Warsaw
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #38
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #6
Culver Academies Regional Rank #1
Manchester Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 23rd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 62.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Warsaw Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Marion Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational NIC / NLC Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional
Date 8/24 8/31 9/4 9/14 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 480 561 498 480 445 431 516 518 481 489
Team Adjusted Rating 410 498 480 445 431 516 518 481 489
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Warsaw Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Marion Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational NIC / NLC Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional
156  Harrison Phipps 12 16:52 16:35 17:02 16:55 16:51 16:39 16:56 17:07 16:46 16:55
162  Garrett Hall 11 16:53 16:58 16:51 16:40 16:43 17:10 17:00 16:37 16:54
190  Luke Nier 11 16:58 16:59 17:08 16:51 16:43 16:50 17:03 16:58 17:05
452  Tyler Swartz 10 17:37 17:41 17:40 17:46 17:38 17:25 17:42 17:33 17:34 17:29
493  Ryun Hoffert 11 17:42 17:24 17:38 17:26 17:28 17:44 17:55 17:51 18:01 17:46
558  Andrew Potter 10 17:48 17:15 17:42 17:42 17:55 18:08 17:59 17:50 17:53
700  Alex Schrock 9 18:03 19:07 17:59 17:55 18:03 17:53 17:50 18:24 17:57
796  Nate Knecht 12 18:11 17:57 18:16 17:46 18:30 17:59 18:14 18:35
997  Clark Meridew 9 18:27 18:16 18:30 18:28 18:39 18:33 18:31 18:20 18:12
1,145  Sam Slough 12 18:38 18:23 18:28 18:41 19:02 19:28 18:28
1,212  Jackson Winey 10 18:43 18:10 18:49 18:57 18:45 18:45 18:42
1,283  Gabe Klein 10 18:48 18:05 18:23 18:24 18:41 20:14 19:08 19:38
1,291  Rick Orr 9 18:49 18:56 19:20 20:40 18:41 18:41 18:25 18:35
Jeremy Johnson 12 19:02 20:16 19:17 19:27 18:06 18:22 18:49 19:10
Noah McPhail 9 19:16 19:44 20:03 18:52 19:11 19:05




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 62.8% 22.1 529 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.9 4.1 9.3 14.2 17.3 13.5
Semi-State 100% 5.9 179 1.6 4.2 8.4 13.0 17.9 17.7 14.5 10.1 7.0 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 33 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 29 100.0 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Harrison Phipps 72.0% 117.6 24.9% 54.5%
Garrett Hall 69.6% 117.6 18.3% 50.6%
Luke Nier 65.9% 127.0 8.4% 33.1%
Tyler Swartz 62.8% 179.8 0.0% 0.0%
Ryun Hoffert 62.8% 184.8 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Potter 62.8% 189.6 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Schrock 62.8% 199.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Harrison Phipps 100% 20.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.3 3.2 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.5 4.9 4.8 4.8 5.0 4.6 4.1 4.1 4.0 100.0%
Garrett Hall 100% 21.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.3 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.0 4.0 4.5 4.1 4.4 4.1 4.0 4.3 4.9 4.8 3.7 3.6 3.9 100.0%
Luke Nier 100% 25.9 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.8 2.6 3.2 3.1 3.5 4.3 3.6 4.4 3.9 3.6 100.0%
Tyler Swartz 100% 77.0 98.9%
Ryun Hoffert 100% 86.1 97.5%
Andrew Potter 100% 97.3 92.6%
Alex Schrock 100% 122.7 60.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Harrison Phipps 100% 2.6 9.8 25.1 25.3 19.3 11.4 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Garrett Hall 100% 2.8 8.2 22.1 25.5 21.1 13.3 6.4 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Luke Nier 100% 3.9 2.5 8.9 16.0 24.1 23.1 14.7 7.6 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Tyler Swartz 100% 12.2 0.0 0.8 2.9 6.8 9.0 10.0 9.9 9.1 8.7 7.7 6.5 6.5 4.9 4.7 3.2 2.7 2.3 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Ryun Hoffert 100% 14.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.6 5.7 7.5 8.2 8.2 9.1 7.5 7.1 7.3 5.9 5.4 5.1 4.1 3.2 2.2 2.1 1.2 100.0%
Andrew Potter 100% 17.6 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.5 2.6 3.3 5.1 5.2 6.0 6.8 7.2 7.1 7.5 7.3 7.4 6.9 5.3 4.8 3.9 3.3 100.0%
Alex Schrock 100% 24.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.3 2.6 3.1 4.1 5.7 7.5 7.3 7.3 7.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Harrison Phipps 2.2 10.4 34.6 29.4 18.4 6.4 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0
Garrett Hall 2.3 9.1 31.4 28.8 21.7 7.8 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.0
Luke Nier 3.3 2.9 11.4 24.3 36.4 21.4 3.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Tyler Swartz 8.7 0.0 1.4 8.4 14.1 16.5 14.2 11.6 10.5 8.2 5.9 4.0 2.7 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Ryun Hoffert 10.3 0.5 2.6 6.9 11.2 12.1 13.6 11.8 12.2 9.7 7.8 5.6 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Andrew Potter 12.4 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.8 6.5 10.0 10.5 11.4 12.2 13.0 11.7 8.4 5.3 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0
Alex Schrock 16.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.9 4.6 6.1 10.5 14.1 16.1 16.6 11.7 7.5 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.1