Cowan
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #146
New Haven Semi-State Rank #42
Delta Regional Rank #8
Delta Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 93.2%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Union City Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/28 9/7 9/14 9/17 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 1,165 1,366 1,379 1,278 1,230 1,267 1,196 1,187 1,181 1,142 1,091
Team Adjusted Rating 1,366 1,352 1,251 1,230 1,252 1,196 1,175 1,181 1,141 1,090
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Union City Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
435  Lauren Smith 10 21:06 21:11 21:37 21:09 21:04 21:11 21:34 21:02 21:28 20:47 20:47 21:01
711  McKenna Minton 9 21:54 23:08 23:05 22:32 22:15 22:29 21:51 21:36 22:11 21:59 21:31 21:55
1,293  Brynn Wright 9 23:07 25:01 24:35 23:54 23:55 24:08 23:27 23:47 22:52 23:05 22:44
Audrey Gingerich 11 25:02 25:20 25:09 24:50
Alexis Quirk 12 25:10 26:18 25:58 25:58 25:12 25:33 24:51 24:54 24:57 24:48 24:49
Reanne Brinker 12 25:21 26:10 25:39 25:04 24:55 24:50 25:44 25:28 24:59 25:39 25:36
Crism Morey 9 25:32 28:28 27:13 27:00 26:48 25:34 25:45 25:06 25:06




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 93.2% 8.4 213 1.4 16.9 30.6 28.0 16.4
Sectionals 100% 4.4 139 1.3 65.9 26.1 5.7 1.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Smith 100.0% 101.7 100.0% 100.0%
McKenna Minton 63.3% 133.2 63.3% 63.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Smith 100% 24.6 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.4 3.0 3.5 4.5 5.3 7.1 8.7 8.7 10.8 100.0% 100.0%
McKenna Minton 100% 33.2 0.3 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Brynn Wright 93.2% 54.5 0.0% 28.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Smith 7.6 0.2 1.6 3.6 8.3 12.5 13.9 17.8 18.6 20.1 2.8 0.7 0.2
McKenna Minton 12.3 0.2 0.8 2.7 20.0 22.1 17.4 13.8 9.1 5.3 4.5 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1
Brynn Wright 26.9 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 1.4 2.1 3.9 4.7 7.3 8.1