Lowell
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #14
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #1
Crown Point Regional Rank #1
Crown Point Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 16th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 25.3%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Dave Walker Invitational Bob Thomas Invite New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conf. Crown Point Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 312 327 334 307 735 331 339 605 309 328
Team Adjusted Rating 327 334 307 300 331 339 363 309 328
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Dave Walker Invitational Bob Thomas Invite New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conf. Crown Point Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Gabriel Sanchez 11 15:32 15:40 15:49 15:30 15:48 15:56 15:57 15:56 15:25
95  Jacob Durr 11 16:36 16:37 16:33 16:31 16:54 16:53 17:12 16:34 16:29
140  Alexander Huseman 12 16:48 16:51 16:39 16:56 16:45 16:55 16:44 16:47
152  Dustin Hudak 12 16:51 16:44 16:57 16:49 16:38 16:53 16:54 16:43 17:09
423  Logan French 12 17:29 17:54 17:43 17:22 17:25 17:20 17:28 17:31
608  Michael Mayer 12 17:48 17:39 17:52 18:12 17:51 18:06 17:35 17:58
677  Malachi Freeman 11 17:55 19:05 18:20 17:32 17:50 18:35 18:07 17:42 18:13
733  Nick Nuccio 11 18:00 17:55 18:00 17:54 17:51 18:06 18:09
982  Jackson Bakker 9 18:18 18:55 18:50 18:16 18:33 19:09 17:59
1,059  Michael Flannery 12 18:24 18:02 18:35 18:21 18:30
1,280  Jackson Mielczarek 9 18:39 19:04 18:25 18:40 18:20 19:07 18:41
1,450  Ryan Streeter 11 18:52 19:06 18:34 18:28 19:02 19:32 18:48
1,522  Vaughn Huber 9 18:57 19:08 18:49 18:57 19:06 18:53
Jake Bruinius 12 19:08 19:17 19:42 18:48 18:57 18:55 19:21
Jason Palicka 10 19:09 19:00 19:46 19:24 18:43 19:05
Julian Childress 12 19:18 19:31 19:07 19:12 19:21
Dominik Fosco 11 19:18 19:05 19:16 19:13 19:30 19:20
Colin Arndt 12 21:20 19:08 20:09 23:11 21:46




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 13.5 342 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.3 3.8 5.1 6.2 5.7 7.7 7.4 7.7 8.0 8.8 8.8 7.8 6.2 5.1 3.8 2.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
Semi-State 100% 3.1 127 22.1 23.9 17.7 15.5 8.5 7.4 3.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.3 42 74.4 19.3 6.4
Sectionals 100% 1.3 32 66.4 33.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabriel Sanchez 100% 3.7 2.3 20.7 17.2 13.7 11.0 7.7 5.9 4.5 3.7 3.1 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Jacob Durr 100% 86.5 0.1 0.1 66.8%
Alexander Huseman 100% 109.2 29.9%
Dustin Hudak 100% 113.9 23.0%
Logan French 100% 178.5 0.0%
Michael Mayer 100% 195.5 0.0%
Malachi Freeman 100% 198.9 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabriel Sanchez 100% 1.0 81.5 13.8 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jacob Durr 100% 16.6 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.8 3.4 3.2 4.4 6.6 5.9 5.6 7.0 7.0 6.0 6.1 5.3 4.9 4.4 4.4 3.4 3.0 2.6 100.0%
Alexander Huseman 100% 25.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.4 4.1 4.2 4.7 4.1 4.4 4.9 4.6 100.0%
Dustin Hudak 100% 28.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.0 0.5 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.9 2.9 2.7 3.5 4.1 4.7 4.3 3.7 4.1 100.0%
Logan French 100% 75.9 99.0%
Michael Mayer 100% 106.3 82.1%
Malachi Freeman 100% 115.6 65.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabriel Sanchez 100% 1.0 84.0 13.5 2.5 0.1 100.0%
Jacob Durr 100% 5.2 0.1 0.7 13.8 30.2 25.9 12.3 8.0 3.4 2.4 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Alexander Huseman 100% 7.6 0.9 4.6 13.7 20.4 17.0 12.5 8.4 7.1 4.5 3.3 2.4 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Dustin Hudak 100% 8.4 0.4 2.2 8.7 15.8 16.8 15.2 11.4 7.9 6.1 4.7 3.9 2.3 1.9 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Logan French 100% 23.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.4 2.7 3.0 3.6 3.6 5.1 5.2 7.0 6.2 7.2 7.6 6.7 100.0%
Michael Mayer 100% 32.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.3 100.0%
Malachi Freeman 100% 35.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabriel Sanchez 1.0 87.8 12.2 0.1
Jacob Durr 3.5 0.3 19.0 57.7 15.6 5.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.1
Alexander Huseman 5.2 1.4 9.4 32.6 28.8 15.5 7.1 3.3 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
Dustin Hudak 5.7 0.6 4.9 22.7 32.3 20.5 10.0 5.4 1.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
Logan French 13.7 0.7 1.6 4.8 7.1 8.7 9.9 9.9 10.6 9.9 10.9 9.2 7.8 5.1 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.1
Michael Mayer 19.6 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.5 2.5 2.8 5.5 7.3 8.1 12.5 15.9 18.9 12.0 7.8 2.7 1.1
Malachi Freeman 21.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.8 4.0 4.8 8.1 12.2 15.6 21.7 14.0 9.7 4.0