Austin
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #31
Brown County Semi-State Rank #7
Columbus North Regional Rank #2
Austin Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 30.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Scottsburg Invitational Eagle Classic South Dearborn Invitational Great Pumpkin Invitational Mid-Southern Conference Austin Sectional Columbus North Regional
Date 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/7 9/11 9/18 9/23 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 440 406 468 490 997 421 445 694 554 429 401
Team Adjusted Rating 406 468 490 997 421 445 613 554 429 401
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jeremy Wright Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Scottsburg Invitational Eagle Classic South Dearborn Invitational Great Pumpkin Invitational Mid-Southern Conference Austin Sectional Columbus North Regional
188  Wyatt Beck 12 16:58 16:27 17:04 16:53 18:24 16:47 16:58 17:25 16:59 16:49 17:04
200  Chance Craig 12 17:01 16:52 16:37 17:00 18:25 16:39 16:47 17:29 17:19 17:03
201  Carlos Mata 9 17:01 17:42 17:44 17:39 18:40 17:32 17:02 17:54 17:32 16:38 16:56
210  Brandon Rice 11 17:03 16:43 17:01 17:07 18:24 17:06 17:12 17:38 17:20 16:54 16:45
408  Jackson Marshall 11 17:32 17:21 17:23 17:32 18:40 17:08 17:36 17:47 17:39 17:36 17:14
821  Brayden Furnish 10 18:13 17:51 18:29 18:11 18:52 18:08 18:23 18:02 17:59 18:49 17:56
1,267  Connor Neace 12 18:47 17:32 18:19 18:24 19:01 19:07 18:59 18:51 18:58 18:37 19:07
Jaxon Konkler 10 19:41 19:47 19:55 19:57 19:10 19:35 19:47 19:04 19:58
Braden Peacock 11 19:57 19:55 19:40 19:57 19:21 19:34 20:29 20:03 20:53




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 30.1% 19.9 474 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.4 2.6 4.2 6.3 5.9 3.6 2.5 1.2
Semi-State 100% 7.1 231 0.1 0.8 2.4 7.0 19.8 37.2 20.4 7.6 3.0 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.3 70 68.5 31.5
Sectionals 100% 1.3 25 69.0 31.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wyatt Beck 30.2% 118.8 0.1% 0.7%
Chance Craig 30.2% 123.3 0.1% 0.3%
Carlos Mata 30.2% 122.9 0.2% 0.5%
Brandon Rice 30.1% 128.3 0.0% 0.3%
Jackson Marshall 30.1% 170.1 0.0% 0.0%
Brayden Furnish 30.1% 201.7 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Neace 30.1% 206.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wyatt Beck 100% 43.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 100.0%
Chance Craig 100% 45.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Carlos Mata 100% 46.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 100.0%
Brandon Rice 100% 47.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Jackson Marshall 100% 75.1 100.0%
Brayden Furnish 100% 125.7 98.8%
Connor Neace 100% 154.8 32.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wyatt Beck 100% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 4.9 8.3 11.6 13.9 17.5 14.1 11.2 8.0 3.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Chance Craig 100% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.2 5.4 8.4 10.7 14.6 17.3 14.6 13.1 5.5 2.7 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Carlos Mata 100% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.3 5.4 8.6 11.4 15.0 15.6 14.7 13.0 5.9 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Brandon Rice 100% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.3 6.5 8.7 11.9 15.7 17.4 17.0 8.9 4.0 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 100.0%
Jackson Marshall 100% 18.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 8.0 12.3 15.2 15.6 15.4 14.6 15.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Brayden Furnish 100% 25.3 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.1 16.3 14.6 12.9 100.0%
Connor Neace 100% 40.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Wyatt Beck 2.7 17.9 16.6 21.8 17.3 14.4 8.3 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
Chance Craig 3.4 10.7 11.7 19.0 19.6 17.2 15.6 4.0 1.5 0.6 0.1
Carlos Mata 3.5 10.0 12.8 18.4 19.3 17.3 15.3 4.4 1.7 0.6 0.2
Brandon Rice 4.1 5.9 9.4 13.5 18.7 19.7 22.5 6.4 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0
Jackson Marshall 8.5 0.5 1.6 19.9 18.9 19.2 19.1 20.1 0.7 0.0 0.0
Brayden Furnish 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.4 31.0 25.9 15.6 9.9 6.8 4.1 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Connor Neace 20.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 4.1 5.6 8.2 12.0 15.2 16.3 14.2 8.2 5.0 3.6