Adams
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #109
New Haven Semi-State Rank #24
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #6
Riley Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational South Bend City Caston Invitational Minutemen Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional
Date 8/21 8/28 9/2 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 935 1,005 1,057 941 1,038 941 791 910 891 897 978
Team Adjusted Rating 1,005 950 941 1,038 941 791 910 891 897 978
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational South Bend City Caston Invitational Minutemen Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional
436  Lexi Lawwill 11 21:13 21:07 21:03 21:41 21:05 20:51 21:03 21:15 21:24 21:18
948  Olivia Purcell 10 22:26 22:14 22:13 22:11 23:22 22:42 22:05 22:08 22:18 22:18 23:21
959  Delaney Packard 11 22:28 22:50 22:27 22:15 22:20 22:36 21:52 22:27 22:21 22:29 22:58
989  Sofia Frazee 11 22:32 22:50 23:09 22:51 22:46 22:16 22:03 22:31 22:20 22:32 22:24
1,081  Trinity Breathitt 9 22:42 23:54 23:00 23:12 23:57 22:50 22:20 22:48 22:23 22:12 22:51
1,130  Emily Shepard 9 22:49 24:57 24:46 24:28 23:43 23:49 23:09 22:39 22:19 22:34
1,246  Reka Baumann 9 23:04 22:44 23:19 23:09 23:05
1,284  Cecilia Frazee 11 23:09 23:51 24:02 23:07 23:12 22:58 22:06 23:18 22:50 23:08 23:07
1,355  Jillian Kaufman 9 23:16 23:01 23:32 23:35 23:24 23:14 23:07 23:07
Addison Skube 11 23:57 23:31 23:51 24:38 23:06 24:31 24:20 24:12 23:47




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.0 172 28.4 39.4 32.0 0.2
Sectionals 100% 3.5 109 53.1 46.9 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexi Lawwill 99.2% 84.6 99.2% 99.2%
Olivia Purcell 1.7% 134.5 1.7% 1.7%
Delaney Packard 1.6% 135.5 1.6% 1.6%
Sofia Frazee 0.9% 139.8 0.9% 0.9%
Trinity Breathitt 0.1% 148.0 0.1% 0.1%
Emily Shepard 0.0% 131.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexi Lawwill 100% 19.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.4 4.1 5.9 7.8 8.0 8.9 8.6 8.1 8.0 6.7 6.1 4.9 4.4 100.0%
Olivia Purcell 100% 44.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Delaney Packard 100% 44.3 0.1 100.0%
Sofia Frazee 100% 45.9 0.0 100.0%
Trinity Breathitt 100% 50.1 100.0%
Emily Shepard 100% 52.9 100.0%
Reka Baumann 100% 58.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexi Lawwill 9.6 0.0 0.2 1.8 12.4 14.2 14.0 12.9 10.9 10.2 7.9 6.3 4.3 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
Olivia Purcell 23.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.2 4.6 6.4 8.2 9.0 11.6 14.5 13.3
Delaney Packard 23.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.2 5.8 8.2 9.3 11.0 13.2 12.9
Sofia Frazee 24.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.2 2.1 3.6 5.4 7.3 9.6 11.6 12.8
Trinity Breathitt 26.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.9 4.2 6.6 9.3
Emily Shepard 28.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.0 3.0 4.5
Reka Baumann 30.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6