Manchester
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #93
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #23
Culver Academies Regional Rank #6
Manchester Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Rochester Invitational Warsaw Invitational Manchester Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional
Date 8/21 8/24 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 838 947 820 830 883 883 796 878 885 836
Team Adjusted Rating 857 820 830 883 883 796 878 885 836
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Rochester Invitational Warsaw Invitational Manchester Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional
323  Kadence Fox 9 20:49 20:53 20:23 20:41 21:07 21:03 20:34 21:01 20:38 20:53
387  Ayla Cashdollar 9 21:04 21:11 20:18 20:42 21:02 21:11 21:17 21:10 21:03 21:17
575  Josie Briner 11 21:36 21:26 21:08 21:41 22:14 21:31 21:36 21:27 21:53 21:45
1,040  Kambree Cashdollar 12 22:38 24:03 22:29 22:06 22:32 21:45 22:47 23:01 22:35
Evyn Fox 10 23:39 23:56 23:52 24:09 24:03 24:46 24:16 24:03 23:57 23:15
Miriam Struble-Hedstrom 10 24:09 24:21 24:15 24:12 26:24 23:51 24:06 24:46 23:44
Paulie Martin 10 24:22 25:53 24:09 25:18 24:18 24:26 24:25 24:29 23:57
Ainsley West 12 24:47 24:15 23:41 24:31 24:43 24:46 25:03 24:49 27:44
Gracie Dale 10 24:47 24:38 26:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.7 147 0.0 0.6 17.4 23.2 27.0 31.9
Sectionals 100% 4.0 107 0.6 99.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kadence Fox 0.1% 144.5 0.1% 0.1%
Ayla Cashdollar 0.0% 156.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kadence Fox 91.0% 68.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.0% 91.0%
Ayla Cashdollar 60.9% 80.9 0.0 60.9% 60.9%
Josie Briner 2.2% 100.3 2.2% 2.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kadence Fox 100% 16.5 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.3 4.6 5.0 6.4 5.9 6.9 7.7 8.0 7.7 6.6 6.5 5.9 5.1 4.8 3.2 2.4 100.0%
Ayla Cashdollar 100% 21.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.0 3.0 3.8 4.3 5.2 6.2 6.6 8.4 8.7 8.4 8.8 7.3 100.0%
Josie Briner 100% 30.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.8 100.0%
Kambree Cashdollar 100% 47.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kadence Fox 10.6 0.3 1.0 1.8 3.4 5.2 7.3 7.3 8.0 9.4 11.0 11.6 9.6 9.2 6.4 4.7 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.2
Ayla Cashdollar 14.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.6 2.3 3.4 4.2 5.6 8.3 10.1 13.4 13.4 13.6 11.2 6.1 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.2
Josie Briner 19.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.7 3.5 7.9 16.6 18.8 17.5 15.3 10.7 5.0 0.8 0.3
Kambree Cashdollar 26.9 0.1 0.3 0.8 3.4 8.5 11.9