Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #13
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #2
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
New Prairie Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 4.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 24.3%
Advance to State Finals 99.7%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valpo Jamboree Penn Invitational THSB State Preview Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational (AAA) New Prairie Invitational (Fr-So) New Prairie Invitational (JV) Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional
Date 8/27 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/21 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12
Team Rating 311 693 301 300 296 307 809 904 723 319 348
Team Adjusted Rating 331 301 300 296 261 311 311 311 319 308
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valpo Jamboree Penn Invitational THSB State Preview Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational (AAA) New Prairie Invitational (Fr-So) New Prairie Invitational (JV) Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional
37  Jack Acton 12 16:16 16:27 16:11 16:11 16:23
97  Joey Roytan 12 16:39 16:30 18:20 16:20 16:14 16:51 16:38
147  Ty Puskar 12 16:50 16:52 16:45 16:51 16:50 16:49 16:54
183  Ethan Vinyard 12 16:56 17:01 16:50 16:57 16:51 16:57 16:56
184  Bobby Woodburn 12 16:57 21:39 16:39 16:44 17:08 16:40 16:51 16:55
232  Tommy Cavanaugh 12 17:05 17:06 16:56 17:02 17:06 17:03 17:12
268  Will Miltenberger 11 17:09 21:39 17:18 17:01 17:09 16:50 16:52
329  Nick Clark 12 17:17 17:08 17:05 17:12 17:41 17:46
383  Joel Bryant 10 17:23 17:17 17:20 17:15 17:36 17:28 17:38 17:30 17:14
650  Carter Stephens 12 17:50 17:44 17:53 17:30 17:42 18:33 18:11
667  Charlie Moye 10 17:51 17:48 17:50 17:53 17:51 17:54 17:53 17:48
686  Quan Le 10 17:52 17:12 17:50 17:51 18:24
934  Keaton Olson 11 18:14 18:03 17:52 18:13 18:21 19:06 18:08
958  Jimmy Dillabaugh 9 18:16 18:26 18:22 18:09 18:30 18:16 18:01
1,119  Riley Clark 9 18:27 18:35 18:32 18:35 18:50 18:11 18:08
1,292  Jack Schwartz 12 18:39 18:31 18:50 18:35 18:33 18:49
1,348  Jon Fry 12 18:44 18:23 18:52 18:43 18:10 19:08 18:47
1,366  Gavin Ellis 10 18:45 18:05 19:13 19:26 19:05 18:30 18:25
1,411  Nick Gring 9 18:48 19:14 18:45 18:35 18:37 18:59
1,437  Zack Villarreal 10 18:50 18:38 18:48 18:53 19:24 18:54 18:36
1,489  Nick Ribordy 12 18:54 19:29 18:51 18:48 18:41 18:54
1,499  Will Young 9 18:54 18:36 19:14 18:58 18:52 18:56 18:52
1,509  Nathan Nova 9 18:55 18:48 19:00 18:45 18:29 19:21 19:11
Jack Thursby 11 19:00 19:39 19:02 19:00 19:21 18:53 18:37
Patrick Brogan 10 19:24 19:29 19:16 19:00 19:33 19:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.7% 13.8 350 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.9 2.0 2.9 4.6 5.0 5.7 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.6 6.8 7.6 6.4 5.8 4.3 4.6 2.9 3.0 1.8 1.1
Semi-State 100% 2.1 92 40.8 30.3 15.3 8.4 4.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.2 37 79.6 18.4 2.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.2 37 79.0 18.5 2.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Acton 100.0% 39.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.3 85.7% 99.9%
Joey Roytan 99.7% 89.1 0.1 0.1 14.3% 86.1%
Ty Puskar 99.7% 117.2 0.0% 54.6%
Ethan Vinyard 99.7% 130.5 0.0% 35.2%
Bobby Woodburn 99.7% 130.0 0.0% 33.7%
Tommy Cavanaugh 99.7% 148.4 0.0% 12.3%
Will Miltenberger 99.7% 158.1 0.0% 7.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Acton 100% 4.9 0.6 1.9 8.1 42.0 20.6 11.9 5.8 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Joey Roytan 100% 12.7 0.3 4.1 7.7 7.2 6.7 7.3 6.7 6.6 5.5 5.0 5.7 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.8 2.7 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.7 2.0 100.0%
Ty Puskar 100% 22.5 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 2.0 3.0 2.7 3.2 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.7 4.0 4.5 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.1 3.8 2.6 100.0%
Ethan Vinyard 100% 30.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.4 3.0 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.4 3.0 2.9 2.8 3.0 100.0%
Bobby Woodburn 100% 30.6 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 1.5 1.3 1.4 2.0 2.3 2.4 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.7 3.4 3.6 2.8 2.9 100.0%
Tommy Cavanaugh 100% 42.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.8 1.4 1.6 1.2 99.5%
Will Miltenberger 100% 49.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 1.1 1.3 98.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Acton 100% 1.0 78.0 12.4 5.7 2.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Joey Roytan 100% 4.1 0.3 17.2 16.3 14.8 14.3 10.4 7.8 4.9 4.6 3.2 2.0 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Ty Puskar 100% 7.9 1.2 4.6 5.4 7.9 10.5 10.9 10.4 8.1 6.7 7.0 5.3 4.9 3.5 3.6 2.1 2.3 1.2 1.4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Ethan Vinyard 100% 11.5 0.3 1.1 2.2 3.1 4.5 6.0 7.1 7.1 8.2 6.9 8.2 7.0 6.0 5.6 4.7 3.8 3.9 3.2 3.2 1.6 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.6 100.0%
Bobby Woodburn 100% 11.3 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.3 3.9 7.2 7.1 7.8 8.3 7.3 7.1 6.8 5.4 5.3 5.1 3.7 4.0 2.9 3.1 2.3 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.0 100.0%
Tommy Cavanaugh 100% 16.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.4 3.0 4.1 5.6 5.3 6.6 5.2 5.9 5.0 6.2 7.0 6.2 5.1 5.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.6 100.0%
Will Miltenberger 100% 19.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 1.7 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.8 4.3 4.3 5.3 5.4 5.8 6.3 6.1 6.1 6.4 5.6 5.6 4.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Acton 1.0 78.3 11.7 6.6 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1
Joey Roytan 4.0 0.4 17.5 17.6 15.0 15.1 10.6 7.8 5.8 3.5 2.2 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Ty Puskar 7.8 1.4 3.9 6.4 8.6 11.6 10.4 9.6 9.4 8.4 5.6 6.0 4.2 3.4 2.5 2.3 2.2 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2
Ethan Vinyard 10.3 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.6 6.4 7.7 9.1 8.7 9.5 7.5 6.8 7.3 5.8 5.8 4.0 3.4 3.0 1.8 2.4 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.3
Bobby Woodburn 10.4 0.1 1.3 2.1 4.3 5.4 7.7 7.8 9.5 8.4 9.1 7.2 6.2 5.7 4.9 4.4 4.0 3.5 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.5
Tommy Cavanaugh 15.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.8 2.4 4.5 4.7 5.3 6.5 7.8 7.4 7.6 7.3 6.3 6.9 4.8 7.0 4.4 4.3 2.7 2.2 2.1
Will Miltenberger 17.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.3 2.4 3.9 5.5 4.5 6.3 7.5 6.6 6.7 7.1 7.2 6.3 6.6 6.4 5.3 4.1 4.1