Warsaw
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #47
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #12
Culver Academies Regional Rank #1
Culver Academies Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 12th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Lakes Conf. Culver Academies Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/1 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 524 496 522 542 592 571 547 520
Team Adjusted Rating 496 522 542 592 533 547 467
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Lakes Conf. Culver Academies Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
108  Zeb Hernandez 12 16:39 16:34 16:40 16:28 16:51 16:56 16:42 16:27 17:57
230  Sam Lechlitner 10 17:02 16:54 16:42 17:16 17:14 17:06 17:08 16:49
440  Jacob Kissling 10 17:31 17:35 17:50 17:43 17:43 17:23 17:18
444  Tanner Stiver 10 17:31 17:18 17:28 17:27 17:34 17:23 17:50
613  Jack Horoho 12 17:49 17:48 17:46 17:49 18:12 17:48 17:46 17:37
843  Harrison Phipps 9 18:08 18:14 18:08 18:15 18:04 17:59 18:13
1,067  Fernando Niebbia 11 18:25 17:48 18:23 18:36 18:32 18:18 18:32 18:12
1,207  Hunter Thompson 10 18:35 18:34 18:34
1,477  Anthony Bass 12 18:54 19:41 18:43 18:42 19:22 19:01
Austin Fleming 11 19:14 18:45 19:14
Noah Marshall 12 19:15 20:10 19:06 19:27




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 10.4 262 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.4 4.7 8.6 12.9 16.5 22.0 29.6 3.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 37 99.8 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.0 36 99.7 0.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zeb Hernandez 62.5% 84.5 0.0 0.0 62.5% 62.5%
Sam Lechlitner 4.1% 105.4 4.1% 4.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zeb Hernandez 100% 18.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.0 1.6 2.7 2.6 3.9 4.5 4.8 6.0 5.7 6.2 5.1 5.7 5.3 4.4 4.6 4.1 4.2 3.8 100.0%
Sam Lechlitner 100% 39.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.0 100.0%
Jacob Kissling 100% 79.3 100.0%
Tanner Stiver 100% 80.2 100.0%
Jack Horoho 100% 106.9 98.4%
Harrison Phipps 100% 132.2 73.7%
Fernando Niebbia 100% 149.4 23.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zeb Hernandez 100% 2.1 0.6 42.5 52.8 3.7 0.4 100.0%
Sam Lechlitner 100% 3.7 0.4 6.1 58.3 23.2 8.1 2.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jacob Kissling 100% 8.5 0.0 3.6 9.9 14.7 13.9 14.5 12.6 9.2 7.2 4.9 3.4 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tanner Stiver 100% 8.7 3.3 9.2 12.6 15.5 14.2 12.0 9.4 7.6 5.3 4.3 2.2 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jack Horoho 100% 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.7 5.1 6.4 8.0 9.4 9.2 9.3 8.7 8.6 6.7 6.5 5.1 3.5 2.5 1.8 1.4 1.0 100.0%
Harrison Phipps 100% 22.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.3 2.1 2.8 3.3 4.3 6.1 7.0 7.1 7.7 7.8 7.8 6.5 100.0%
Fernando Niebbia 100% 31.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.9 3.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zeb Hernandez 2.1 0.8 42.7 52.6 3.7 0.3 0.0
Sam Lechlitner 3.7 0.2 5.9 60.3 25.8 6.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
Jacob Kissling 7.5 0.0 5.1 14.8 19.8 19.1 14.9 11.3 6.6 3.8 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Tanner Stiver 7.6 0.1 4.3 13.3 19.9 19.4 15.9 10.4 7.5 4.4 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0
Jack Horoho 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.5 7.7 10.6 12.6 13.8 13.8 11.3 9.7 7.2 4.2 2.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Harrison Phipps 17.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.2 3.6 5.9 9.6 12.0 13.5 12.7 11.5 8.7 6.9 4.8 3.3 1.7 1.2
Fernando Niebbia 22.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.9 4.4 6.8 10.1 10.0 11.0 10.4 10.0 8.1