Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #2
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
West Noble Regional Rank #1
Northrop Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 37.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 100.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational
Date 8/22 9/5 9/12 9/19
Team Rating 87 54 69 158 289
Team Adjusted Rating 54 69 106 129
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational
Zoe Duffus 12 17:55 17:51 17:43 18:23
19  Brooke Hansen 11 18:41 18:15 18:31 18:43 19:16
23  Ashlyn Minton 12 18:45 18:41 18:45
26  Shelby Christman 12 18:50 18:27 18:39 18:54 19:05
57  Taylor Hansen 9 19:23 18:57 19:07 19:39 19:50
125  Madelyn Ruch 11 19:58 20:03 19:36 20:11 20:07
326  Paige Hout 10 20:49 20:27 20:49 20:12 21:06
405  Marybeth Hall 9 21:04 20:59 21:23 21:04
589  Hadley Snell 9 21:38 21:37 21:38 21:56
1,037  Jill Yoder 10 22:47 22:52 22:32 22:44
1,181  Addison Windsor 9 23:07 23:07 23:06
1,337  Maura Sloffer 9 23:28 23:11 23:30 23:28




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.7 80 37.8 57.7 4.2 0.4
Semi-State 100% 1.0 42 99.1 1.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 21 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 20 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zoe Duffus 100% 3.9 4.1 14.9 18.5 14.8 12.4 10.0 7.0 5.0 4.2 3.2 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Brooke Hansen 100% 21.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.3 2.0 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.6 4.3 4.9 4.4 5.0 5.5 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.1 3.7 4.6 100.0%
Ashlyn Minton 100% 24.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.7 1.5 2.0 2.9 3.3 3.2 3.8 3.2 4.3 5.2 4.3 4.3 4.1 4.3 4.7 100.0%
Shelby Christman 100% 27.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.8 1.8 2.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 4.4 4.0 5.1 3.3 4.3 99.9%
Taylor Hansen 100% 56.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 89.6%
Madelyn Ruch 100% 103.9 20.7%
Paige Hout 100% 170.2 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zoe Duffus 100% 1.7 25.0 37.5 21.4 10.3 4.3 1.1 0.5 100.0%
Brooke Hansen 100% 7.3 0.1 0.1 1.3 3.0 7.8 12.5 19.4 20.0 14.3 11.1 5.4 3.2 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Ashlyn Minton 100% 8.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 5.0 8.6 14.9 17.5 19.3 15.9 8.1 5.0 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Shelby Christman 100% 9.0 0.3 0.6 2.2 4.7 8.8 14.2 19.4 19.5 14.0 7.9 4.3 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Taylor Hansen 100% 15.1 0.1 0.3 1.2 4.8 8.4 9.9 12.2 11.7 11.9 8.6 7.0 6.1 4.6 3.1 2.5 2.3 1.5 1.2 100.0%
Madelyn Ruch 100% 30.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.8 3.1 2.7 3.2 4.0 3.9 3.7 100.0%
Paige Hout 100% 72.7 75.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zoe Duffus 100% 1.0 70.1 29.9 100.0%
Brooke Hansen 100% 2.9 0.1 4.5 49.8 27.8 15.9 1.9 0.2 100.0%
Ashlyn Minton 100% 3.5 1.9 28.1 38.4 27.6 3.7 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Shelby Christman 100% 4.1 1.1 14.6 29.4 45.5 7.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Taylor Hansen 100% 6.5 0.2 1.6 31.7 32.0 16.1 9.4 4.5 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Madelyn Ruch 100% 12.5 0.1 1.6 6.1 7.8 9.6 10.6 9.4 9.5 7.9 7.1 6.7 5.2 4.4 3.9 3.3 2.6 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.5 100.0%
Paige Hout 100% 30.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.7 2.1 3.5 3.2 4.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zoe Duffus 1.0 70.7 29.3 0.1
Brooke Hansen 2.9 3.9 50.5 30.5 14.9 0.3
Ashlyn Minton 3.5 2.6 29.2 38.9 28.2 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1
Shelby Christman 4.1 0.9 15.2 28.3 52.0 3.5 0.3 0.1
Taylor Hansen 5.8 0.1 0.3 1.8 59.3 22.1 8.1 4.7 2.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Madelyn Ruch 10.9 0.3 5.9 9.8 12.8 11.1 12.0 9.7 9.7 7.1 6.5 5.5 3.8 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
Paige Hout 25.3 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.7 3.0 3.3 3.4 4.5 6.1 6.4 8.1 7.9