Garrett
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #111
New Haven Semi-State Rank #33
West Noble Regional Rank #12
Northrop Sectional Rank #12
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Norwell Invitational Manchester Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/18 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 918 1,005 1,057 937 929 1,198 879
Team Adjusted Rating 1,005 1,057 937 929 921 879
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Norwell Invitational Manchester Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
248  Nataley Armstrong 10 20:27 20:09 20:11 20:28 20:33 20:46 20:34 20:26 20:22
434  Madilyn Malcolm 11 21:05 21:02 21:28 20:58 21:17 21:03 21:02
520  Valencia Placencia 11 21:23 22:12 22:17 21:38 21:18 21:16 21:01 21:15
Aida Haynes 9 23:49 24:06 24:28 23:04 23:58 23:51 23:45
Samantha Liechty 9 24:40 25:59 26:13 29:12 24:22 24:21 24:07
Emma Kioski 11 26:12 26:20
Samantha Dewitt 12 26:28 26:11 26:31 26:33 26:21 27:25 26:06
Kirsten Vaughan 9 26:44 26:48
Chloe Rayle 11 27:47 29:16 28:12 27:42 27:20 27:45 27:12




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0% 7.0 188 0.1
Sectionals 100% 8.1 229 0.1 0.4 8.1 77.7 13.5 0.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nataley Armstrong 0.1% 112.0 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nataley Armstrong 83.8% 61.1 0.1 0.1 83.8% 83.8%
Madilyn Malcolm 6.0% 87.4 6.0% 6.0%
Valencia Placencia 0.5% 100.7 0.5% 0.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nataley Armstrong 100.0% 26.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.1 4.0 3.9 4.0 5.0 5.8 99.9% 100.0%
Madilyn Malcolm 82.4% 42.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 82.3% 82.4%
Valencia Placencia 38.5% 45.9 38.4% 38.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nataley Armstrong 21.6 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.2 2.1 1.9 3.3 4.8 5.4 6.6 6.8 6.2 6.3 7.4 7.4 6.7 6.2
Madilyn Malcolm 35.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.6 1.1
Valencia Placencia 41.5 0.1 0.1 0.1