Columbus North
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #1
Brown County Semi-State Rank #1
Columbus North Regional Rank #1
Brown County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 40.9%
Top 5 at State Finals 97.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Brownsburg 4-Way (4k) Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Conference Indiana
Date 8/21 8/21 9/4 9/11 9/18
Team Rating 110 179 330 94 88 106
Team Adjusted Rating 122 148 94 88 106
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Brownsburg 4-Way (4k) Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Conference Indiana
Reese Kilbarger-Stumpff 12 15:24 15:31 15:21 15:08 15:45
10  Matt Newell 12 15:45 15:45 15:47 15:40 15:42
41  Evan Carr 12 16:07 16:16 16:01 16:07 16:04
45  Clayton Guthrie 11 16:10 16:25 15:58 16:02 16:07
77  Mateo Mendez 11 16:24 16:45 16:22 16:14 16:18
100  Will Kiel 12 16:32 16:34 16:25 16:24 17:00
116  Will Russell 11 16:37 16:45 16:29 16:35 16:28
163  Kellen Hottell 11 16:47 16:59 16:45 16:41 16:47
260  Marco Avila 10 17:08 17:11 16:59 17:06
305  Aidan Jeffares 9 17:14 17:01 17:34
326  Sam Hobbeheydar 11 17:18 17:18 17:13 17:37 17:16
341  Jacob Strietelmeier 11 17:20 17:29 17:16
346  Neal White 9 17:21 17:05 17:31 17:24
350  Adam Reckers 10 17:22 16:56 17:27 17:24
417  Akot Tong 10 17:30 17:32 17:39 17:02
677  Will Littrell 12 18:00 17:52 17:52 18:12
735  Draven Martinez 9 18:06 17:56 18:03 18:07 18:19
781  Damien Dixon 10 18:09 18:01 18:03 18:07 18:18
847  Aidan McGill 10 18:15 18:08 18:09 18:10 18:36
850  Charlie Smith 11 18:15 18:34 18:59 18:03 17:47
1,038  Rylan Hottell 10 18:31 18:11 18:31 18:39 18:37
1,091  Kaushal Padmanahban 12 18:34 18:40 18:41 18:32 18:20
1,096  Ethan Lax 12 18:35 18:05 18:53 18:40
1,337  Jonny Klaus 9 18:56 18:47 19:25 18:45
Rogelio Reyes 10 19:05 19:30 19:16 18:43 18:51
Evan Bense 9 19:47 19:04 19:30 20:55 20:01




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 2.2 128 40.9 24.9 17.2 9.7 5.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.0 52 95.7 4.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 16 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 16 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reese Kilbarger-Stumpff 100% 4.2 1.5 5.0 14.8 25.6 17.5 11.7 7.6 5.0 2.6 2.3 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Matt Newell 100% 12.7 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 4.9 5.6 7.0 6.0 6.3 6.0 5.8 5.3 4.4 4.4 3.3 3.7 3.2 2.7 2.7 2.4 2.4 1.8 1.6 1.6 100.0%
Evan Carr 100% 41.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.1 1.7 1.2 1.8 1.7 93.2%
Clayton Guthrie 100% 47.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.8 1.3 89.9%
Mateo Mendez 100% 75.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 56.3%
Will Kiel 100% 94.0 30.0%
Will Russell 100% 103.4 19.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reese Kilbarger-Stumpff 100% 1.0 54.8 28.5 13.1 2.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Matt Newell 100% 3.8 0.3 8.9 18.7 28.7 17.5 10.4 5.5 3.4 2.2 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Evan Carr 100% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.8 6.1 6.2 7.7 8.0 7.8 6.9 6.6 6.0 6.0 4.9 4.6 4.1 3.2 2.6 2.8 2.3 2.0 1.4 1.3 0.9 100.0%
Clayton Guthrie 100% 13.2 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.6 4.4 5.9 6.2 6.7 6.7 5.9 6.6 5.6 5.7 6.0 4.8 4.4 3.9 3.4 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.6 100.0%
Mateo Mendez 100% 23.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.6 2.4 2.4 3.1 3.1 3.8 4.1 5.1 4.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.8 100.0%
Will Kiel 100% 29.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.9 2.9 3.9 4.0 4.0 100.0%
Will Russell 100% 32.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.8 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reese Kilbarger-Stumpff 100% 1.0 98.9 1.1 100.0%
Matt Newell 100% 1.5 1.1 97.6 1.3 0.0 100.0%
Evan Carr 100% 2.9 0.7 55.7 33.5 8.1 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Clayton Guthrie 100% 3.3 0.2 33.8 47.9 14.1 3.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Mateo Mendez 100% 5.2 0.7 6.4 37.7 30.2 14.5 6.7 2.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Will Kiel 100% 6.7 0.6 8.1 22.5 27.7 19.8 11.3 5.2 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Will Russell 100% 7.6 0.1 2.8 9.6 21.7 25.9 17.3 11.3 5.7 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reese Kilbarger-Stumpff 1.0 98.8 1.2
Matt Newell 1.5 1.2 97.7 1.1 0.0
Evan Carr 2.9 0.5 56.8 33.5 7.7 1.2 0.2 0.0
Clayton Guthrie 3.4 0.2 32.6 48.2 15.7 2.9 0.3 0.1
Mateo Mendez 5.1 1.0 5.9 38.0 34.7 14.5 4.9 1.0 0.1
Will Kiel 6.5 0.1 0.5 8.5 24.4 33.9 23.3 8.9 0.4
Will Russell 7.3 0.1 2.9 11.5 25.8 37.2 21.3 1.1