Lowell
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #30
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #6
Crown Point Regional Rank #3
Crown Point Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 48.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Dave Walker Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational (AAA) New Prairie Invitational (JV) Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conf. Hebron Sectional
Date 8/18 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12
Team Rating 405 335 344 407 428 422 657 452 415
Team Adjusted Rating 335 344 407 428 422 413 452 415
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Dave Walker Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational (AAA) New Prairie Invitational (JV) Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conf. Hebron Sectional
Karina James 10 18:22 17:54 19:03 18:20 18:31 18:16 18:55 18:42
262  Jazmin Grund 12 20:34 20:09 20:25 20:27 20:36 20:25 20:50 20:50 20:40
291  Reilly Boyer 9 20:40 21:06 20:50 20:40 20:47 20:27 20:16 20:45 20:39
309  Megan Kaczur 11 20:45 19:56 20:31 20:21 21:03 21:25 20:55 20:45
459  Brooke Hayden 12 21:14 20:41 20:36 22:32 21:10 21:13 21:26 21:19 21:13
527  Alexia Bibakis 12 21:30 21:18 20:20 22:40 22:24 21:31 21:18
599  Olivia Decker 9 21:41 22:43 22:04 21:44 21:36 21:29 21:43 21:25 21:15
919  Megan Brandon 10 22:24 23:00 21:50
1,071  Bella Medina 10 22:45 22:32 22:08 23:10 22:58 22:12 22:23 23:55
1,327  Sydney Kramer 11 23:15 23:30 23:17 23:39 24:17 23:10 22:55 22:45
1,420  Morgan Blank 12 23:28 23:19 23:42 23:42 23:12 23:02 23:33




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 48.0% 21.1 484 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.4 2.9 3.1 5.4 8.1 10.5 9.3 5.4
Semi-State 100% 6.5 199 0.3 2.6 6.8 10.1 12.5 15.9 16.3 18.9 12.2 4.1 0.6 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.5 58 11.9 28.7 59.5
Sectionals 100% 1.5 33 47.7 52.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 100% 6.5 0.4 2.2 6.0 11.2 11.8 12.9 11.1 8.9 7.5 5.9 4.7 3.5 3.2 1.5 2.1 1.5 1.1 0.7 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 100.0% 100.0%
Jazmin Grund 48.0% 146.8 0.0% 0.6%
Reilly Boyer 48.0% 153.0 0.0% 0.3%
Megan Kaczur 48.0% 159.1 0.0% 0.1%
Brooke Hayden 48.0% 183.3 0.0% 0.0%
Alexia Bibakis 48.0% 191.9 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Decker 48.0% 195.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 100% 1.0 84.8 11.9 2.6 0.7 0.2 100.0%
Jazmin Grund 100% 46.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 1.1 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 100% 52.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 100.0%
Megan Kaczur 100% 57.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Brooke Hayden 100% 88.0 100.0%
Alexia Bibakis 100% 102.3 99.9%
Olivia Decker 100% 112.7 99.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 100% 1.0 91.0 8.9 0.2 100.0%
Jazmin Grund 100% 11.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.9 6.7 9.7 13.7 13.8 11.1 11.7 7.7 7.3 4.9 3.9 3.5 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 100% 12.6 0.3 1.0 3.5 4.5 8.4 12.3 12.4 12.2 11.0 9.0 7.8 6.4 5.0 3.0 2.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Megan Kaczur 100% 13.9 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.7 5.2 8.6 10.3 10.6 10.8 10.8 10.3 8.8 5.3 5.7 4.5 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Brooke Hayden 100% 20.6 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.9 4.4 5.2 6.7 8.3 10.3 14.8 12.9 11.2 6.7 5.5 100.0%
Alexia Bibakis 100% 24.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.9 2.4 4.2 5.9 9.5 10.9 11.1 11.0 100.0%
Olivia Decker 100% 27.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 2.0 3.5 5.5 8.5 8.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 1.0 92.0 7.8 0.3
Jazmin Grund 5.5 4.2 33.2 26.3 17.9 10.4 4.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
Reilly Boyer 6.2 2.4 18.5 24.2 22.2 14.8 9.5 6.1 1.8 0.6 0.1
Megan Kaczur 6.9 0.5 10.2 18.4 24.2 20.1 13.3 7.7 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.1
Brooke Hayden 11.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 4.2 9.4 15.3 18.6 18.6 12.6 9.0 5.3 1.8 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Alexia Bibakis 13.8 0.3 1.2 4.2 7.2 10.8 14.5 14.9 12.8 11.2 8.3 5.7 4.3 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
Olivia Decker 16.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.3 3.3 6.6 10.8 12.5 13.4 12.8 11.0 10.0 7.1 4.7 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2