Jefferson
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #65
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #13
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank #2
Harrison (WL) Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Harrison 9-Way Invitational Lafayette City/County Harrison (WL) Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational North Central Conference Harrison (WL) Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/15 8/21 8/24 8/31 9/4 9/11 9/18 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 677 756 680 569 624 666 736 774 696 681 718 765
Team Adjusted Rating 688 629 548 624 666 689 698 669 657 701 726
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Harrison 9-Way Invitational Lafayette City/County Harrison (WL) Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational North Central Conference Harrison (WL) Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
216  Chris Uribe 12 17:04 16:37 16:51 16:45 16:52 16:54 16:53 16:47 17:21 17:05 17:33 17:29
493  Jesus Flores-Villagrana 12 17:46 17:58 17:57 17:27 17:39 17:47
524  Jahi Montes De Oca 12 17:48 17:44 18:02 18:02 18:07 17:37 17:44 17:43 17:39
597  Andy Melchor 11 17:55 18:27 17:25 17:29 17:42 17:50 17:57 18:09 18:06 17:51 17:50 18:03
637  Clay Lacrosse 12 17:59 17:46 17:53 17:23 17:52 17:58 18:21 17:56 17:47 18:10 17:58 18:13
723  Leo Crampton 12 18:08 18:39 18:26 18:04 18:25 17:53 18:03 18:43 17:55 17:52 17:58 18:15
917  Elias Rodriguez 9 18:25 19:40 20:18 19:55 19:32 19:12 19:47 18:35 18:04 18:06 18:20
1,199  Henry Salazar 12 18:47 19:08 18:37 18:21 18:54 18:39 19:18 18:55 18:32 18:46
Luis Martinez 12 19:24 19:53 19:00 18:57 19:34 18:59 19:50 19:17 19:40




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 13.5 345 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 3.7 7.0 13.7 20.1 21.2 17.5 9.3 3.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.2 52 18.8 42.2 38.4 0.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.3 64 15.2 40.6 41.8 2.1 0.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Uribe 10.0% 120.3 10.0% 10.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Uribe 100% 31.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.9 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.3 100.0%
Jahi Montes De Oca 100% 90.3 99.9%
Andy Melchor 100% 102.6 99.4%
Clay Lacrosse 100% 110.8 98.4%
Leo Crampton 100% 125.1 92.3%
Elias Rodriguez 100% 146.1 55.1%
Henry Salazar 100% 161.9 6.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Uribe 100% 3.4 4.2 8.3 19.0 43.4 14.5 6.6 2.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Jahi Montes De Oca 100% 10.4 0.0 0.5 1.7 3.7 8.0 15.9 15.5 12.6 9.4 6.7 6.1 4.8 3.3 2.9 2.2 1.7 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Andy Melchor 100% 13.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 6.4 9.7 10.2 9.9 9.0 8.2 6.8 5.8 5.6 4.4 3.7 3.5 2.5 2.1 1.8 1.8 1.0 100.0%
Clay Lacrosse 100% 15.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.1 2.9 4.9 7.2 8.2 7.6 8.2 7.0 7.1 6.3 5.9 5.0 4.5 4.1 3.4 3.2 2.6 2.3 100.0%
Leo Crampton 100% 20.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.9 4.8 5.3 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.4 5.1 5.8 4.8 100.0%
Elias Rodriguez 100% 31.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.4 100.0%
Henry Salazar 100% 43.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 97.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Uribe 3.4 3.9 8.3 18.9 43.5 14.7 6.7 2.9 1.0 0.1 0.0
Jahi Montes De Oca 9.9 0.0 0.7 1.8 4.1 8.2 19.0 17.6 13.3 9.5 6.8 5.2 3.9 2.8 1.9 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2
Andy Melchor 12.2 0.1 0.4 0.9 3.3 7.7 11.8 13.0 11.4 9.6 8.1 6.9 5.8 4.9 4.0 3.0 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.5
Clay Lacrosse 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.2 6.4 9.7 10.0 9.5 8.9 7.9 7.5 6.6 5.5 4.9 4.0 3.2 2.8 2.2 1.7 1.2
Leo Crampton 18.8 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 3.5 5.2 6.2 6.4 6.9 6.8 6.3 6.6 7.2 6.5 6.0 5.2 4.6 3.9
Elias Rodriguez 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.4 4.1 4.7 5.3 5.4
Henry Salazar 37.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4