Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #11
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #2
Chesterton Regional Rank #2
New Prairie Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 10th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 3.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 34.2%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 293 291 263 243 264 293 674 293 317 310 308 399
Team Adjusted Rating 291 263 243 264 253 344 293 317 310 308 399
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
21  Bailey Ranta 11 18:43 18:14 18:38 18:33 18:30 18:45 18:22 18:58 18:47 18:42 20:54
124  Bri Gentry 11 19:57 19:52 19:48 19:36 19:54 19:55 20:05 20:02 20:14 19:57 19:51
159  Catherine White 11 20:11 19:19 19:30 19:33 19:35 21:09 20:28 20:14 20:11 20:16 20:41
165  Ciara Bonner 9 20:13 20:53 20:14 20:09 20:15 19:38 20:04 20:33 20:07 20:17 20:10
263  Alyssa Dunlap 10 20:32 20:42 20:35 20:26 20:33 20:10 20:28 20:27 20:40 20:48 20:34
380  Liz Hibshman 11 20:58 22:29 20:43 21:21 20:58 21:35 20:51 21:38 21:04 20:43 20:51
437  Mckenna Handley 11 21:07 21:00 20:47 20:52 20:59 20:58 21:09 21:28 21:27 21:16
506  Frances Clancy 12 21:20 21:18 21:11 21:45 21:09 21:26 21:14
605  Madison Trumbo 9 21:36 21:22 21:32 21:58 21:42 22:02 21:17 21:29
611  Addison Leady 11 21:38 21:07 21:08 21:44 21:46 22:23 21:43 21:27
652  Alex Reed 9 21:43 21:36 21:46 21:45
676  Grace Carpenter 10 21:47 22:14 22:18 21:58 21:29 21:34 21:44
704  Nalani Malackowski 12 21:51 22:26 21:57 21:40 21:48 21:41 22:12 21:39
709  Ali Sierazy 9 21:52 21:54 22:05 21:41
783  Isabella Smith 11 22:03 22:35 22:01 21:51 21:44 22:11 22:14
1,029  Emma Brown 11 22:39 22:01 22:34 22:22 22:45 23:20
1,256  Sydney Szabo 9 23:08 22:46 22:40 24:25 23:22 22:51
1,292  Olivia Kozak 10 23:12 26:07 23:23 23:03 23:18 22:46
1,352  Abri Rodriguez 11 23:20 23:25 23:12 23:16 23:31
1,384  Mal Morrison 12 23:24 23:39 23:24 23:10 23:14 23:43
Coryn Rodriguez 11 23:37 23:28 23:16 23:35 23:35 24:01
Maddie Burns 10 24:10 26:31 23:33 23:40 24:11 24:29




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 12.8 354 0.1 0.8 2.7 4.2 5.2 6.4 6.9 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.7 7.1 7.1 5.9 5.3 4.4 3.9 3.1 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.2
Semi-State 100% 2.1 120 44.1 25.5 15.5 8.0 3.8 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.6 56 49.2 39.8 10.9 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.6 56 51.5 38.0 10.4 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 100% 21.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.9 3.7 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.5 100.0%
Bri Gentry 100% 99.6 0.0 17.0%
Catherine White 100% 119.4 4.0%
Ciara Bonner 100% 122.1 3.1%
Alyssa Dunlap 100% 149.7 0.1%
Liz Hibshman 100% 176.1 0.0%
Mckenna Handley 100% 182.3 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 100% 3.3 1.9 16.7 24.0 25.4 14.9 8.4 4.3 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Bri Gentry 100% 21.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.3 2.3 2.9 4.5 4.9 5.6 6.0 6.9 6.3 5.9 5.7 5.2 4.7 4.0 100.0%
Catherine White 100% 29.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.0 100.0%
Ciara Bonner 100% 31.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.9 3.7 100.0%
Alyssa Dunlap 100% 51.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 99.9%
Liz Hibshman 100% 78.9 0.0 0.0 95.7%
Mckenna Handley 100% 88.6 88.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 100% 1.3 37.1 37.4 15.8 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Bri Gentry 100% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.6 9.4 14.2 16.1 16.0 12.3 8.8 6.3 3.8 2.3 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Catherine White 100% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.5 6.5 9.3 11.6 12.6 11.6 9.8 7.9 6.0 4.9 3.6 2.9 2.5 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.7 100.0%
Ciara Bonner 100% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 5.2 8.0 10.9 12.3 11.9 10.6 8.3 6.6 5.5 4.0 3.3 3.0 2.1 1.5 1.0 0.6 100.0%
Alyssa Dunlap 100% 20.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.4 4.0 5.9 6.6 7.3 7.3 7.1 7.7 7.7 7.3 7.0 5.9 5.5 100.0%
Liz Hibshman 100% 28.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.9 3.7 4.3 5.8 100.0%
Mckenna Handley 100% 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bailey Ranta 1.3 37.7 37.1 15.6 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.0
Bri Gentry 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 4.7 15.2 26.2 21.1 12.4 7.1 4.3 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Catherine White 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.9 7.6 13.2 16.1 14.9 11.4 8.5 6.4 5.0 4.2 2.8 2.3 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0
Ciara Bonner 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 6.5 11.3 14.8 14.7 12.2 9.8 6.9 5.7 4.1 3.2 2.6 1.9 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1
Alyssa Dunlap 17.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 4.0 6.4 7.6 7.9 8.6 8.3 8.5 8.2 8.0 7.3 6.9 5.9 4.8 2.9
Liz Hibshman 24.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.8 2.3 3.2 3.9 5.2 7.0 9.2 11.2 14.5
Mckenna Handley 26.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.5 3.4 4.7 6.7 10.3