Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #9
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #1
Chesterton Regional Rank #1
New Prairie Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 12th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 33.4%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Rudy Skorupa Invitational Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 291 391 383 501 307 584 312 315 419 324 263
Team Adjusted Rating 307 290 302 307 384 312 315 321 324 263
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Rudy Skorupa Invitational Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
19  Kaylie Politza 11 18:38 19:07 19:09 19:03 18:25 18:52 18:53 18:31
55  Cheyanne Stock 10 19:23 20:00 19:16 19:37 20:10 19:33 19:34 19:11 19:15
193  Grace Thomas 10 20:21 20:22 20:04 19:52 20:15 19:58 20:25 21:55 21:08 20:12
264  Angela Coulopoulos 9 20:32 21:25 21:44 21:21 20:22 22:22 20:59 21:19 20:29 20:24
268  Anika Anderson 9 20:33 20:30 20:28 21:13 20:39 20:25 20:38 20:44 20:43 20:25
285  Lillian Maldia 11 20:37 21:09 20:34 20:40 21:56 21:17 21:13 20:39 20:51 20:29
364  Abigail Artherhults 11 20:55 22:08 21:49 21:55 21:19 21:10 20:48 20:43 21:23 20:46
422  Rue Harter 9 21:05 20:27 21:01 21:36 20:50 21:16 21:11
471  Libby Ehrhardt 9 21:13 21:07 20:55 21:15 21:07 21:24 21:21
503  Olympia Berbesque 10 21:19 20:47 20:54 21:04 21:30 21:21 22:18
822  Noelle Gapinski 9 22:09 22:33 21:57
1,064  Allie Wheeler 9 22:44 22:23 23:13 23:31 22:09
1,122  Sarah Bennett 12 22:50 22:47 22:31 22:58 23:00
1,231  Maryn Lazar 12 23:03 22:43 23:08 22:46 23:11 23:19
1,377  Ella Wagner 11 23:23 23:48 23:41 23:20 23:05
1,393  Maddie Braming 11 23:24 23:58 22:57 24:22 22:53
Aubree Foreman 11 23:33 24:11 23:08
Jessica Cummins 9 23:35 24:06 23:50 23:04
Mira Miravilla 9 23:45 23:51 24:03 24:16 23:01




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 12.6 351 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.2 5.4 6.4 7.4 8.5 9.0 9.1 8.4 7.8 7.4 6.4 5.5 4.4 3.3 2.4 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
Semi-State 100% 2.4 127 30.8 29.3 19.5 11.9 5.4 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.7 57 44.3 41.4 14.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.7 57 42.5 43.0 14.5 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaylie Politza 100% 19.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.9 3.7 3.8 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.3 3.9 4.1 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5 100.0%
Cheyanne Stock 100% 55.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 86.3%
Grace Thomas 100% 133.8 0.9%
Angela Coulopoulos 100% 150.2 0.1%
Anika Anderson 100% 150.9 0.1%
Lillian Maldia 100% 156.6 0.0%
Abigail Artherhults 100% 174.4 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaylie Politza 100% 2.8 3.1 22.8 30.7 22.3 10.9 5.6 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Cheyanne Stock 100% 10.4 0.1 0.8 2.7 4.8 7.0 9.3 9.7 11.4 10.7 9.8 8.8 6.7 5.3 4.1 2.7 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Grace Thomas 100% 39.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.8 1.9 2.2 100.0%
Angela Coulopoulos 100% 51.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 99.9%
Anika Anderson 100% 52.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 99.9%
Lillian Maldia 100% 57.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.7%
Abigail Artherhults 100% 76.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaylie Politza 100% 1.0 52.6 30.7 11.5 3.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Cheyanne Stock 100% 5.8 0.0 1.1 5.2 11.0 15.8 21.1 23.3 12.8 5.7 2.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Grace Thomas 100% 16.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.5 3.9 5.9 7.4 7.8 9.0 9.3 9.1 8.6 7.7 6.8 5.1 4.2 3.5 2.5 1.8 100.0%
Angela Coulopoulos 100% 20.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.0 6.0 6.3 7.7 8.3 8.1 8.1 7.5 6.9 6.7 5.4 100.0%
Anika Anderson 100% 20.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.9 3.1 3.9 5.5 6.4 7.8 7.9 7.9 8.3 8.1 7.3 6.5 5.8 100.0%
Lillian Maldia 100% 21.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.9 4.7 5.6 6.6 7.5 8.0 8.0 8.3 7.8 6.7 100.0%
Abigail Artherhults 100% 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.5 3.5 4.4 5.1 6.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaylie Politza 1.0 51.9 31.7 11.3 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
Cheyanne Stock 5.7 0.0 1.1 5.1 11.3 16.5 22.0 25.9 12.4 3.8 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Grace Thomas 14.2 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.9 6.0 7.7 8.3 10.4 10.6 10.6 9.5 8.3 6.7 5.4 3.6 3.0 2.0 1.4 0.8 0.4
Angela Coulopoulos 17.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.7 3.4 4.6 6.1 7.4 8.4 9.2 9.9 9.4 8.7 7.4 6.4 5.7 3.6 2.6
Anika Anderson 17.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.6 3.2 4.3 5.6 7.7 8.1 8.8 8.8 9.2 9.1 8.2 7.5 5.6 4.0 2.5
Lillian Maldia 19.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 2.0 2.8 3.9 5.4 6.4 7.7 9.1 9.1 10.0 9.4 9.0 7.8 5.9 4.4
Abigail Artherhults 23.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.3 2.3 3.4 4.5 7.0 8.1 10.1 13.0 13.3