West Noble
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #23
New Haven Semi-State Rank #8
West Noble Regional Rank #6
West Noble Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 1.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 14.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational NECC Superdual Tippecanoe Valley Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northeast Corner Conf. West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/25 9/1 9/4 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 352 371 418 378 320 365 319 404 341 370 319 341 411
Team Adjusted Rating 371 418 378 296 365 319 404 341 370 319 341 411
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational NECC Superdual Tippecanoe Valley Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northeast Corner Conf. West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
76  Dakota Thompson 12 16:30 16:38 16:49 16:46 16:10 16:26 16:49 17:03 16:29 16:49 16:12 16:26 16:51
83  Colten Cripe 11 16:31 16:15 16:37 16:18 16:23 16:39 16:06 16:35 16:40 16:22 16:35 16:34 16:41
158  Jordan Shoemaker 12 16:52 17:24 17:02 17:03 16:50 16:40 16:54 16:52 16:47 16:49 16:53 16:59
266  Abraham Longoria 11 17:08 17:14 17:16 17:18 16:48 17:06 17:02 17:15 17:02 17:17 17:08 17:07 17:13
291  Nathan Mast 11 17:11 17:03 17:26 17:09 17:08 17:22 17:07 17:14 17:03 17:20 17:00 17:04 17:23
349  Michael Weaver 11 17:19 17:16 17:26 17:19 17:12 17:28 17:16 17:15 17:09 17:12 17:17 17:25 17:43
745  Isaac Flora 10 18:01 18:48 18:13 18:10 17:42 17:54 17:54 17:50 18:08 17:53 18:10 18:06 18:06
1,146  Cameron Dupuy 9 18:30 18:57 18:35 18:45 18:16
1,439  Ryan Reyes 11 18:51 18:56 18:45 19:15 18:44




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 16.2 385 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.1 2.7 2.5 3.3 3.4 3.6 4.9 5.7 6.8 7.5 8.1 8.2 9.5 11.1 8.7 5.5 2.3 0.9
Semi-State 100% 6.5 195 0.4 3.2 5.9 8.6 12.3 17.4 22.4 15.0 7.6 3.9 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 4.8 112 3.4 5.8 9.3 15.4 24.5 41.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.7 47 25.2 74.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dakota Thompson 100% 72.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 35.9%
Colten Cripe 100% 76.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 30.8%
Jordan Shoemaker 100% 116.6 1.2%
Abraham Longoria 100% 146.7 0.0%
Nathan Mast 100% 152.7 0.0%
Michael Weaver 100% 165.7 0.0%
Isaac Flora 100% 201.2 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dakota Thompson 100% 22.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.9 3.1 3.7 3.5 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.9 99.0%
Colten Cripe 100% 24.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.6 4.7 4.0 4.2 3.4 3.6 4.3 98.5%
Jordan Shoemaker 100% 52.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 67.7%
Abraham Longoria 100% 79.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.0%
Nathan Mast 100% 84.8 0.0 14.6%
Michael Weaver 100% 99.1 4.2%
Isaac Flora 100% 145.8 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dakota Thompson 100% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.7 4.8 6.9 9.4 9.4 10.2 10.0 9.1 8.0 6.4 5.0 3.6 2.9 2.2 2.1 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.5 100.0%
Colten Cripe 100% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.9 2.1 3.7 5.3 7.3 8.3 10.0 10.0 10.0 9.2 6.5 6.5 5.1 3.8 2.4 1.9 1.4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.5 100.0%
Jordan Shoemaker 100% 23.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.8 2.0 3.1 3.7 4.4 4.8 5.2 4.9 5.4 5.4 5.5 4.8 4.7 100.0%
Abraham Longoria 100% 36.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.0 100.0%
Nathan Mast 100% 39.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.3 100.0%
Michael Weaver 100% 46.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Isaac Flora 100% 65.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dakota Thompson 4.2 1.5 9.3 15.5 20.1 23.9 16.8 8.4 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0
Colten Cripe 4.5 1.0 6.1 13.1 18.6 22.4 20.8 9.8 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Jordan Shoemaker 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 4.9 13.7 17.1 17.6 14.4 10.9 7.8 5.3 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
Abraham Longoria 13.1 0.1 0.6 2.5 4.7 7.3 10.1 11.3 12.8 12.1 11.2 9.4 6.6 4.5 3.5 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0
Nathan Mast 14.3 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.4 4.5 5.6 9.1 11.3 12.6 12.3 12.1 9.8 7.3 5.5 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.1
Michael Weaver 17.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 1.3 3.0 4.2 6.9 9.6 11.0 12.9 12.4 12.7 11.3 8.1 5.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Isaac Flora 24.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 4.7 18.1 17.4 14.8