Concord
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #55
New Haven Semi-State Rank #18
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #5
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 0th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Elkhart Central Early Bird Northwood Invitational Marion Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conf. Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/12 8/25 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 586 499 513 520 508 574 690 569 730 738
Team Adjusted Rating 499 513 520 508 574 634 569 607 676
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Elkhart Central Early Bird Northwood Invitational Marion Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conf. Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
116  Luke Owings 11 16:41 16:10 16:35 16:28 16:35 16:48 16:49 16:36 16:45 16:52 16:42
303  Luke Shoemaker 12 17:13 17:05 16:56 16:38 16:54 17:16 17:10 17:06 17:14 17:34 17:30
417  Noah Wright 11 17:28 17:08 17:15 17:14 17:20 17:04 17:35 17:37 17:54
655  Leandro Ortiz 11 17:53 17:57 17:48 18:34 17:44 18:34 17:51 17:47
796  William Nicoson 10 18:05 17:46 17:49 17:51 17:45 17:58 18:44 17:56 18:22 18:17
1,165  Ethan Smith 9 18:32 18:11 18:09 21:10 18:23 18:05 18:34 18:41 19:00 18:44
1,248  Gama Montel 12 18:37 19:33 18:09 18:40 18:03 19:21 18:30 18:20 19:20 18:39
Tyler Castillo 12 19:02 19:28 19:34 20:09 19:11 21:29 19:48 18:42
Brandon Cabrera 10 19:02 18:45 19:22 18:42 18:50 18:49 19:24
Richard Pietrariu 11 19:08 18:54 19:35 19:00 18:59 18:58 19:17
Andres Mejia 10 19:19 18:53 19:04 19:50
Kevin Cruz 10 19:43 19:10 18:53 19:38 19:41 20:09 20:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.3 130 0.5 3.0 7.6 15.7 30.1 22.4 13.6 6.3 0.9
Sectionals 100% 3.3 82 3.7 15.7 42.2 25.2 12.5 0.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Owings 9.1% 68.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1% 9.1%
Luke Shoemaker 0.0% 111.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Owings 100% 36.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.6 1.4 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.9 1.7 2.3 2.4 2.2 100.0% 100.0%
Luke Shoemaker 94.0% 87.0 0.0 94.0% 94.0%
Noah Wright 51.6% 105.6 51.6% 51.6%
Leandro Ortiz 1.8% 118.0 1.8% 1.8%
William Nicoson 0.0% 130.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Owings 100% 5.3 1.7 5.1 10.5 12.6 15.3 15.4 12.5 9.2 6.6 4.1 2.6 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Luke Shoemaker 100% 17.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 3.0 3.6 3.9 5.4 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.6 6.2 5.9 5.0 4.6 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.4 3.5 100.0%
Noah Wright 100% 27.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 2.1 2.3 2.4 3.0 3.2 3.3 4.0 4.2 5.0 4.7 100.0%
Leandro Ortiz 100% 41.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 100.0%
William Nicoson 100% 48.1 99.3%
Ethan Smith 100% 61.5 66.2%
Gama Montel 100% 65.6 48.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Owings 2.8 3.5 25.1 27.2 24.3 11.6 4.1 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Luke Shoemaker 9.1 0.3 1.5 6.0 9.4 9.1 10.9 11.3 10.0 8.8 7.3 7.1 6.1 4.3 2.7 2.2 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Noah Wright 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.7 3.2 4.5 5.7 6.4 7.9 7.7 9.1 9.3 9.5 9.5 8.4 5.4 3.7 2.4 1.5 0.9 0.6
Leandro Ortiz 23.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.9 4.3 6.0 8.4 8.8 8.9 9.8 9.2
William Nicoson 28.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.4 2.5 3.7 4.4 5.9
Ethan Smith 37.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
Gama Montel 40.3 0.0