Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #8
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #1
Chesterton Regional Rank #1
New Prairie Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 6.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 49.4%
Advance to State Finals 99.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational
Date 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19
Team Rating 269 289 269 249 267 303
Team Adjusted Rating 289 269 249 267 236
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational
16  Bailey Ranta 11 18:34 18:14 18:40 18:35 18:30 18:47
75  Catherine White 11 19:35 19:19 19:32 19:35 19:35
109  Bri Gentry 11 19:53 19:51 19:51 19:38 19:54 19:58
200  Ciara Bonner 9 20:18 20:53 20:16 20:11 20:15 19:40
254  Alyssa Dunlap 10 20:33 20:42 20:37 20:28 20:33 20:13
392  Mckenna Handley 11 21:02 21:02 20:49 20:53 21:02
477  Frances Clancy 12 21:17 21:18 21:13 21:45 21:11
497  Liz Hibshman 11 21:21 22:31 20:45 21:21 21:01
591  Madison Trumbo 9 21:39 21:22 21:34 22:00 21:43 22:05
628  Alex Reed 9 21:43 21:35 21:48 21:48
647  Addison Leady 11 21:46 21:07 21:10 21:46 21:46 22:25
683  Nalani Malackowski 12 21:54 22:26 21:59 21:42 21:48 21:43
699  Ali Sierazy 9 21:57 21:56
716  Grace Carpenter 10 21:59 22:14 22:20 21:58 21:31
741  Isabella Smith 11 22:03 22:34 22:03 21:51 21:47
903  Emma Brown 11 22:30 22:00 22:36 22:22
1,095  Sydney Szabo 9 22:55 22:46 22:42 24:25
1,279  Abri Rodriguez 11 23:20 23:24 23:14 23:16
1,308  Mal Morrison 12 23:25 23:38 23:24 23:13
1,322  Olivia Kozak 10 23:26 26:05 23:25 23:03
Coryn Rodriguez 11 23:31 23:27 23:19 23:35
Maddie Burns 10 24:32 26:29 23:35 23:40




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.6% 11.0 331 0.3 1.3 4.9 6.5 7.9 8.5 10.3 9.8 9.1 8.1 8.2 6.8 5.2 4.6 2.2 2.0 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2
Semi-State 100% 1.7 111 58.7 25.0 11.7 2.7 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.3 53 72.5 23.7 3.3 0.6
Sectionals 100% 1.3 52 74.8 22.0 2.8 0.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 100% 17.2 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.5 1.6 2.0 2.8 3.3 4.4 5.4 5.0 6.0 5.9 5.5 5.0 5.3 4.7 4.8 4.9 3.8 3.1 3.6 2.0 100.0% 100.0%
Catherine White 99.6% 72.1 0.0% 80.5%
Bri Gentry 99.6% 97.4 0.0% 38.9%
Ciara Bonner 99.6% 134.7 0.0% 3.4%
Alyssa Dunlap 99.6% 154.3 0.0% 0.5%
Mckenna Handley 99.6% 180.4 0.0% 0.0%
Frances Clancy 99.6% 188.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 100% 1.9 8.1 48.2 21.9 11.3 6.1 3.2 0.8 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Catherine White 100% 12.6 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.3 4.2 7.4 9.0 8.1 9.1 8.2 7.3 7.2 5.9 6.3 3.4 3.9 2.2 2.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 0.7 100.0%
Bri Gentry 100% 20.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.0 0.9 2.6 2.9 4.0 4.2 5.5 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.7 4.9 4.4 4.3 4.5 3.7 100.0%
Ciara Bonner 100% 41.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.9 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.6 100.0%
Alyssa Dunlap 100% 56.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 99.8%
Mckenna Handley 100% 81.9 91.7%
Frances Clancy 100% 96.1 69.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 100% 1.0 64.2 24.2 9.3 1.8 0.5 0.2 100.0%
Catherine White 100% 6.8 0.3 1.6 5.5 10.3 18.1 18.6 16.6 11.8 6.8 4.7 2.7 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Bri Gentry 100% 10.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.7 5.9 9.3 14.0 14.5 10.9 11.3 8.9 5.8 5.8 4.0 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Ciara Bonner 100% 16.8 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.7 3.7 3.9 6.4 7.6 7.7 9.7 10.2 8.9 8.8 6.6 5.7 5.3 3.8 2.2 2.3 100.0%
Alyssa Dunlap 100% 21.2 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.6 4.0 5.0 6.2 7.7 9.9 9.1 8.5 7.7 6.0 6.3 100.0%
Mckenna Handley 100% 30.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 2.1 2.0 2.9 3.4 100.0%
Frances Clancy 100% 34.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 1.0 64.3 24.8 8.2 1.9 0.6 0.4
Catherine White 6.7 0.3 1.6 5.6 10.3 18.3 19.0 18.4 13.8 7.7 2.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1
Bri Gentry 9.5 0.1 0.3 1.5 2.8 7.3 12.0 16.6 19.4 15.0 10.7 6.4 4.1 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2
Ciara Bonner 14.2 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.8 6.8 10.0 12.1 13.4 12.3 10.7 9.8 6.4 5.0 3.0 2.5 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.1
Alyssa Dunlap 17.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.0 3.3 6.0 8.6 11.8 11.9 11.7 10.0 9.7 7.2 5.7 3.7 2.6 2.6
Mckenna Handley 24.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 2.6 3.7 5.7 7.0 8.7 10.3 10.3
Frances Clancy 28.3 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.5 1.7 2.9 3.1 6.0