Warsaw
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #23
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #4
Culver Academies Regional Rank #1
Manchester Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 21st place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.4%
Advance to State Finals 93.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Warsaw Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Marion Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational NIC / NLC Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional
Date 8/24 8/31 9/4 9/14 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 371 269 410 324 361 362 393 336 422 427
Team Adjusted Rating 269 410 324 361 362 393 336 409 398
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Warsaw Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Marion Invitational NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational NIC / NLC Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional
44  Josefina Rastrelli 10 19:17 18:37 19:41 19:17 19:08 19:15 19:11 19:26 19:20 19:49
161  Wini Barnett 12 20:09 19:30 20:09 19:31 20:12 20:01 20:46 20:00 20:45 20:30
270  Ava Knight 12 20:36 20:09 20:36 20:27 20:42 21:00 20:34 20:46 20:33
290  Mikayla Mimnaugh 11 20:42 20:23 20:42 20:46 20:39 20:40 20:50 20:11 20:49 20:39
304  Elizabeth Vander Bie 10 20:44 21:55 20:34 20:35 20:31 20:39 20:44 20:37
316  Regan Brouwer 12 20:49 20:18 21:04 20:38 21:05 20:48 20:44 20:22 21:09 21:05
417  Amanda Lusinde 12 21:10 21:35 21:16 21:21 20:59 21:00 20:49 21:06
507  Marrisa Howett 10 21:26 21:16 21:36 21:55 21:39 21:14 21:08 22:02 20:58
620  Elliana Transparenti 9 21:43 20:55 21:15 21:18 21:51 22:52 21:38 22:24
783  Macelyn Marcuccilli 12 22:08 20:25 21:23 22:16 22:02 22:03 22:37 23:08
887  Ella Laput 9 22:19 22:23 22:22 22:17 22:12 22:04 22:30 22:24
978  Isabelle Herman 10 22:31 24:41 22:57 22:33 22:31 22:07 22:14 21:40 22:32
1,347  Joseleen Niebbia 12 23:15 23:47 24:06 23:02 23:04 24:31 22:28 22:47
Kirra Morgan 10 23:37 23:23 23:20 23:23 23:37 23:32 24:19 24:04
Margaret Barnett 9 23:53 25:23 23:13 24:17 23:34 24:09 23:21
Bryce Eherenman 9 24:56 26:11 25:04 25:50 24:15 25:14 24:46 23:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 93.8% 20.1 462 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.8 2.0 3.7 4.9 8.2 10.6 13.0 13.3 13.1 12.7 8.2
Semi-State 100% 4.2 163 0.3 3.2 28.2 35.1 17.4 9.6 4.7 1.3 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 42 99.7 0.3
Sectionals 100% 1.0 30 99.6 0.3 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Josefina Rastrelli 99.4% 45.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.3 90.1% 98.5%
Wini Barnett 93.8% 121.7 0.3% 16.4%
Ava Knight 93.8% 154.9 0.0% 0.6%
Mikayla Mimnaugh 93.8% 160.2 0.0% 0.2%
Elizabeth Vander Bie 93.8% 162.0 0.0% 0.1%
Regan Brouwer 93.8% 165.9 0.0% 0.1%
Amanda Lusinde 93.8% 180.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Josefina Rastrelli 100% 7.7 0.0 0.2 2.8 6.7 11.2 15.0 19.1 14.9 10.2 6.4 4.2 2.9 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Wini Barnett 100% 30.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.7 2.7 2.5 3.0 3.1 3.2 2.9 3.1 99.9%
Ava Knight 100% 55.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 94.9%
Mikayla Mimnaugh 100% 61.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 91.6%
Elizabeth Vander Bie 100% 63.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 88.5%
Regan Brouwer 100% 68.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 82.0%
Amanda Lusinde 100% 90.8 38.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Josefina Rastrelli 100% 1.4 24.8 62.9 9.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Wini Barnett 100% 5.8 0.1 6.0 12.6 17.2 16.8 14.8 10.8 8.3 6.3 3.1 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ava Knight 100% 12.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.9 5.4 6.9 9.5 10.4 11.1 9.4 8.7 7.0 6.2 5.2 4.1 2.8 2.1 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 100.0%
Mikayla Mimnaugh 100% 13.8 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 2.3 4.8 5.9 8.2 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.1 7.8 6.9 5.7 4.8 3.5 3.3 2.0 1.7 1.2 1.0 100.0%
Elizabeth Vander Bie 100% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.6 2.8 4.5 6.8 8.1 9.0 8.3 9.2 8.1 7.5 6.2 5.7 5.0 3.5 3.3 2.3 1.7 1.2 100.0%
Regan Brouwer 100% 16.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.9 4.4 5.7 6.9 8.1 8.3 8.0 8.8 6.7 6.9 6.2 5.8 4.4 3.6 3.5 2.1 100.0%
Amanda Lusinde 100% 23.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.7 1.1 2.0 2.9 3.8 5.1 6.2 6.5 8.2 7.9 9.2 9.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Josefina Rastrelli 1.0 99.1 0.8 0.1
Wini Barnett 2.5 38.7 22.3 15.8 10.7 7.2 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Ava Knight 7.3 0.6 4.1 5.8 9.6 11.7 14.5 13.8 11.9 9.3 6.8 5.0 3.1 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Mikayla Mimnaugh 8.5 0.3 1.7 3.2 5.6 7.6 11.8 13.3 12.8 11.3 10.2 8.3 5.3 4.0 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Elizabeth Vander Bie 9.2 0.1 1.4 2.5 3.8 6.5 9.2 11.0 13.1 12.9 11.2 8.1 6.9 5.7 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regan Brouwer 10.3 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.2 4.2 6.1 8.8 11.0 12.3 13.1 11.4 9.8 7.4 5.6 3.8 2.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1
Amanda Lusinde 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.2 3.5 6.3 8.6 10.6 14.1 15.4 15.1 10.4 5.7 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.1