All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational |
Caston Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Invitational |
Hoosier North Athletic Conf. |
Logansport Sectional |
Culver Academies Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/21 |
9/4 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
| Team Rating |
885 |
895 |
823 |
846 |
814 |
936 |
964 |
883 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
895 |
823 |
846 |
814 |
936 |
964 |
883 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational |
Caston Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Invitational |
Hoosier North Athletic Conf. |
Logansport Sectional |
Culver Academies Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| 308 |
Margaret Smith |
10 |
20:49 |
21:13 |
20:40 |
20:50 |
20:50 |
20:37 |
21:28 |
20:58 |
20:37 |
| 419 |
Kadence Hoover |
9 |
21:16 |
21:24 |
20:47 |
21:25 |
20:52 |
21:37 |
21:33 |
21:03 |
21:22 |
| 581 |
Kelsey Wegner |
10 |
21:43 |
21:47 |
21:15 |
21:19 |
21:34 |
21:50 |
21:56 |
22:02 |
|
| 1,028 |
Alexis Sheets |
12 |
22:45 |
22:25 |
22:45 |
22:27 |
22:22 |
23:22 |
22:50 |
22:52 |
|
|
Ariana Gualajara |
11 |
24:01 |
24:08 |
26:12 |
24:32 |
24:28 |
24:00 |
24:22 |
23:36 |
|
|
Bethany Poor |
10 |
24:01 |
23:54 |
24:19 |
23:53 |
23:46 |
24:08 |
24:10 |
23:59 |
|
|
Rori Blackman |
12 |
24:07 |
|
24:08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kate Collins |
12 |
24:57 |
|
|
25:12 |
26:53 |
23:58 |
24:49 |
24:49 |
|
|
Kingsley Kroft |
12 |
25:42 |
|
25:17 |
25:47 |
25:54 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.1 |
152 |
|
|
0.0 |
9.7 |
17.6 |
30.0 |
42.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.6 |
70 |
10.2 |
24.2 |
65.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Margaret Smith |
0.0% |
140.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Margaret Smith |
98.7% |
61.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
98.7% |
98.7% |
| Kadence Hoover |
57.7% |
84.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
57.7% |
57.7% |
| Kelsey Wegner |
4.2% |
103.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.2% |
4.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Margaret Smith |
100% |
15.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
3.6 |
5.8 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
7.8 |
7.5 |
7.5 |
8.5 |
8.4 |
7.6 |
7.1 |
5.7 |
4.6 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Kadence Hoover |
100% |
23.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.7 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
7.8 |
9.1 |
9.4 |
9.4 |
8.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Kelsey Wegner |
100% |
30.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Alexis Sheets |
100% |
46.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Margaret Smith |
4.7 |
|
|
0.5 |
28.6 |
32.1 |
25.2 |
8.5 |
3.6 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kadence Hoover |
7.4 |
|
|
|
0.5 |
3.4 |
11.1 |
27.1 |
19.2 |
18.5 |
11.9 |
5.1 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kelsey Wegner |
10.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
5.5 |
9.1 |
15.4 |
21.2 |
17.0 |
12.8 |
9.1 |
5.1 |
2.2 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Alexis Sheets |
18.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
4.3 |
9.8 |
15.1 |
20.8 |
21.4 |
13.9 |
7.7 |
3.3 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
|
