Bloomington North
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #9
Brown County Semi-State Rank #2
Bedford North Lawrence Regional Rank #1
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 7th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 11.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 62.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Bloomington North Early Bird Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Culver Academies Invitational (Open) Ted Fox Invitational Bedford North Lawrence Sectional
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 9/28 10/12
Team Rating 262 194 261 239 212 290 288
Team Adjusted Rating 194 261 239 212 279 288
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Bloomington North Early Bird Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Culver Academies Invitational (Open) Ted Fox Invitational Bedford North Lawrence Sectional
66  Bea Cakmak 10 19:25 19:16 19:34 19:30 19:01 19:24 19:42
76  Abbey Armstrong 12 19:32 19:19 19:15 19:23 19:11 20:23 19:57
114  Mya Hagerty 12 19:52 19:34 19:29 19:40 21:23 20:25
138  Olivia Kaiser 11 20:02 19:48 20:19 19:56 19:54 20:08 20:02
158  Rachel Allison 9 20:08 19:34 20:33 19:55 20:38 20:06
160  Mackenzie Carver 12 20:09 19:45 20:27 19:57 20:15 20:26 20:04
170  Quinn Wilson 12 20:12 19:35 20:22 20:31 20:34 20:07 20:05
199  Melissa Mahaffey 10 20:20 19:54 21:07 21:16 19:40 20:44 19:53
221  Avery Njau 10 20:26 20:52 20:42 20:26 19:53 19:57
603  Ava Mattox 12 21:42 22:01 21:58 21:26 21:46 21:25
740  Isabel Schneider 10 22:02 22:02
878  Mikalah Wiles 9 22:19 23:06 22:42 21:57 21:59 22:12




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 9.7 299 0.1 0.4 2.7 7.9 11.0 11.0 10.2 9.7 10.1 7.2 7.5 5.7 4.7 4.1 3.1 2.0 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 2.4 95 15.0 49.0 22.7 12.3 0.9 0.2
Regionals 100% 1.2 43 77.8 20.4 1.5 0.4
Sectionals 100% 1.2 34 77.4 20.8 1.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bea Cakmak 100% 60.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 98.6%
Abbey Armstrong 100% 70.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 96.3%
Mya Hagerty 100% 98.8 69.1%
Olivia Kaiser 100% 111.8 47.8%
Rachel Allison 100% 120.3 33.0%
Mackenzie Carver 100% 122.1 31.2%
Quinn Wilson 100% 125.8 25.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bea Cakmak 100% 7.8 1.0 8.3 9.3 8.0 9.5 8.6 7.2 7.7 6.3 5.3 4.1 4.8 4.0 3.5 2.6 2.0 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Abbey Armstrong 100% 10.4 0.3 2.7 4.9 7.0 6.3 6.8 7.2 6.1 6.4 7.0 6.5 5.2 4.5 3.9 4.2 3.4 2.4 2.6 2.0 2.4 1.7 1.3 1.1 1.0 100.0%
Mya Hagerty 100% 22.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.6 2.6 3.2 3.1 4.0 3.7 3.8 4.7 4.0 4.8 3.6 4.2 4.4 4.7 3.1 100.0%
Olivia Kaiser 100% 28.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 1.1 0.9 1.8 1.9 1.7 2.5 2.1 2.9 2.8 2.6 3.6 3.7 4.2 4.2 100.0%
Rachel Allison 100% 32.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.3 0.9 1.1 1.2 2.0 2.2 1.8 2.4 3.0 2.5 100.0%
Mackenzie Carver 100% 33.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.8 1.6 2.1 2.4 2.8 2.3 100.0%
Quinn Wilson 100% 36.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.5 1.4 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.0 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bea Cakmak 100% 2.6 37.2 22.6 14.3 9.6 5.7 3.4 3.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Abbey Armstrong 100% 3.7 15.1 23.1 17.1 13.4 10.3 6.3 4.4 3.9 2.1 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Mya Hagerty 100% 9.0 0.3 1.5 4.5 6.6 8.8 8.8 9.6 9.8 8.8 8.7 7.3 5.4 5.6 3.9 2.5 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Olivia Kaiser 100% 12.3 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.4 4.0 5.8 5.0 5.8 7.8 7.5 8.1 7.8 8.8 7.7 5.5 4.8 3.7 3.4 2.8 2.7 1.9 1.6 1.3 0.5 100.0%
Rachel Allison 100% 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.6 3.1 3.9 4.8 7.1 5.6 7.0 7.7 7.8 7.6 7.5 6.4 6.0 5.2 5.1 4.0 3.0 1.5 1.4 100.0%
Mackenzie Carver 100% 15.3 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.8 2.2 3.8 4.8 4.7 5.9 6.8 7.5 7.8 7.9 7.2 6.4 6.4 6.6 5.7 4.6 3.2 2.1 1.7 100.0%
Quinn Wilson 100% 16.2 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.9 2.9 3.5 3.8 6.2 6.5 6.3 7.0 8.5 7.2 7.6 7.2 6.4 5.8 5.5 4.0 3.8 2.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bea Cakmak 2.5 38.1 24.7 15.4 10.9 6.0 2.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1
Abbey Armstrong 3.4 16.7 24.5 21.0 13.9 11.3 6.8 3.3 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2
Mya Hagerty 7.2 0.2 2.5 7.4 10.1 12.3 14.8 15.4 12.6 8.4 7.3 3.8 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1
Olivia Kaiser 9.2 0.1 0.1 1.8 3.4 6.4 10.1 11.7 13.4 13.6 11.3 9.3 7.4 4.6 3.5 1.8 1.8
Rachel Allison 10.8 0.5 1.4 3.0 4.0 6.0 9.6 12.9 15.8 13.6 10.8 7.8 6.0 4.6 4.3 0.1
Mackenzie Carver 11.2 0.6 1.2 1.8 4.1 5.6 9.9 13.2 11.4 13.5 12.3 7.7 6.8 6.4 5.7 0.1
Quinn Wilson 11.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.0 4.4 7.0 9.6 13.1 14.3 12.9 9.3 8.6 7.5 7.9 0.1