Lowell
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #34
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #10
Crown Point Regional Rank #3
Hebron Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 14.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Kickoff Dave Walker Invitational Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational
Date 8/16 8/22 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26
Team Rating 434 436 398 414 537 1,216
Team Adjusted Rating 436 398 414 537 426
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Kickoff Dave Walker Invitational Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational
Karina James 11 18:09 18:03 18:06 18:14 18:15 18:17
216  Reilly Boyer 10 20:24 20:27 20:38 20:30 20:20 20:27 20:12
229  Megan Kaczur 12 20:27 20:28 20:07 20:14 20:57
336  Megan Brandon 11 20:50 20:39 20:54 20:35 20:47 21:02
737  Payton Boyer 9 22:03 21:48 21:52 21:54 23:02
810  Olivia Decker 10 22:13 22:31
833  Bella Medina 11 22:16 22:15 22:08
Morgan Meyers 9 23:44 23:44 23:45
Jenna James 12 24:18 23:35 24:55
Sarrah Krusza 11 24:19 24:17 24:42 24:29 23:49
Gabby Morache 9 24:29 24:07 25:12 24:19
Laurin Marsh 12 24:32 26:37 24:20 24:06
Abagail Pflughoeft 9 24:43 24:46 24:39
Alycia Ramos 10 24:58 24:46 25:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 14.5% 19.9 448 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.2 1.9 2.0 1.1
Semi-State 100% 9.0 231 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.6 6.8 10.6 12.8 15.4 17.3 17.3 11.3 0.8 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.7 69 1.3 23.1 75.6
Sectionals 100% 1.8 39 23.5 76.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 100% 6.7 0.7 4.5 8.0 9.4 9.5 10.4 9.8 8.6 7.4 6.1 5.8 4.5 3.4 2.9 2.1 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 14.8% 120.8 0.4% 1.9%
Megan Kaczur 14.7% 127.6 0.3% 1.1%
Megan Brandon 14.5% 157.1 0.0% 0.0%
Payton Boyer 14.5% 198.0 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Decker 14.5% 200.2 0.0% 0.0%
Bella Medina 14.5% 201.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 100% 1.0 85.1 12.0 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 100% 45.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.2 100.0%
Megan Kaczur 100% 48.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 100.0%
Megan Brandon 100% 70.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Payton Boyer 100% 130.3 96.7%
Olivia Decker 100% 137.7 91.5%
Bella Medina 100% 140.0 88.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 100% 1.0 100.0 0.0 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 100% 9.4 0.2 3.6 6.0 7.7 6.6 7.6 7.2 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 7.8 6.1 3.6 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Megan Kaczur 100% 10.4 0.3 1.9 3.4 4.8 6.5 7.4 7.0 7.8 7.7 7.7 8.7 9.3 7.9 8.2 5.5 3.1 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Megan Brandon 100% 16.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.9 3.2 4.9 7.2 9.8 13.8 15.4 11.4 8.8 5.8 4.2 2.5 1.7 1.0 0.6 100.0%
Payton Boyer 100% 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.3 100.0%
Olivia Decker 100% 34.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Bella Medina 100% 35.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 1.0 100.0
Reilly Boyer 4.7 0.7 16.2 18.0 21.4 17.7 14.2 7.6 2.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Megan Kaczur 5.2 0.4 11.0 14.5 19.5 20.2 17.2 11.0 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Megan Brandon 8.4 0.1 1.0 2.4 5.6 10.8 19.0 25.3 14.2 9.5 5.9 3.2 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.1
Payton Boyer 18.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.1 2.0 3.9 10.3 19.2 24.7 17.7 11.0 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.3
Olivia Decker 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.5 7.9 14.8 20.5 20.6 15.9 9.4 3.4 1.6
Bella Medina 20.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.3 6.6 11.7 18.4 22.0 18.7 11.3 5.7 2.3