Hamilton Southeastern
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #14
New Haven Semi-State Rank #4
Delta Regional Rank #2
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 3.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 39.3%
Advance to State Finals 99.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Hamilton County Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Pendleton Heights Sectional
Date 8/28 9/3 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12
Team Rating 279 304 287 282 265 196 278 468
Team Adjusted Rating 287 265 282 265 196 278 281
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Hamilton County Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Pendleton Heights Sectional
18  Halle Hill 11 18:50 19:12 18:50 18:49 18:58 18:27 18:43
121  Elle Johnson 11 19:55 19:48 19:34 20:09 20:04 19:48 20:22
125  Lilly Patrick 11 19:56 20:05 19:53 19:47 20:03 20:00
144  Allie Latta 10 20:04 20:21 20:29 20:05 19:46 19:34 20:04
254  Grace Newton 9 20:32 20:49 20:42 20:16 20:40 20:01 20:43
258  Ellie Pedersen 12 20:33 20:20 20:23 20:41 21:30 20:33 20:02 20:59
284  Jenna McLean 11 20:39 20:46 20:44 20:36 20:19 19:27 21:13 21:04
289  Jacqueline Hurlock 9 20:40 20:22 20:14 20:43 20:50 20:44 21:14
294  Brooke Ratliff 11 20:41 21:18 20:32 20:25 20:44 19:52 21:37 20:47
364  Katie Kesler 10 20:58 20:45 21:01 21:31 20:35 21:27 20:59 20:35
510  Jehnea Mirro 10 21:28 21:49 21:29 21:24 21:43 20:57 21:38
549  Grace Howard 11 21:33 21:11 22:32 21:31 21:41 21:28 21:22
560  Jenna Iglio 10 21:35 21:41 22:00 21:45 21:24 21:55 21:06
578  Andrea Shick 12 21:38 21:10 21:34 21:33 21:47 21:31 21:55 21:53
688  Olivia Lund 10 21:56 22:15 22:31 21:43 21:55 21:26 21:57
755  Gretta Johnson 9 22:04 21:06 21:09 21:42 25:05 22:28 22:54
815  Oiivia Schenck 11 22:11 21:57 22:55 22:17 22:05 22:04 22:16
816  Maddie McNarney 12 22:11 22:11 21:09 22:38 22:24 22:22 22:21
821  Gabby Huffer 11 22:12 22:03 22:33 22:23 22:08 22:05
836  Samantha Alphin 12 22:14 21:51 22:11 22:12 22:17 23:09 22:26
903  Haley Johnson 9 22:23 23:01 22:28 22:37 22:18 22:07 22:00
934  Regan Wans 10 22:26 23:57 21:45 22:28 22:32
1,122  Paige McKain 10 22:51 21:43 24:38 23:01 23:12 22:51 22:34
1,171  Brianna Wright 11 22:57 22:36 23:49 24:02 22:20
1,199  Katie Edwards 12 23:00 22:57 22:45 22:20 23:17 23:29 23:08
1,215  Halle Duros 11 23:01 23:02 22:47
Josie Povinelli 11 23:33 23:49 23:42 23:11 23:07 23:48 24:00
Bailey Ratliff 9 23:33 23:21 23:31 23:49 23:17 23:37 23:55
Allie Geis 12 23:49 22:52 24:01 23:32 25:16 24:29 23:51
Claire Kendrick 11 23:52 24:09 23:25 24:00 24:20
Katie Murhling 12 23:55 24:13 23:34 23:46 24:43 24:02 23:59
Brynn Patrick 11 24:08 24:25 23:39 24:25 24:05 23:59 24:47
Ellen Toner 9 25:10 26:23 24:39 24:58 22:45 25:42 26:27




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.5% 11.8 332 0.1 1.0 2.2 4.4 6.5 7.4 9.0 9.0 9.7 8.3 9.6 8.1 7.7 5.5 3.7 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1
Semi-State 100% 3.7 139 4.1 45.2 32.3 14.3 3.7 0.4 0.2
Regionals 100% 2.0 40 4.0 96.1
Sectionals 100% 2.0 36 3.8 96.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Halle Hill 100% 19.7 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.7 4.8 4.2 3.5 4.2 3.4 4.5 3.9 3.4 3.6 3.2 2.4 2.5 3.5 100.0% 99.9%
Elle Johnson 99.5% 100.5 0.0% 13.8%
Lilly Patrick 99.5% 101.4 0.0% 12.9%
Allie Latta 99.5% 113.1 0.0% 5.4%
Grace Newton 99.5% 151.2 0.0% 0.1%
Ellie Pedersen 99.5% 152.6 0.0% 0.1%
Jenna McLean 99.5% 159.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Halle Hill 100% 6.7 6.1 8.2 10.0 10.0 10.1 8.8 7.9 8.0 6.7 5.7 4.8 3.1 3.1 1.9 1.6 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Elle Johnson 100% 30.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.6 2.4 2.7 3.3 4.7 100.0%
Lilly Patrick 100% 30.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.3 2.3 2.3 3.5 4.0 100.0%
Allie Latta 100% 35.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.5 100.0%
Grace Newton 100% 60.2 0.1 100.0%
Ellie Pedersen 100% 61.2 100.0%
Jenna McLean 100% 66.5 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Halle Hill 100% 1.0 57.6 23.9 11.3 5.0 1.6 0.7 0.1 100.0%
Elle Johnson 100% 7.9 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.4 8.7 15.4 22.5 18.5 13.9 8.0 3.6 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Lilly Patrick 100% 8.1 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.1 7.3 14.6 20.6 20.2 14.7 8.5 5.2 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Allie Latta 100% 9.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 6.2 11.5 17.7 22.5 15.9 11.1 5.4 2.9 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Grace Newton 100% 14.8 0.3 0.4 2.2 4.7 9.2 10.5 11.5 13.5 11.3 9.7 8.0 6.0 4.3 3.0 2.1 1.6 1.0 0.8 100.0%
Ellie Pedersen 100% 15.0 0.2 0.5 1.9 4.4 7.7 11.3 12.4 11.3 11.0 10.2 8.2 5.9 4.8 3.9 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.7 100.0%
Jenna McLean 100% 16.7 0.3 0.4 2.4 4.2 6.7 8.5 9.2 10.9 11.0 10.8 8.4 7.1 6.7 4.8 3.7 2.6 1.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Halle Hill 1.0 60.9 24.5 8.9 4.2 1.4 0.3
Elle Johnson 6.8 0.2 1.8 3.4 8.8 15.4 26.2 21.6 13.8 5.5 2.9 0.6 0.1 0.1
Lilly Patrick 7.0 0.4 1.3 3.3 6.8 14.9 24.4 23.0 15.9 7.0 2.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
Allie Latta 8.2 0.3 0.9 2.4 7.1 13.9 21.4 27.5 15.1 8.5 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.2
Grace Newton 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 3.1 11.3 16.5 19.6 18.7 13.9 7.7 4.7 3.8 0.1
Ellie Pedersen 12.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 3.0 9.9 13.5 20.0 20.3 15.5 8.0 6.4 2.8 0.1
Jenna McLean 13.1 0.2 1.7 5.3 9.5 14.4 17.5 21.8 13.4 9.5 6.8 0.2