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State Rank #42
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #10
New Prairie Regional Rank #5
New Prairie Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Jack Bransford Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invite New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/25 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 493 546 501 495 656 568 966 568 481 492 462
Team Adjusted Rating 546 501 495 545 568 493 568 481 473 462
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jack Bransford Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invite New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
86  Kyle Gutierrez 11 16:32 16:32 16:28 16:09 16:24 16:24 16:27 16:38 16:44 16:57
148  Tommy Elwood 11 16:50 16:54 16:57 16:40 16:58 17:02 16:51 16:46 16:43 16:50
418  Dylan Filla 12 17:28 19:00 18:06 18:30 17:41 17:54 18:05 17:27 17:10 17:17
472  Andrew Doctor 11 17:35 18:13 17:34 18:04 18:02 18:29 18:06 18:12 17:23
527  Brandon Warren 10 17:41 17:35 17:37 17:30 17:46 17:46 17:36 17:39 17:50 17:40
563  Matthew Zmija 12 17:44 17:50 17:36 17:51 17:48 18:02 18:15 17:35 18:01 17:31
759  Joe Mietzner 11 18:02 18:19 18:17 18:18 18:17 18:12 18:09 18:04 17:46 17:43 17:51
885  Connor Belt 12 18:11 17:55 17:45 17:49 18:16 17:55 18:57 18:32
1,126  Gavin Schaefer 10 18:29 18:35 18:19 18:29 18:28 18:37 18:30 18:26
1,147  Luke Elwood 9 18:30 18:09 18:07 18:35 18:38 18:44
1,149  Zach Thompson 11 18:31 18:52 18:50 18:22 18:41 18:16 18:12 18:36
1,193  Arturo Perez 12 18:34 18:18 18:37 18:52 18:35 18:13 18:46 18:31
1,559  Stephan Sulivan 11 18:59 19:43 19:04 18:46 20:11 18:40 18:40
Lukas Streetman 11 19:19 19:35 19:20 19:26 19:14 19:10 20:32 18:35
Mike Bingham 12 19:20 19:14 19:44 19:24 19:15 19:16 19:37 19:02
Raphael Maier 9 19:22 20:48 19:41 19:36 19:20 18:46 19:32 18:56
Nate Shaffer 11 19:23 18:51 19:22 19:44
Kalisto Rosales 11 19:36 19:02 19:53 20:00 19:23




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 9.4 237 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.4 3.9 8.7 16.9 20.0 18.8 16.2 12.6 0.7 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.9 97 0.4 7.9 26.6 32.6 30.6 1.8 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.8 97 0.3 8.8 29.6 31.9 29.3 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Gutierrez 85.1% 74.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 85.1% 85.1%
Tommy Elwood 25.1% 96.2 25.1% 25.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Gutierrez 100% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.6 3.1 4.4 5.5 6.1 7.2 7.8 7.7 6.9 6.5 5.5 5.9 4.7 3.6 3.1 2.9 2.1 2.2 2.1 100.0%
Tommy Elwood 100% 26.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.3 2.1 2.3 2.4 3.0 3.8 4.1 4.1 3.9 4.1 4.9 3.9 99.8%
Dylan Filla 100% 75.2 42.4%
Andrew Doctor 100% 86.0 22.1%
Brandon Warren 100% 94.3 11.9%
Matthew Zmija 100% 98.5 8.4%
Joe Mietzner 100% 124.9 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Gutierrez 100% 4.4 1.4 10.8 14.2 16.9 15.1 11.9 8.7 6.9 5.0 3.3 2.0 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tommy Elwood 100% 10.6 0.0 0.7 1.8 3.0 4.7 7.5 7.7 8.9 10.3 8.8 9.3 7.2 6.5 5.1 4.4 3.1 2.9 2.4 1.7 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Dylan Filla 100% 30.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.3 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.6 99.8%
Andrew Doctor 100% 35.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.5 99.0%
Brandon Warren 100% 38.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 97.3%
Matthew Zmija 100% 40.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 95.0%
Joe Mietzner 100% 49.6 59.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Gutierrez 3.7 1.5 13.2 19.9 21.9 15.3 10.4 6.4 4.9 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Tommy Elwood 8.7 0.2 0.9 3.3 6.4 9.3 11.3 11.5 10.4 9.6 8.1 6.6 5.5 4.5 3.4 2.9 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Dylan Filla 24.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.7 3.5 4.9 4.7 6.3 7.8 8.7 8.5
Andrew Doctor 28.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.9 2.1 3.6 4.0 5.3 5.6
Brandon Warren 30.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.8 2.6 3.2
Matthew Zmija 32.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.4 2.4
Joe Mietzner 39.5 0.0 0.0