Carmel
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #1
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 70.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 100.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Hamilton County Marion Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invite North Central/Carmel JV Metro Interscholastic Conf. Carmel JV Quad Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/1 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/19 9/26 9/26 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 79 73 66 156 128 674 100 577 106 152 92 86
Team Adjusted Rating 73 66 76 99 79 89 79 82 85 92 86
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Hamilton County Marion Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invite North Central/Carmel JV Metro Interscholastic Conf. Carmel JV Quad Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Annie Christie 12 18:08 18:06 18:02 17:54 18:29 18:19 18:10 18:13
15  Jasmine Klopstad 10 18:34 18:21 18:00 18:23 18:25 18:32 19:12 19:07
26  Alivia Romaniuk 11 18:48 18:37 18:54 19:02 19:18 18:44 19:00 18:40
32  Cara Naas 9 18:58 19:01 18:32 19:11 19:09 19:03 18:56 18:50
37  Jamie Klavon 11 19:00 19:32 19:54 19:20 18:49 19:02 18:47 20:27
40  Brooklynn Edwards 12 19:06 19:04 19:17 19:12 19:18 19:06 18:58
52  Abby Parker 12 19:19 19:02 19:08 19:07 19:14 19:28 19:45 19:17
63  Brooke Waldal 12 19:27 19:22 19:09 19:25 19:27 19:39
133  Roni Ledezma 12 19:59 19:33 20:30 19:59
155  Kara Wenzler 9 20:10 20:55 20:06 20:08 20:07 19:59
265  Lilian Rose 11 20:33 20:10 20:19 20:36 20:23 21:06
311  Emersyn Weaver 9 20:44 21:35 21:01 20:52 21:01 20:17
315  Chloe Del Carlo 9 20:45 21:21 20:33 20:59 20:31 20:40
366  Evelyn Taller 11 20:55 20:57 20:47 21:15 20:45
383  Marianne Cadio 11 20:59 20:59
495  Olivia Lafferty 12 21:17 21:28 21:24 21:03
502  Olivia McKee 11 21:19 21:09 21:11 22:07 21:02
505  Savannah Hill 12 21:19 21:26 21:24 21:15 21:22 21:19
528  Grace Barney 12 21:22 21:18 21:27
622  Evelyn Gordon 10 21:40 22:11 21:26 21:24 21:49
655  Ava Sinex 10 21:44 21:46 21:41
669  Kaitlin Langland 10 21:46 22:05 22:00 21:12
732  Madeline Weisner 9 21:55 22:48 21:39 21:52
754  Christina McCollum 10 21:58 22:50 21:59 21:37
776  Sophia Hudak 10 22:02 22:16 21:48
784  Sage Moore 11 22:03 22:02 22:06
790  Olivia Kinney 10 22:04 22:34 21:51 22:04
837  Sophia Turner 11 22:11 22:14 22:08
840  Isabel Meyers 11 22:11 22:18 22:04
849  Chloe De Leon 9 22:13 22:28 21:54 22:22
851  Audrey Schuster 11 22:13 22:11 22:17
853  Chenyao Liu 10 22:14 22:28 22:00
1,015  Bethany Lee 9 22:37 22:39
1,202  Yael Kiser 12 23:00 23:01 22:59
1,223  Lauryn Forster 12 23:02 23:03
1,300  Stephanie Smith 12 23:14 23:14
1,322  Maria Vega-Lara 9 23:16 23:22 23:11
1,323  Liesel Schmidt 9 23:17 23:22 23:11
1,343  Emma Cappella 12 23:19 23:27 23:10
1,401  Ella Joliet 11 23:26 23:26 23:27
Alexa Walquist 11 23:34 23:27 23:42
Savannah Paulson 10 23:35 23:29 23:41
Dayton Schnase 11 23:40 23:06 24:15
Ashlyn Guerrant 9 23:43 25:18 23:46 22:52
Mila Bonewitz 9 23:46 24:29 23:14
Darshini Shankar 10 23:47 24:33 23:13
Lani Samms 9 23:48 23:16 24:20
Mary Schuh 11 23:48 24:32 23:16
Kendall Roach 11 24:17 23:28 25:11




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.3 64 70.0 28.9 1.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.0 28 100.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 32 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 21 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annie Christie 100% 4.9 4.8 9.1 11.9 12.7 12.4 10.3 8.5 6.4 4.8 4.4 3.0 2.7 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.8 3.6 3.5 4.4 4.3 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.8 4.4 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.3 3.5 3.1 2.9 2.6 98.1%
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 25.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.7 2.4 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.7 89.5%
Cara Naas 100% 33.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.6 2.4 70.7%
Jamie Klavon 100% 35.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.8 2.2 2.3 67.0%
Brooklynn Edwards 100% 40.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.4 52.7%
Abby Parker 100% 51.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 24.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annie Christie 100% 2.1 15.8 32.2 22.4 13.6 7.5 4.0 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 6.9 0.2 1.4 5.6 9.0 11.1 12.3 11.6 11.0 9.8 7.9 6.1 4.8 3.5 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.7 4.8 5.5 7.0 8.7 9.2 9.8 9.1 8.9 7.8 6.7 5.1 3.6 2.7 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Cara Naas 100% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.8 2.6 2.8 4.8 5.9 7.2 7.8 8.6 8.3 8.2 7.5 7.2 5.4 4.9 3.6 2.9 2.2 1.6 1.2 100.0%
Jamie Klavon 100% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.6 4.9 5.8 7.4 8.0 8.3 8.9 8.4 7.2 6.4 5.1 4.3 3.6 2.5 2.0 1.7 100.0%
Brooklynn Edwards 100% 17.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.5 2.2 3.3 4.6 5.7 6.9 7.4 8.5 8.0 8.1 6.7 6.0 5.4 4.5 3.8 2.6 99.9%
Abby Parker 100% 23.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 2.0 3.1 4.1 4.4 5.7 6.0 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.1 5.7 98.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annie Christie 100% 2.0 15.3 33.9 22.9 13.8 7.6 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 6.1 0.2 1.3 6.5 10.7 14.0 16.4 16.5 15.5 10.7 5.2 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.8 6.6 10.0 14.3 18.5 18.6 12.0 6.8 3.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Cara Naas 100% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 3.1 5.5 9.1 14.4 18.4 16.8 12.9 7.4 4.2 2.5 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jamie Klavon 100% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.3 3.8 7.5 11.8 17.6 18.7 14.1 9.3 5.6 3.0 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Brooklynn Edwards 100% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.2 6.6 11.4 15.6 19.2 14.5 10.2 6.6 3.9 2.4 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Abby Parker 100% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.7 9.3 16.3 14.8 12.7 11.1 9.2 7.1 4.8 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annie Christie 1.0 87.8 10.3 1.7 0.2 0.0
Jasmine Klopstad 2.3 2.7 39.7 29.4 18.3 7.0 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alivia Romaniuk 4.1 0.2 6.6 17.0 23.7 25.4 14.5 7.3 3.6 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
Cara Naas 5.8 0.0 0.9 4.1 9.2 16.2 23.1 20.4 14.2 7.4 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.0
Jamie Klavon 6.2 0.4 2.8 7.0 14.1 20.5 22.8 17.2 9.0 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.1
Brooklynn Edwards 7.2 0.2 0.9 2.7 7.3 12.9 20.3 25.5 16.0 8.3 3.9 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.0
Abby Parker 9.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.4 5.1 13.1 28.6 22.1 14.4 11.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0