Floyd Central
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #15
Brown County Semi-State Rank #3
Crawford County Regional Rank #1
Crawford County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 13th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 17.5%
Advance to State Finals 97.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Austin Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity / Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Crawford County Sectional
Date 8/18 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12
Team Rating 326 364 323 345 336 292 386
Team Adjusted Rating 364 317 323 323 278 350
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Austin Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity / Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Crawford County Sectional
68  Hunter Griffin 11 16:30 16:26 16:30 16:32 16:28 16:15 16:53
126  Weston Naville 10 16:46 16:44 16:52 16:53 16:38
133  Luke Heinemann 12 16:48 17:21 16:43 16:35 17:00 16:44 16:47
155  David Heinemann 12 16:52 17:01
185  Eli Johnson 12 16:57 17:07 16:47 16:57 16:52 16:54 16:57
237  Justin McWilliams 11 17:05 17:31 16:58 17:12 17:04 16:29 17:12
242  Mitchel Meier 10 17:06 17:08 17:10 17:10 17:04 16:59 17:00
322  Wade Woosley 11 17:16 17:29 17:17 17:25 17:17 17:00 17:11
459  Nicholas Gordan 11 17:32 17:15 17:49 17:32 17:17 17:29 17:45
660  Seth Owings 11 17:51 17:53 17:42 17:44 17:40 19:09
759  Garrett Gravitt 11 18:00 18:30 18:01 17:52 17:52 17:53
809  Adam Heitz 10 18:04 17:57 18:21 18:02 18:07
1,036  Ethan Lawver 12 18:22 18:03 18:30 18:12 18:34 18:33
1,281  Charlie Cook 10 18:39 18:41
Micah Yankey 9 19:14 19:14 18:50 19:44 19:16
Nathan Wheatley 9 19:15 19:00 19:33




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 97.6% 14.8 367 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.6 2.3 3.0 3.3 5.0 4.6 8.0 8.6 8.3 7.2 8.0 7.0 6.5 5.1 4.3 4.1 4.2 2.9 1.6
Semi-State 100% 3.4 127 5.3 15.8 42.1 19.5 9.9 5.1 1.9 0.3 0.3
Regionals 100% 1.3 41 73.7 26.3
Sectionals 100% 1.0 21 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Griffin 98.2% 68.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 26.5% 83.8%
Weston Naville 97.6% 105.8 0.1 0.0% 31.7%
Luke Heinemann 97.6% 109.3 2.0% 27.3%
David Heinemann 97.6% 120.1 0.0% 16.5%
Eli Johnson 97.6% 129.9 0.0% 9.4%
Justin McWilliams 97.6% 148.2 0.0% 2.4%
Mitchel Meier 97.6% 150.3 0.0% 1.6%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Griffin 100% 14.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.4 2.5 3.1 4.5 5.0 5.1 5.5 6.1 5.6 6.6 5.4 5.7 5.5 4.3 4.6 3.3 3.6 2.7 2.5 2.1 1.9 100.0%
Weston Naville 100% 28.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.9 4.1 3.8 3.5 100.0%
Luke Heinemann 100% 31.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.8 1.8 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.3 3.1 100.0%
David Heinemann 100% 36.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.6 1.4 1.1 2.1 1.8 2.1 2.7 100.0%
Eli Johnson 100% 41.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.4 1.2 100.0%
Justin McWilliams 100% 53.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 100.0%
Mitchel Meier 100% 54.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 99.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Griffin 100% 2.9 6.9 22.8 23.3 15.3 11.6 8.7 4.8 3.5 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Weston Naville 100% 7.8 0.2 0.8 4.2 5.3 7.4 10.6 12.6 11.0 11.9 10.4 7.9 6.7 3.8 2.6 2.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Luke Heinemann 100% 8.1 0.1 0.6 2.2 5.1 7.0 9.6 12.0 12.1 11.2 10.3 9.6 6.4 5.1 3.4 2.3 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 100.0%
David Heinemann 100% 10.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.7 4.8 6.9 9.3 12.3 10.6 11.4 9.3 8.7 7.7 4.7 3.5 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Eli Johnson 100% 12.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.4 1.7 3.1 5.0 6.6 9.1 10.9 11.0 11.0 11.1 7.8 6.6 5.1 3.0 2.8 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Justin McWilliams 100% 15.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.4 2.9 3.6 5.5 8.0 8.3 10.7 11.3 10.8 10.3 9.2 6.2 5.0 2.5 1.3 1.0 0.2 100.0%
Mitchel Meier 100% 15.7 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.0 2.7 3.4 5.7 7.3 8.2 10.8 11.8 10.7 10.0 8.8 7.4 4.8 3.1 0.9 0.6 0.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hunter Griffin 1.0 65.9 27.4 4.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.1
Weston Naville 3.1 3.0 18.2 25.9 22.4 14.5 8.1 3.7 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
Luke Heinemann 3.5 2.1 14.4 22.8 21.8 16.1 11.7 5.1 3.6 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.2
David Heinemann 4.7 0.4 5.1 13.0 16.6 21.0 16.6 11.6 7.7 3.8 2.2 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1
Eli Johnson 5.9 1.5 4.7 9.0 16.5 20.2 18.0 10.4 8.1 5.6 3.4 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.2
Justin McWilliams 8.4 0.1 0.3 1.6 3.8 7.0 14.4 16.4 14.8 14.8 10.8 8.2 5.4 1.6 0.8 0.4
Mitchel Meier 8.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 6.3 12.4 15.8 17.9 14.0 12.1 9.8 5.6 2.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1