Carmel
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #2
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 17.4%
Top 5 at State Finals 90.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.9%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Hamilton County Marion Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invite North Central/Carmel JV
Date 8/16 9/1 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/19
Team Rating 113 95 142 320 126 113 497
Team Adjusted Rating 83 116 109 126 113 113
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Hamilton County Marion Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invite North Central/Carmel JV
Kole Mathison 10 15:20 15:11 15:17 15:28 15:28
26  Jake Fisher 12 16:02 15:47 15:45 16:23 16:02
28  Charlie Schuman 11 16:03 15:58 16:10 16:03 15:56
46  Charlie Leedke 10 16:10 16:05 16:12 16:05
60  Hudson Alden 12 16:21 16:06 16:27 16:11 16:35
113  Nate Seketa 12 16:38 16:31 16:36 16:45 16:30
154  Bing Hudson 12 16:47 16:22 17:18 16:45 16:55 16:31
224  Owen Urtel 12 17:01 16:52 17:10 16:56 17:05
233  Kj Sweeney 10 17:02 16:50 17:00 17:53 16:56 16:49
257  Quavion Hooks 10 17:06 17:21 17:02 16:56 16:57 17:14
270  Will Anderson 12 17:07 17:26 17:12 16:55
312  Connor Heagy 11 17:14 16:57 17:37 17:14
321  Connor Mallon 10 17:15 17:14 17:10 17:18
324  Carter Lindfelt 12 17:16 17:06 17:04 17:21
365  Thomas Biltimier 9 17:22 17:21 17:31 17:20
450  Dan Schrader-Dobris 12 17:33 17:09 17:37 17:37
498  James Gastineau 12 17:40 17:53 17:31
530  Neil Fairman 10 17:44 17:41 17:34 17:45
537  Josh Bubp 11 17:45 17:50 17:46
611  Ian Miller 11 17:53 18:06 17:40
640  Ameya Belamkar 12 17:55 18:06 17:52
652  Liam Oman 10 17:57 18:12 17:49
670  Max Meisner 9 17:59 18:11 17:54
768  Everett Carlisle 10 18:09 18:11
788  Joel Spittal 9 18:10 18:02 18:13
807  Will Campbell 12 18:12 18:11 18:11
834  Suraj Chandramouli 12 18:15 18:12
872  Shammah Dosunmu 12 18:18 18:19
891  Nash Cheslock 11 18:19 18:19
911  Reece Colvin 11 18:20 18:20
1,009  Jack Lappin 11 18:29 18:27
1,018  Brett Barnhart 12 18:30 18:32
1,051  Carter Jay 10 18:33 18:33
1,111  Jerry Huang 12 18:38 18:35 18:41
1,164  Joey Derksen 10 18:41 18:42
1,288  Sam Eiteljorge 11 18:52 18:57
1,297  Jt Underhill 12 18:53 18:53
1,330  Ian Salmon 12 18:55 18:56
1,337  Camden Wien 11 18:56 18:56
1,341  Miguel Ventura 12 18:56 18:56
1,364  Kyle Grove 9 18:58 18:58
Pranav Jothirajah 12 19:00 18:36 19:07




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 3.1 122 17.4 26.8 20.5 17.1 9.2 4.3 2.4 1.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 1.8 69 47.8 33.5 13.4 4.3 0.9 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.7 47 47.6 36.8 14.6 1.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.5 35 54.3 43.8 1.7 0.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 100% 2.3 19.5 24.8 17.4 11.3 8.2 5.3 3.8 3.4 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jake Fisher 100% 30.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.2 1.9 2.6 2.3 3.0 2.3 2.8 2.5 3.4 2.6 2.2 98.1%
Charlie Schuman 100% 32.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.3 1.8 2.1 1.4 2.1 1.8 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.2 1.7 3.1 97.8%
Charlie Leedke 100% 43.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.4 0.9 92.4%
Hudson Alden 100% 67.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 66.1%
Nate Seketa 100% 105.7 0.1 17.1%
Bing Hudson 100% 125.3 3.8%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 100% 1.3 43.8 21.8 13.5 8.6 5.7 3.1 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Jake Fisher 100% 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.2 3.5 7.0 7.8 8.7 8.9 7.6 7.5 6.8 6.3 5.3 4.8 4.3 2.7 2.2 2.4 2.3 1.4 1.3 100.0%
Charlie Schuman 100% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 2.1 3.4 5.3 7.1 9.2 7.7 8.8 6.6 7.0 6.8 5.3 5.0 4.6 3.9 3.1 2.4 2.1 1.8 1.3 100.0%
Charlie Leedke 100% 17.9 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.3 3.3 5.1 4.9 7.0 6.4 5.9 6.3 6.2 6.3 5.4 4.6 4.4 4.1 3.5 3.0 100.0%
Hudson Alden 100% 26.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.1 3.1 3.4 3.6 4.4 4.4 5.0 5.3 4.5 3.8 100.0%
Nate Seketa 100% 43.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 99.4%
Bing Hudson 100% 54.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 94.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 100% 1.0 66.4 25.0 7.7 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jake Fisher 100% 6.9 0.1 3.3 9.7 13.1 13.2 11.6 9.8 7.5 7.6 6.6 5.4 3.4 2.9 1.8 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Charlie Schuman 100% 7.4 0.4 2.1 8.0 11.6 12.4 11.2 10.5 9.5 7.7 6.3 5.8 3.4 3.6 2.3 2.2 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Charlie Leedke 100% 10.7 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.7 4.8 8.2 8.3 8.5 8.7 8.2 8.7 7.1 7.3 6.4 5.3 4.3 2.7 2.2 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Hudson Alden 100% 16.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.9 3.2 4.3 5.5 7.0 7.9 7.2 7.5 7.7 7.2 7.5 6.2 5.4 4.4 3.6 2.4 2.0 100.0%
Nate Seketa 100% 24.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.6 3.0 3.2 4.0 5.0 5.1 7.1 7.7 8.4 7.2 100.0%
Bing Hudson 100% 29.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.3 2.7 3.2 3.7 4.0 5.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 1.0 71.2 27.3 1.3 0.2 0.1
Jake Fisher 5.2 1.0 13.1 17.0 16.3 12.9 11.1 10.1 6.4 5.1 2.8 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Charlie Schuman 5.5 1.0 10.2 16.3 16.5 12.0 11.9 9.8 8.7 4.7 4.4 2.4 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1
Charlie Leedke 7.9 0.1 2.6 4.5 7.8 12.3 12.9 11.6 12.5 11.8 8.8 5.5 4.3 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Hudson Alden 11.7 0.2 0.5 1.6 4.2 5.5 7.5 9.5 12.5 12.5 12.5 9.4 8.1 5.6 4.2 2.1 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
Nate Seketa 17.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 1.4 1.6 2.9 4.8 7.9 8.5 9.8 10.3 10.8 9.1 9.0 6.9 5.8 4.3 3.4 1.7
Bing Hudson 20.8 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.7 1.8 3.2 4.6 5.9 6.2 8.9 10.2 8.9 11.3 10.2 9.4 8.3