Wabash
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #26
New Haven Semi-State Rank #9
Marion Regional Rank #1
Marion Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Norwell Invitational Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Apache Invitational Three Rivers Conf. Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/12 8/18 8/25 9/1 9/18 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 392 590 518 542 464 478 450 426 391 359
Team Adjusted Rating 481 415 455 464 478 450 426 391 359
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Norwell Invitational Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Apache Invitational Three Rivers Conf. Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
65  Dereck Vogel 11 16:24 16:38 16:26 16:33 16:23 16:38 16:43 16:44 16:33 16:12 16:37
153  Zack Reed 10 16:51 16:26 16:35 16:58 16:39 16:50 17:08 16:48 16:57 16:48
215  Koby Prater 12 17:00 17:04 17:23 17:05 17:25 17:00 16:48
313  Aaron Nickerson 12 17:15 18:22 17:50 17:47 18:01 17:42 17:22 17:14 17:04 17:02
336  Blakely Stevens 11 17:18 17:30 17:09 17:20 17:30 17:23 17:21 17:06 17:17 17:25
882  Caleb Callahan 11 18:11 18:18 18:17 18:06 18:05 18:22 18:27 17:58 18:13 18:03
1,028  Jarrett Wilson 10 18:22 18:32 18:36 18:02 18:08 18:05 18:16 19:25
Ethan Kocher 9 19:18 19:11 18:59 19:11 18:41 19:10 19:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 8.4 238 0.0 0.5 1.2 2.1 5.0 8.5 15.5 23.4 17.8 11.1 6.6 3.8 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.2 49 82.0 14.9 2.7 0.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.1 39 93.8 5.8 0.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dereck Vogel 57.9% 52.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 57.9% 57.9%
Zack Reed 1.5% 84.5 1.5% 1.5%
Koby Prater 0.1% 85.5 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dereck Vogel 100% 18.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.4 3.1 4.0 4.7 4.7 5.3 4.7 4.8 5.2 5.1 5.1 4.5 3.9 3.5 3.7 3.2 3.0 100.0%
Zack Reed 100% 49.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 100.0%
Koby Prater 100% 65.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Aaron Nickerson 100% 92.1 0.0 99.7%
Blakely Stevens 100% 96.3 0.0 99.5%
Caleb Callahan 100% 153.2 5.4%
Jarrett Wilson 100% 159.4 0.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dereck Vogel 100% 1.8 0.1 65.7 21.2 8.5 2.9 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Zack Reed 100% 6.1 0.1 6.5 11.1 15.1 15.3 12.5 10.2 8.3 6.6 4.9 3.1 2.3 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Koby Prater 100% 9.4 0.7 2.3 5.1 7.2 9.7 10.7 10.0 10.2 9.9 8.4 6.7 5.5 4.5 2.9 2.6 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Aaron Nickerson 100% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.6 3.5 5.1 6.7 7.9 8.4 8.1 8.6 8.1 7.7 7.5 6.4 5.0 3.4 2.5 1.8 1.3 100.0%
Blakely Stevens 100% 16.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.9 2.5 3.7 4.8 6.1 7.3 8.4 8.3 8.5 8.4 8.2 6.7 6.1 5.2 4.1 2.8 1.7 100.0%
Caleb Callahan 100% 43.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jarrett Wilson 100% 50.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dereck Vogel 1.7 0.1 67.7 22.4 8.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Zack Reed 4.9 0.2 8.5 17.1 26.6 19.1 12.5 8.1 5.2 2.1 0.5 0.2 0.0
Koby Prater 7.1 1.0 3.3 10.0 16.8 17.3 16.8 14.8 12.2 4.8 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0
Aaron Nickerson 10.6 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.7 6.6 9.8 14.6 22.3 19.0 10.7 5.9 3.0 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Blakely Stevens 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.1 7.1 12.3 19.6 22.8 13.3 8.5 4.8 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Caleb Callahan 24.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.6 4.1 5.9 7.3 8.6 9.3 9.7
Jarrett Wilson 28.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 2.0 2.7 3.9 5.3