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2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #161
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #30
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank #6
Benton Central Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 3.2%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating North White Invitational Caston Invitational New Prairie Invitational Benton Central Sectional Benton Central Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/24 9/7 9/21 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 1,084 1,075 1,212 1,079 1,101 1,021
Team Adjusted Rating 1,075 1,212 1,079 1,101 1,021
State RankRunnerSeason Rating North White Invitational Caston Invitational New Prairie Invitational Benton Central Sectional Benton Central Regional New Prairie Semi-State
852  Branden Simmons 12 18:06 18:14 17:56 17:52 18:20 18:04 18:11
859  Thomas Tullius 11 18:06 18:19 18:27 18:10 18:12 17:54 17:56
1,579  Chase Harner 10 18:57 18:22 19:44 19:02 19:03 18:42
Nathan Fluery 11 19:06 19:35 19:45 19:09 19:07 18:46
Coby Ingersoll 12 19:22 19:00 19:21 19:21 19:09 20:05
Arthur Zarse 11 19:31 21:26 19:57 19:24 19:15 19:23
Nathan Phelps 9 20:36 21:27 21:37 21:25 21:00 20:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 3.2% 19.8 541 0.1 0.5 2.7
Regionals 100% 6.3 178 0.1 3.1 63.8 27.9 5.1
Sectionals 100% 1.3 50 70.0 27.8 2.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Branden Simmons 99.8% 130.4 99.7% 99.8%
Thomas Tullius 99.6% 130.8 99.6% 99.6%
Chase Harner 7.3% 160.0 4.2% 4.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Branden Simmons 100% 25.9 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.7 2.3 3.4 3.1 3.9 5.5 5.5 7.0 7.7 100.0%
Thomas Tullius 100% 26.4 0.1 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.0 2.6 3.5 4.1 5.1 5.2 6.3 7.3 100.0%
Chase Harner 100% 47.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Branden Simmons 2.8 6.0 16.7 34.6 32.5 8.5 1.3 0.4 0.2
Thomas Tullius 2.9 5.4 14.6 35.1 33.7 9.3 1.7 0.3 0.1
Chase Harner 10.5 0.8 3.6 6.3 9.0 11.8 12.4 11.8 10.6 9.5 8.9 6.2 4.2 2.7 1.5 0.8 0.4