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State Rank #59
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #14
Chesterton Regional Rank #5
New Prairie Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 14th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Zebra Stampede Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 623 735 741 625 639 664 728 729 557 647 652
Team Adjusted Rating 697 738 625 639 621 728 729 557 647 652
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Zebra Stampede Duneland Athletic Conf. New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
47  Morgan McCulloch 12 19:15 19:58 20:09 20:57 20:40 20:06 20:08 19:54 19:41 19:41 19:22 19:07
198  Emilee Craigin 12 20:22 20:10 20:38 19:55 20:09 20:29 21:01 20:22 20:03 20:11 20:49
382  Soraya Loubriel 11 20:58 21:29 20:42 21:14 21:21 20:52 21:25 20:55 20:30 21:08 21:13
662  Amanda Purnick 11 21:44 22:09 23:07 21:25 21:26 21:11 21:27 22:57 21:23 21:57 21:47
1,370  Dillen Edwards 12 23:22 23:54 23:33 23:26 23:19 23:05
1,420  Allayna Gue 10 23:28 24:01 23:25 22:29 22:44 24:10 23:45 23:46 23:02 23:14 23:59
Ava Allen 10 24:48 25:17 26:20 24:19 28:46 27:05 24:22 25:16 24:30
Lisa Lopez 10 25:00 26:38 25:20 24:58 24:46 24:36 26:05 24:32




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 13.5 327 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 4.3 9.7 21.6 50.6 9.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
Regionals 100% 5.1 135 0.0 6.1 79.5 14.1 0.2
Sectionals 100% 4.9 118 0.1 12.9 86.4 0.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan McCulloch 96.9% 47.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 96.9% 96.9%
Emilee Craigin 0.7% 103.3 0.7% 0.7%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan McCulloch 100% 8.5 0.1 0.7 2.9 5.9 10.0 12.1 12.6 12.0 11.0 8.5 6.9 5.1 4.1 2.8 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Emilee Craigin 100% 40.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.2 100.0%
Soraya Loubriel 100% 79.7 0.0 0.0 95.2%
Amanda Purnick 100% 124.4 23.0%
Dillen Edwards 100% 166.7 0.0%
Allayna Gue 100% 168.1 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan McCulloch 100% 4.7 1.0 3.8 10.9 19.2 20.4 19.5 14.6 6.6 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Emilee Craigin 100% 16.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.6 3.7 5.7 6.6 8.3 8.9 9.2 8.2 7.3 6.6 5.9 5.3 4.6 3.6 3.1 2.8 100.0%
Soraya Loubriel 100% 28.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.9 3.5 4.3 5.1 100.0%
Amanda Purnick 100% 38.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Dillen Edwards 100% 63.3 99.6%
Allayna Gue 100% 64.3 99.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan McCulloch 4.7 0.9 3.8 11.3 19.1 20.9 20.7 15.0 6.3 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Emilee Craigin 14.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.5 5.9 7.4 9.6 9.6 9.7 8.9 8.0 7.4 6.6 5.6 4.6 3.9 3.2 2.2 1.4 0.8
Soraya Loubriel 24.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.6 1.9 3.0 4.0 5.3 6.3 8.4 11.1 13.0
Amanda Purnick 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
Dillen Edwards 41.2
Allayna Gue 41.7