 2022 39   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-80 18%    
  Feb 19, 2022 244   La Salle W 83-72 83%    
  Feb 23, 2022 113   @ Dayton L 74-77 36%    
  Feb 26, 2022 85   Virginia Commonwealth L 71-72 49%    
  Mar 02, 2022 246   Fordham W 81-70 83%    
  Mar 05, 2022 115   @ George Mason L 78-81 40%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.1 1.5 0.3 0.1 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 4.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.0 3.7 0.7 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.2 1.1 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.1 2.0 0.2 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 6.0 3.6 0.5 12.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.2 4.5 0.6 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.2 0.8 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.3 2.7 3.6 1.1 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.3 1.5 2.5 0.9 0.1 5.2 11th
12th 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 3.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.1 3.4 6.8 10.3 13.2 14.7 14.7 12.6 10.2 5.7 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-2 84.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 74.8% 1.0    0.5 0.5 0.0
14-4 36.7% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 9.4% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 85.9% 26.9% 59.0% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.7%
16-2 0.4% 60.4% 4.6% 55.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 58.5%
15-3 1.4% 33.3% 22.1% 11.2% 10.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 14.4%
14-4 3.0% 27.1% 15.2% 11.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 2.2 14.1%
13-5 5.7% 10.8% 8.8% 2.0% 11.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 5.1 2.2%
12-6 10.2% 9.4% 8.9% 0.4% 12.1 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 9.3 0.5%
11-7 12.6% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 12.1 0.0%
10-8 14.7% 1.6% 1.6% 12.3 0.2 0.1 14.5
9-9 14.7% 1.4% 1.4% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 14.5
8-10 13.2% 1.1% 1.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.1
7-11 10.3% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.1 10.2
6-12 6.8% 6.8
5-13 3.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 4.5% 3.5% 1.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 95.5 1.0%