Campbell
Big South
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#225
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#250
Pace56.8#356
Improvement-1.4#236

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#182
First Shot+1.6#129
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#305
Layup/Dunks+2.8#78
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#57
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#172
Freethrows-3.7#351
Improvement+0.9#122

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#258
First Shot-3.0#275
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#156
Layups/Dunks+1.8#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#322
Freethrows+1.0#103
Improvement-2.3#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.5% 15.1% 9.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 71.1% 83.4% 58.6%
.500 or above in Conference 76.2% 88.2% 64.0%
Conference Champion 3.9% 6.6% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.1% 1.0%
First Four5.2% 5.1% 5.2%
First Round10.2% 12.8% 7.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Away) - 50.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 31 - 5
Quad 413 - 714 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 278   Hartford W 68-67 64%     1 - 0 -5.7 -3.5 -2.1
  Nov 13, 2021 10   @ Duke L 56-67 3%     1 - 1 +8.6 +1.5 +5.1
  Nov 18, 2021 200   @ Marshall W 67-65 35%     2 - 1 +2.9 -4.1 +7.1
  Nov 24, 2021 342   Maryland Eastern Shore W 66-55 86%     3 - 1 -3.9 +0.4 -2.3
  Nov 27, 2021 293   @ Stetson W 60-58 59%     4 - 1 -3.3 -5.0 +2.1
  Dec 04, 2021 75   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-65 12%     4 - 2 +5.9 +1.9 +3.9
  Dec 15, 2021 233   Georgia Southern L 66-69 63%     4 - 3 -9.4 -6.0 -3.5
  Dec 22, 2021 256   @ UNC Wilmington L 58-65 48%     4 - 4 -9.5 -10.2 +0.0
  Jan 05, 2022 249   UNC Asheville L 54-60 66%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -13.2 -11.8 -2.6
  Jan 10, 2022 183   @ Winthrop L 72-74 33%     4 - 6 0 - 2 -0.3 +6.6 -7.2
  Jan 12, 2022 351   Charleston Southern W 67-52 91%     5 - 6 1 - 2 -2.5 -3.5 +3.4
  Jan 15, 2022 285   Radford W 70-58 74%     6 - 6 2 - 2 +2.3 +10.6 -5.3
  Jan 19, 2022 187   @ Longwood L 64-72 33%     6 - 7 2 - 3 -6.5 +1.0 -8.6
  Jan 22, 2022 272   @ N.C. A&T W 66-65 50%    
  Jan 26, 2022 332   Hampton W 66-55 86%    
  Jan 29, 2022 275   High Point W 65-59 73%    
  Feb 02, 2022 299   @ Presbyterian W 60-58 58%    
  Feb 05, 2022 311   @ South Carolina Upstate W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 09, 2022 223   Gardner-Webb W 64-62 61%    
  Feb 12, 2022 275   @ High Point W 62-61 52%    
  Feb 16, 2022 285   @ Radford W 63-61 54%    
  Feb 19, 2022 272   N.C. A&T W 68-62 71%    
  Feb 23, 2022 332   @ Hampton W 64-58 68%    
  Feb 26, 2022 187   Longwood W 64-63 54%    
Projected Record 13 - 11 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 1.9 0.9 3.9 1st
2nd 0.1 2.2 5.4 3.1 0.4 11.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.1 8.9 5.7 0.9 0.1 17.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 7.7 6.3 0.9 0.0 15.9 4th
5th 0.3 4.7 7.5 1.1 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 7.2 2.3 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 5.2 3.9 0.2 9.9 7th
8th 0.2 2.9 4.0 0.5 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 2.9 0.9 0.0 5.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.9 7.2 12.5 17.4 20.0 18.5 13.0 5.9 1.4 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 63.9% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1
12-4 32.8% 1.9    0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
11-5 7.7% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 1.4% 30.9% 30.9% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0
12-4 5.9% 25.2% 25.2% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.4 4.4
11-5 13.0% 21.1% 21.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.7 10.2
10-6 18.5% 16.5% 16.5% 15.8 0.6 2.5 15.5
9-7 20.0% 12.5% 12.5% 15.9 0.2 2.3 17.5
8-8 17.4% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.0 1.3 16.0
7-9 12.5% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 11.9
6-10 7.2% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.3 6.9
5-11 2.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 2.9
4-12 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-13 0.2% 0.2
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.5 2.8 9.2 87.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 14.3 6.1 56.3 36.2 1.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%