All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Elkhart Central Early Bird |
NIC Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
New Prairie Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conf. |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/12 |
8/18 |
8/25 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
672 |
924 |
699 |
859 |
670 |
670 |
675 |
653 |
688 |
759 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
787 |
625 |
735 |
670 |
670 |
675 |
653 |
688 |
759 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Elkhart Central Early Bird |
NIC Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash |
New Prairie Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Indiana Conf. |
Riley Sectional |
Elkhart Central Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 82 |
Casey Quintana |
11 |
16:31 |
17:10 |
16:30 |
16:33 |
16:30 |
16:53 |
16:38 |
16:37 |
16:47 |
16:28 |
16:19 |
16:37 |
| 378 |
Deric Bailey |
11 |
17:23 |
17:11 |
17:07 |
|
17:06 |
17:08 |
17:11 |
17:23 |
17:53 |
18:16 |
|
|
| 560 |
Danny Sanchez |
11 |
17:43 |
18:20 |
17:23 |
17:32 |
17:34 |
17:20 |
17:44 |
17:52 |
17:49 |
17:59 |
|
|
| 712 |
Dylan Williams |
12 |
17:58 |
|
|
18:54 |
18:04 |
18:19 |
18:04 |
17:53 |
17:49 |
17:45 |
17:51 |
|
| 1,347 |
Ryan Hoopingarner |
9 |
18:45 |
19:47 |
18:53 |
18:47 |
19:07 |
18:45 |
18:48 |
18:24 |
18:20 |
18:58 |
|
|
|
Troy Crooks |
10 |
19:24 |
|
18:48 |
18:57 |
19:07 |
21:08 |
|
|
30:46 |
19:06 |
|
|
|
Ethan Byrd |
12 |
19:26 |
19:15 |
19:15 |
19:19 |
|
19:17 |
19:24 |
19:22 |
20:20 |
|
|
|
|
Alex Kincannon |
|
19:39 |
|
|
|
19:41 |
19:37 |
20:17 |
19:06 |
|
|
|
|
|
Levi Hall |
10 |
19:41 |
20:35 |
20:28 |
20:32 |
19:58 |
19:32 |
19:28 |
19:24 |
19:37 |
19:30 |
|
|
|
Jordan Bonk |
10 |
19:59 |
20:25 |
20:01 |
19:49 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Justin Szajko |
9 |
20:19 |
19:41 |
|
|
20:05 |
20:51 |
20:10 |
20:31 |
|
|
|
|
|
Abraham Cannon |
11 |
20:34 |
21:16 |
|
20:19 |
20:37 |
|
21:42 |
19:33 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
7.3 |
158 |
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
6.5 |
15.0 |
25.7 |
39.7 |
10.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.2 |
78 |
0.0 |
2.5 |
78.4 |
19.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Casey Quintana |
32.9% |
61.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
32.9% |
32.9% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Casey Quintana |
100% |
24.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Deric Bailey |
70.3% |
100.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70.3% |
70.3% |
| Danny Sanchez |
9.1% |
118.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.1% |
9.1% |
| Dylan Williams |
0.4% |
126.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
0.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Casey Quintana |
100% |
3.1 |
7.1 |
19.8 |
21.7 |
17.3 |
12.8 |
7.8 |
5.2 |
3.9 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Deric Bailey |
100% |
23.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
5.1 |
5.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Danny Sanchez |
100% |
36.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Dylan Williams |
100% |
44.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Ryan Hoopingarner |
100% |
70.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Casey Quintana |
1.5 |
30.7 |
38.7 |
21.3 |
5.8 |
2.3 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Deric Bailey |
10.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.1 |
4.2 |
6.2 |
9.0 |
8.8 |
10.8 |
10.8 |
13.3 |
12.7 |
8.4 |
5.3 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Danny Sanchez |
16.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
5.9 |
10.1 |
12.8 |
11.5 |
14.5 |
20.7 |
11.3 |
3.7 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
| Dylan Williams |
18.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
3.9 |
6.2 |
12.4 |
26.9 |
27.6 |
11.6 |
4.2 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
| Ryan Hoopingarner |
28.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.8 |
3.8 |
5.6 |
7.3 |
|
