East Noble
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #17
New Haven Semi-State Rank #5
West Noble Regional Rank #3
West Noble Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 17th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 4.8%
Advance to State Finals 88.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington Invitational Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northeast 8 Conference West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional
Date 8/21 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 321 406 355 313 316 508 332 341 301
Team Adjusted Rating 406 355 313 316 508 332 341 301
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington Invitational Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northeast 8 Conference West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional
19  Addison Lindsey 9 18:46 18:27 18:47 18:37 18:22 19:23 18:49 18:48 19:14
134  Dakota Rodgers 10 20:01 20:57 20:31 20:02 20:01 21:07 20:19 20:17 19:41
139  Rae David 9 20:03 20:07 20:05 19:50 20:02 20:11 20:15 19:50 19:56
232  Lydia Keihn 11 20:26 21:22 20:43 20:36 20:37 22:08 20:30 20:38 20:05
332  Rachel Becker 11 20:53 20:40 20:50 20:47 20:47 21:23 20:40 20:59 20:57
427  Lilly Crow 9 21:12 22:07 21:37 21:43 21:46 21:40 20:50
762  Kayla Carpenter 11 22:05 21:51 22:19
864  Cady Smith 11 22:16 22:37 22:07 22:15 22:30 22:54 21:55 22:07 22:11
Morigan Prest 11 24:02 23:59 23:53 24:06 24:26




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 88.6% 16.3 395 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.1 3.1 4.1 5.2 6.8 8.8 10.5 11.8 10.6 9.1 5.8 3.8 2.4 1.4 0.2
Semi-State 100% 4.7 147 2.8 6.2 13.0 21.8 30.0 14.7 6.6 3.5 1.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.9 78 5.1 22.1 53.3 17.4 2.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 26 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Lindsey 100% 20.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.6 3.3 3.5 4.0 4.6 5.0 5.2 6.3 4.8 5.1 5.3 4.9 3.8 3.6 100.0% 100.0%
Dakota Rodgers 89.0% 109.5 3.5% 40.2%
Rae David 88.8% 111.8 2.4% 36.2%
Lydia Keihn 88.6% 144.7 0.0% 3.8%
Rachel Becker 88.6% 169.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lilly Crow 88.6% 181.4 0.0% 0.0%
Cady Smith 88.6% 204.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Lindsey 100% 4.2 2.9 11.5 30.5 20.4 14.0 9.0 5.3 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Dakota Rodgers 100% 27.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.6 1.5 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.4 3.3 4.3 4.3 3.8 4.3 4.3 99.5%
Rae David 100% 28.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.6 2.6 3.5 3.3 3.6 3.6 4.0 4.1 3.6 99.6%
Lydia Keihn 100% 48.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.5 88.5%
Rachel Becker 100% 69.5 35.8%
Lilly Crow 100% 84.2 7.1%
Cady Smith 100% 140.2 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Lindsey 100% 1.6 8.3 75.3 11.3 3.3 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Dakota Rodgers 100% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.3 4.1 5.1 6.2 6.8 7.4 7.6 7.7 7.4 6.4 6.4 5.5 5.2 4.1 3.5 3.1 2.5 2.2 1.5 100.0%
Rae David 100% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.3 4.3 6.3 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.7 7.4 7.1 6.9 5.4 4.8 4.2 4.1 2.8 2.9 2.7 1.3 100.0%
Lydia Keihn 100% 23.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.8 3.0 3.8 4.1 5.6 5.4 6.6 6.6 7.4 7.4 100.0%
Rachel Becker 100% 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.3 1.7 100.0%
Lilly Crow 100% 37.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Cady Smith 100% 64.4 99.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Lindsey 1.0 95.0 5.0 0.0
Dakota Rodgers 3.6 2.4 28.1 31.4 24.4 9.6 3.2 0.8 0.0 0.0
Rae David 3.8 1.6 24.3 31.5 25.7 12.2 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.0
Lydia Keihn 6.3 0.0 0.5 2.5 9.8 27.0 32.1 19.7 6.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Rachel Becker 8.9 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.4 16.0 31.6 23.3 12.6 6.1 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lilly Crow 11.2 0.0 0.1 1.5 6.1 16.1 21.8 19.6 14.7 9.9 5.3 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Cady Smith 24.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.4 2.5 3.6 4.6 5.5 7.0 8.0 7.9 8.4 9.0