Lowell
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #44
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #11
Crown Point Regional Rank #3
Hebron Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Kickoff Dave Walker Invitational Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conf. Lowell Last Chance Twilight Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/16 8/22 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/6 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 494 443 395 410 527 1,207 564 NEI 575 543 543
Team Adjusted Rating 443 395 410 527 477 564 NEI 573 508 543
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Kickoff Dave Walker Invitational Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conf. Lowell Last Chance Twilight Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Karina James 11 18:02 18:02 18:07 18:12 18:14 18:14 19:07 18:22 18:22 18:17 17:55
271  Reilly Boyer 10 20:34 20:27 20:39 20:29 20:19 20:24 20:09 20:37 21:12 20:43 20:39
336  Megan Kaczur 12 20:48 20:30 20:06 20:14 20:54 21:17 21:30 20:43 20:44
358  Megan Brandon 11 20:54 20:39 20:56 20:33 20:47 20:59 21:01 20:47 20:58 21:02
990  Payton Boyer 9 22:34 21:51 21:51 21:54 22:59 22:41 23:30
1,024  Bella Medina 11 22:38 22:18 22:07 22:42 22:36 23:09
1,250  Olivia Decker 10 23:06 22:34 23:05 23:10 23:09 23:17
Morgan Myers 9 23:50 24:35 24:40 23:56 23:41 23:42 NEI 23:47
Laurin Marsh 12 24:07 26:41 24:21 24:03 NEI
Sarrah Krusza 11 24:09 24:20 24:41 24:29 23:47 NEI 24:15
Abagail Pflughoeft 9 24:37 25:34 25:21 24:47 24:36 NEI 24:29
Alycia Ramos 10 24:48 24:46 25:12 NEI
Jenna James 12 24:49 23:35 24:56 NEI
Gabby Morache 9 24:49 24:07 25:09 24:17 NEI




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 10.8 275 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 3.8 7.1 11.2 16.1 19.4 18.3 14.7 6.1 0.6 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.9 79 0.3 10.0 89.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.9 49 7.5 92.5 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 100% 3.6 8.9 14.6 17.0 14.9 11.9 8.0 5.7 4.7 3.5 2.4 1.8 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 0.1% 119.0 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 100% 1.0 87.0 10.5 2.0 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 100% 52.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 100.0%
Megan Kaczur 100% 68.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Megan Brandon 100% 75.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Payton Boyer 100% 153.5 14.9%
Bella Medina 100% 155.3 10.0%
Olivia Decker 100% 162.8 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 100% 1.0 100.0 100.0%
Reilly Boyer 100% 10.4 0.3 1.9 3.1 4.9 6.1 6.9 7.3 7.8 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.7 7.3 6.0 4.5 3.5 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Megan Kaczur 100% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 2.0 3.0 3.7 4.5 5.5 6.5 7.6 8.8 8.7 9.3 8.7 7.9 5.9 4.8 3.3 2.6 1.8 1.2 0.6 100.0%
Megan Brandon 100% 16.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.5 3.7 4.7 5.7 7.6 8.3 9.4 9.4 9.8 8.5 7.1 5.4 4.1 3.4 2.5 1.2 100.0%
Payton Boyer 100% 39.7 100.0%
Bella Medina 100% 40.9 0.0 100.0%
Olivia Decker 100% 47.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karina James 1.0 100.0
Reilly Boyer 5.2 0.9 11.9 14.7 18.2 19.9 13.7 9.2 5.4 2.8 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Megan Kaczur 7.7 0.1 1.7 3.5 6.9 11.2 15.2 15.5 14.2 11.1 8.3 4.7 3.0 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0
Megan Brandon 8.9 0.0 0.6 1.5 3.4 6.6 10.6 13.5 15.6 14.3 11.7 7.7 5.7 3.7 3.0 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Payton Boyer 24.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.1 4.4 7.0 10.2 12.9 17.1
Bella Medina 25.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.7 4.4 7.8 10.4 15.4
Olivia Decker 29.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1