Manchester
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #119
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #25
Culver Academies Regional Rank #6
Manchester Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Rochester Invitational Warsaw Invitational Manchester Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional
Date 8/21 8/24 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 952 1,018 901 911 920 913 968 1,066 1,021 975
Team Adjusted Rating 1,018 901 911 920 913 968 966 1,021 975
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Rochester Invitational Warsaw Invitational Manchester Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional
457  Raven King 11 17:37 17:36 17:19 17:33 17:34 18:00 17:33 17:35 17:48 17:32
832  Cade Jones 12 18:14 18:56 17:58 18:18 17:58 17:43 18:29 18:20 18:15 18:12
1,184  Lane Stetzel 11 18:41 18:41 18:28 18:40 18:56 18:31 18:50 18:26 18:51 18:56
1,185  Jake Hesting 10 18:41 19:01 19:05 18:18 18:20 18:28 18:35 19:03 18:52 18:40
1,223  Kyler Dale 9 18:44 18:34 18:29 18:38 18:46 18:47 18:44 19:04 18:56
Caden Marcum 11 19:53 20:29 20:51 21:06 20:01 20:10 19:56 19:59 19:27 19:42
Caleb Smith 10 20:04 20:22 20:25 19:58 19:46 19:38 19:49 20:05 20:35 20:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.7 147 0.4 2.0 7.2 23.1 52.7 10.5 3.5 0.6
Sectionals 100% 4.8 104 0.3 1.5 13.0 85.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Raven King 99.8% 78.1 99.8% 99.8%
Cade Jones 30.3% 129.2 30.3% 30.3%
Lane Stetzel 0.1% 148.5 0.1% 0.1%
Jake Hesting 0.1% 151.0 0.1% 0.1%
Kyler Dale 0.1% 152.8 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Raven King 100% 12.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.2 6.3 9.4 8.8 9.3 8.6 7.8 7.6 6.9 6.1 5.1 4.5 3.9 2.7 2.5 2.2 1.5 1.2 0.7 100.0%
Cade Jones 100% 30.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.9 3.5 3.8 100.0%
Lane Stetzel 100% 41.7 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Jake Hesting 100% 41.7 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kyler Dale 100% 43.2 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Raven King 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6 9.4 13.9 14.6 12.4 10.4 9.8 7.2 6.4 5.3 4.0 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
Cade Jones 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.0 3.1 6.0 8.3 11.8 17.0 19.3 15.7 9.8 3.2 1.1 0.2
Lane Stetzel 24.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.4 4.1 8.4 14.4 18.4 18.4
Jake Hesting 24.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 3.4 8.7 16.3 17.9 17.5
Kyler Dale 24.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.5 6.0 10.6 15.1 17.9