Northridge
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #14
New Haven Semi-State Rank #5
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Elkhart Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 14th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 16.0%
Advance to State Finals 77.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Huntington Invitational Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Minutemen Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational
Date 8/15 8/21 8/28 8/31 9/11 9/14 9/18
Team Rating 298 342 254 888 282 584 264 296
Team Adjusted Rating 342 254 298 282 338 264 296
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Huntington Invitational Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Minutemen Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational
Jack Moore 12 15:37 16:06 15:29 15:42 15:13 15:37
71  Jaxon Miller 11 16:21 16:12 16:22 16:26 16:46 16:23 16:07
206  Trevin Schlabaugh 10 16:59 17:03 16:48 16:50 16:59 17:36
239  Nathan Perez 12 17:05 17:24 16:52 17:09 16:56 16:58
252  David Gingerich 10 17:07 17:23 16:54 16:52 17:19 16:50 17:28
255  Jon Spicher 11 17:08 17:23 16:57 17:07 17:38 17:00 17:00
468  Will Knox 11 17:37 17:59 17:38 17:10 17:44 18:12 17:21
547  Nolan Bales 11 17:44 17:12 16:54 18:27 18:37
628  Joe Keyser 9 17:55 18:07 17:40 17:58
787  Austin Abelseth 11 18:10 18:41 17:52 18:15
858  Josiah Dyck 12 18:16 18:18 18:38 18:20 18:17 18:03 18:06
887  Matt Friesner 12 18:19 18:52 18:19 18:09 18:14 18:20 18:03
954  Marc Hernandez 9 18:25 18:17 19:37 18:03
1,004  Brock Reschly 11 18:28 18:00 18:55 18:07 18:39 18:53 18:37
1,162  Max Estep 10 18:40 18:59 18:23 18:11 18:41 18:43 19:12
1,264  Brendan Gleim 12 18:49 18:40 19:05 18:55 18:38 18:44
1,308  Quinton Long 12 18:53 18:59 18:51 18:45 19:08 18:47 18:52
1,338  Aiden Bemis 11 18:56 18:57
Carter Adams 10 19:06 18:53 19:18 19:10 18:45 19:43 19:02
Colin Mack 9 19:18 19:13 18:58 19:25 19:10 20:03
Josue Gomez 10 19:22 19:21 19:14 19:16 19:27 19:19 19:39
Max Rickly 10 19:34 19:22 19:34 19:24 20:41 19:27




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 77.9% 13.6 356 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 2.8 4.5 5.3 6.3 7.1 7.7 8.2 8.1 7.1 6.0 4.9 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
Semi-State 100% 5.4 181 0.9 8.4 19.3 28.7 20.6 12.4 5.8 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.8 64 36.1 46.6 15.8 1.5
Sectionals 100% 1.6 45 37.8 60.4 1.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Moore 100% 8.2 0.1 0.4 2.6 6.0 9.3 10.9 10.4 8.7 7.4 5.8 5.4 4.8 3.9 3.3 2.5 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.9 0.7 100.0% 100.0%
Jaxon Miller 82.9% 64.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 22.9% 59.5%
Trevin Schlabaugh 77.9% 136.7 0.0% 0.1%
Nathan Perez 77.9% 145.8 0.0% 0.0%
David Gingerich 77.9% 149.6 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Spicher 77.9% 150.0 0.0% 0.0%
Will Knox 77.9% 184.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Moore 100% 2.3 1.1 43.3 18.4 12.0 7.9 5.0 3.7 2.3 2.0 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jaxon Miller 100% 23.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.7 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.6 4.5 4.8 5.0 4.3 100.0%
Trevin Schlabaugh 100% 58.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Nathan Perez 100% 65.6 99.6%
David Gingerich 100% 69.1 99.0%
Jon Spicher 100% 69.1 99.1%
Will Knox 100% 112.7 52.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Moore 100% 1.0 64.8 15.2 12.7 4.4 1.9 0.7 0.2 100.0%
Jaxon Miller 100% 7.5 0.3 0.8 2.3 4.7 10.0 19.2 23.8 14.6 13.0 6.0 4.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Trevin Schlabaugh 100% 15.9 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.7 4.1 9.9 10.7 11.1 10.8 10.2 9.0 6.8 5.9 4.6 3.5 2.6 2.0 1.3 100.0%
Nathan Perez 100% 18.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.8 5.8 7.2 8.2 9.1 9.2 9.2 8.7 6.5 6.0 5.5 3.4 3.3 100.0%
David Gingerich 100% 19.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.5 4.8 6.9 8.1 8.3 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.2 5.6 5.5 4.0 100.0%
Jon Spicher 100% 19.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 2.0 3.4 5.3 6.4 7.7 8.6 8.9 8.9 7.7 6.9 6.0 5.7 5.2 100.0%
Will Knox 100% 35.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Moore 1.0 69.8 14.1 13.2 2.5 0.3
Jaxon Miller 5.2 0.5 1.7 11.1 26.8 41.2 10.0 7.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0
Trevin Schlabaugh 11.1 0.0 0.1 3.0 4.4 12.5 13.8 14.1 16.6 14.2 8.9 5.9 3.3 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Nathan Perez 12.9 0.0 0.7 1.2 4.7 7.3 9.5 12.6 15.4 15.6 12.8 9.9 4.8 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
David Gingerich 13.8 0.4 1.1 2.7 4.1 7.4 9.8 12.9 14.8 16.2 13.5 7.6 4.1 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
Jon Spicher 13.9 0.3 0.8 2.2 4.9 7.0 9.7 12.2 15.0 16.4 13.9 8.3 4.3 2.5 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Will Knox 21.6 0.0 0.4 1.4 4.2 7.0 7.9 10.7 11.2 11.4 11.2 10.6 8.1