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2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #15
New Haven Semi-State Rank #4
West Noble Regional Rank #2
Northrop Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 16th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 13.9%
Advance to State Finals 99.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington Invitational Warsaw Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational
Date 8/22 8/25 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19
Team Rating 307 304 1,282 315 276 312 349
Team Adjusted Rating 287 307 315 276 312 349
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Warsaw Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational
Addison Knoblauch 9 18:06 18:00 18:28 18:04 18:06 18:23
164  Elise Peckinpaugh 10 20:09 19:59 19:57 19:50 20:48 20:22
178  Amelia Faber 11 20:13 20:18 20:16 20:10 20:36
223  Reagan Albers 10 20:24 20:27 20:33 20:25 20:09 20:34
284  Anna Denice 11 20:38 20:21 20:39 20:14 20:58 21:19
290  Lauren Richards 11 20:40 21:13 20:44 20:37 20:23
322  Lauren Saddington 9 20:47 21:34 20:43 20:51 20:43
443  Heidi Warner 12 21:11 21:23 21:45 20:33 21:02 21:30
446  Claire Weidler 12 21:12 20:36 21:17 21:07
574  Audrey Gardner 10 21:37 21:26 21:37 22:04 21:46
626  Arianna Osborn 9 21:43 21:58 21:30 22:03 21:28
804  Gabrielle Kiess 10 22:13 22:11 22:14 22:25 22:16
945  Kiera Hunter 11 22:37 22:44
965  Shelby Kuperus 9 22:39 23:53 22:07 22:36
1,002  Josie Freeman 10 22:44 22:44 22:36 23:20
1,068  Cate Clark 12 22:51 22:53 22:46 23:00
1,264  Lindsay McGuire 9 23:18 23:51 22:43
Katie Scardina 12 23:49 23:19 24:21 23:48
Mackenzie Batz 9 23:53 24:41 23:54 22:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.0% 15.4 392 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.1 2.4 3.8 4.0 5.4 5.9 7.5 8.2 8.6 8.8 7.9 7.0 7.2 5.6 5.4 3.5 2.9 1.6
Semi-State 100% 4.4 159 1.1 17.6 33.0 38.9 8.5 1.1
Regionals 100% 2.6 77 42.3 57.0 0.8
Sectionals 100% 2.6 70 42.6 56.3 1.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Knoblauch 100% 6.7 1.4 4.6 7.7 9.3 9.5 10.7 9.9 8.5 8.0 7.4 5.8 4.1 3.6 2.1 1.5 1.3 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Elise Peckinpaugh 99.0% 122.5 0.0% 6.9%
Amelia Faber 99.0% 127.4 0.0% 3.8%
Reagan Albers 99.0% 143.4 0.0% 1.4%
Anna Denice 99.0% 159.9 0.0% 0.2%
Lauren Richards 99.0% 161.4 0.0% 0.1%
Lauren Saddington 99.0% 169.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Knoblauch 100% 2.8 9.0 18.8 28.7 21.8 11.8 5.5 2.4 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Elise Peckinpaugh 100% 38.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.9 1.9 99.9%
Amelia Faber 100% 41.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.4 99.8%
Reagan Albers 100% 51.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.3 98.6%
Anna Denice 100% 64.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 88.8%
Lauren Richards 100% 64.6 0.1 88.1%
Lauren Saddington 100% 72.3 77.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Knoblauch 100% 1.3 29.9 62.7 5.5 1.3 0.8 100.0%
Elise Peckinpaugh 100% 16.2 0.1 0.2 1.5 2.2 3.2 5.5 6.1 6.0 7.1 7.5 9.1 8.7 7.7 7.0 7.6 5.3 4.6 3.3 2.4 2.0 100.0%
Amelia Faber 100% 17.3 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.8 3.7 4.7 6.6 6.0 7.6 8.0 8.1 6.8 8.6 6.8 7.2 5.2 4.8 3.3 3.0 100.0%
Reagan Albers 100% 21.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.8 1.4 2.5 3.1 4.0 4.6 6.7 6.0 6.5 8.1 8.4 7.5 6.9 7.2 100.0%
Anna Denice 100% 26.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.5 3.7 4.5 6.1 6.5 6.2 100.0%
Lauren Richards 100% 27.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 1.0 1.1 1.6 2.6 2.6 4.4 4.4 6.4 6.3 100.0%
Lauren Saddington 100% 30.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.7 1.8 2.7 3.1 4.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Knoblauch 1.3 29.3 63.5 5.1 1.6 0.6
Elise Peckinpaugh 13.7 0.4 1.3 2.5 5.0 6.0 7.4 9.0 10.1 11.7 10.1 10.6 8.6 6.4 4.4 2.4 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.2
Amelia Faber 14.6 0.2 0.5 2.2 3.1 4.5 6.0 7.8 9.0 9.7 11.4 10.2 10.3 7.8 6.1 4.0 3.1 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.5
Reagan Albers 18.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.1 1.6 3.2 3.1 4.5 6.6 8.2 9.9 11.3 9.9 9.9 7.6 7.9 4.6 3.7 2.4
Anna Denice 22.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.3 3.5 5.2 6.0 7.6 9.6 9.5 9.1 9.2 8.0
Lauren Richards 22.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.7 3.5 4.1 5.9 7.7 8.9 8.7 10.1 9.3 8.9
Lauren Saddington 24.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.3 2.2 2.9 4.6 5.5 6.1 8.2 9.0 10.5