Castle
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #117
Brown County Semi-State Rank #24
Pike Central Regional Rank #6
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 29.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Classic THSB State Preview Mater Dei Invitational South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conf. Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/31 9/5 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 960 1,057 1,044 NEI 957 985
Team Adjusted Rating 944 1,027 NEI 957 985
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Classic THSB State Preview Mater Dei Invitational South Knox Invitational Pike Central Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conf. Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
392  Kaitlyn Porter 12 20:57 21:03 20:53 NEI 21:18 21:11 21:03 21:02 20:42
624  Elle Dewess 9 21:40 21:49 NEI 22:03 NEI 22:09 21:28 21:26 21:30 21:46
980  Avery Stephens 9 22:28 23:10 22:51 NEI 22:10 22:08 22:39 22:11
999  Shelby Luker 12 22:31 22:56 NEI 23:09 22:47 22:38 22:45 22:08 23:18
Lilly Kempf 11 24:26 22:58 24:38 24:37
Annabelle Barsumian 9 24:51 24:46 24:58
Loralee Purdue 10 26:22 26:24 26:19 NEI 26:32 26:49




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 29.4% 18.7 423 0.2 1.2 3.1 6.2 10.9 8.0
Regionals 100% 6.3 145 0.1 0.6 28.7 30.7 26.5 10.7 2.8
Sectionals 100% 3.1 80 0.4 89.0 10.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Porter 0.0% 133.5 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Porter 100% 62.5 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Elle Dewess 97.2% 92.9 96.0% 97.2%
Avery Stephens 32.2% 126.1 4.0% 12.0%
Shelby Luker 31.0% 128.8 2.3% 7.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Porter 100% 11.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 3.0 5.3 9.2 10.8 17.5 15.0 12.2 9.8 9.0 3.9 2.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Elle Dewess 100% 18.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.6 3.1 8.8 13.4 17.0 13.9 9.7 8.5 5.8 3.9 2.6 2.7 100.0%
Avery Stephens 100% 35.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.0 2.5 100.0%
Shelby Luker 100% 36.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Porter 5.5 0.2 7.4 10.6 16.0 29.2 25.0 8.3 2.9 0.5 0.1 0.1
Elle Dewess 9.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 2.2 12.0 20.7 30.0 21.2 8.0 3.5 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2
Avery Stephens 15.5 0.1 0.1 1.5 5.6 8.0 13.1 14.2 14.7 13.6 11.5 7.9 5.6 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.2
Shelby Luker 15.9 0.1 0.7 4.3 7.1 10.6 14.3 14.7 13.9 11.5 8.7 6.2 4.4 2.3 1.0 0.4