Fort Wayne South Side
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #77
New Haven Semi-State Rank #17
Marion Regional Rank #2
Bellmont Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 14th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Baron Classic Manchester Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional
Date 8/28 9/4 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 767 1,088 769 909 804 890 864 766
Team Adjusted Rating 778 769 821 735 753 768 766
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Baron Classic Manchester Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional
90  Lauren Walda 12 19:44 20:40 19:36 19:34 19:39 19:43 19:40
584  Jaclyn Embry 11 21:37 20:57 22:12 21:41 21:24 22:14 21:44
587  Grace Gillie 11 21:38 21:35 21:23 22:19
1,007  Merari Williams 11 22:34 22:45 22:38 23:02 22:23 22:22 22:13
1,110  Fiona Gochvtott-Stinw 11 22:46 23:06 22:59 22:44 22:29 22:49 23:14 22:22
1,137  Madeline Hensler 12 22:50 22:48 23:08 23:06 22:46 22:48 22:23 22:38
Katey Niblack 12 23:54 24:01 23:38 24:11 23:55 24:05
Elizabeth Aylward 11 24:03 23:41 23:57 23:48 24:24 23:50 24:33
Brett Cox 9 24:56 27:20 25:45 24:16 23:40




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 14.1 392 0.4 2.3 12.1 64.5 13.3 5.9 1.3 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.1 82 0.0 90.5 8.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 55 98.0 1.9 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Walda 83.5% 80.6 0.0 83.5% 83.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Walda 100% 18.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.9 4.4 5.3 6.2 7.2 6.8 6.1 6.7 6.3 5.8 5.3 4.0 4.0 3.6 2.6 100.0%
Jaclyn Embry 100% 107.9 92.9%
Grace Gillie 100% 108.5 91.9%
Merari Williams 100% 148.7 4.3%
Fiona Gochvtott-Stinw 100% 153.1 0.9%
Madeline Hensler 100% 155.0 0.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Walda 100% 1.6 90.2 7.1 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Jaclyn Embry 100% 14.6 0.2 1.0 2.5 5.3 6.6 8.2 9.5 10.3 10.0 8.6 7.5 6.3 5.9 4.6 3.6 2.9 2.3 1.7 1.1 100.0%
Grace Gillie 100% 14.8 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.5 4.6 6.1 8.9 8.9 10.2 9.2 9.4 7.8 6.5 5.7 4.8 4.0 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.3 100.0%
Merari Williams 100% 32.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.2 2.7 100.0%
Fiona Gochvtott-Stinw 100% 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 100.0%
Madeline Hensler 100% 38.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 99.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Walda 1.0 95.5 4.0 0.5
Jaclyn Embry 8.4 0.1 1.7 5.0 9.3 12.8 14.7 16.8 15.1 10.5 7.3 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0
Grace Gillie 8.4 0.1 1.8 4.6 8.6 12.8 15.2 16.3 15.3 11.2 7.2 4.1 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.0
Merari Williams 16.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.2 6.9 12.5 17.1 14.7 10.9 9.6 7.0 4.6 3.9 2.8 1.6 1.0
Fiona Gochvtott-Stinw 19.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.9 4.3 7.7 11.5 11.2 11.2 9.7 8.6 7.4 6.0 4.3 4.4
Madeline Hensler 20.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.4 4.6 7.6 8.9 9.8 9.4 9.5 9.2 8.2 7.2 5.5