Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #46
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #11
Crown Point Regional Rank #4
Gavit Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invite New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. Gavit Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/12 8/18 8/25 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 520 453 453 425 478 485 505 906 584 563 656 670
Team Adjusted Rating 453 453 425 478 485 505 524 537 510 576 670
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invite New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. Gavit Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
93  Isaac Beatty 12 16:35 16:09 16:07 16:08 16:08 16:30 16:26 16:40 16:50 16:46 16:55 16:57
207  Logan Russell 10 17:00 16:36 16:42 16:23 16:46 16:42 16:52 17:15 17:14 17:18 17:24
371  Braden Johnson 10 17:23 17:04 17:21 17:22 17:18 17:14 17:37 17:16 17:16 17:15 18:12
386  Jordan Duggan 10 17:26 17:42 17:19 17:04 17:26 17:30 17:16 17:41
797  Zakaria Mohiuddin 10 18:05 17:57 18:04 18:09 18:02 18:01 18:01 17:41 18:26 18:24
994  Vincent Vanderveen 9 18:19 18:21 18:29 18:07 18:31 18:22 18:13 18:14 22:48 18:05 18:22 18:13
1,000  Cayden Cooper 11 18:20 18:56 18:20 18:33 18:17 17:57
1,195  Ben Watta 12 18:34 18:20 18:38 18:45 18:30 18:32 18:28 18:25 18:44 18:31 18:49
1,232  AJ Rhody 10 18:36 18:35 18:00 18:11 18:27 18:21 18:54 18:58 18:30 19:03
1,354  Avery Ramos 9 18:46 17:55 18:05 18:32 18:43 18:48 19:11 18:55 18:58
1,430  Ryan Russell 12 18:51 19:02 18:46 19:10 18:58 18:36 18:41 19:02 18:46
Trey Scheub 9 19:24 18:00 18:24 18:48 19:26 19:26 20:17 20:00 19:27
Ben Schmitt 9 19:41
Brandon McPherson 11 19:46 19:45
Danny McGrath 10 19:49 20:08 20:42 19:21 19:52 19:35 22:10 19:50 18:52
Warren Chekaluk 11 19:50 22:05 19:41 20:19 19:03




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 10.2 256 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.8 9.5 14.8 18.9 23.9 22.8 2.4 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 4.0 97 0.0 0.1 3.6 93.2 3.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 42 4.0 95.9 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaac Beatty 74.7% 79.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 74.7% 74.7%
Logan Russell 5.8% 106.3 5.8% 5.8%
Braden Johnson 0.0% 151.5 0.0% 0.0%
Jordan Duggan 0.0% 144.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaac Beatty 100% 16.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.6 3.6 4.7 5.5 6.0 6.3 7.0 6.6 6.2 5.7 4.9 5.2 4.2 4.0 3.4 2.9 2.5 100.0%
Logan Russell 100% 37.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.0 2.1 100.0%
Braden Johnson 100% 67.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
Jordan Duggan 100% 72.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
Zakaria Mohiuddin 100% 128.6 36.3%
Vincent Vanderveen 100% 144.3 8.0%
Cayden Cooper 100% 144.9 7.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaac Beatty 100% 5.1 0.0 0.4 13.9 33.9 19.8 12.0 8.9 5.1 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Logan Russell 100% 11.2 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.0 7.3 9.6 10.8 10.5 10.1 8.8 8.5 7.0 5.1 4.2 3.0 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Braden Johnson 100% 20.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.2 2.0 2.8 3.6 5.1 6.1 7.1 8.2 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.1 5.8 5.7 100.0%
Jordan Duggan 100% 22.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.8 3.8 4.8 5.8 6.3 7.3 6.7 7.4 7.3 7.5 6.7 100.0%
Zakaria Mohiuddin 100% 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Vincent Vanderveen 100% 44.3 100.0%
Cayden Cooper 100% 44.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaac Beatty 1.6 0.6 83.1 10.3 3.7 1.5 0.7 0.2
Logan Russell 4.0 0.5 28.5 20.4 15.3 13.9 12.6 6.9 1.6 0.2 0.1
Braden Johnson 8.7 0.1 1.7 3.5 5.1 8.1 15.3 23.4 21.2 12.6 5.5 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jordan Duggan 9.3 0.1 0.8 2.1 3.6 5.4 10.9 20.6 24.5 17.4 8.4 3.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Zakaria Mohiuddin 16.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 4.6 9.1 14.0 17.8 15.8 15.1 11.7 6.1 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.0
Vincent Vanderveen 19.5 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.9 4.1 7.1 10.7 15.5 19.2 18.5 13.7 4.6 2.2 1.0
Cayden Cooper 19.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.8 7.3 10.3 13.8 18.9 19.4 14.3 5.4 2.4 1.1