Presbyterian
Big South
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#299
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#259
Pace60.4#344
Improvement-3.5#315

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#318
First Shot-8.3#349
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#20
Layup/Dunks-2.7#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#342
Freethrows-0.7#240
Improvement-0.9#236

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#255
First Shot-3.5#290
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#99
Layups/Dunks+0.5#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#259
Freethrows-3.4#342
Improvement-2.6#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.8% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 6.6% 13.0% 3.2%
.500 or above in Conference 12.7% 23.3% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 17.3% 8.3% 22.0%
First Four1.2% 1.9% 0.9%
First Round1.0% 1.6% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Home) - 34.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 410 - 811 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 68   @ Clemson L 53-64 5%     0 - 1 -0.5 -12.8 +11.8
  Nov 12, 2021 197   VMI W 73-72 OT 35%     1 - 1 -3.0 -4.2 +1.2
  Nov 15, 2021 283   The Citadel W 74-70 2OT 56%     2 - 1 -5.5 -14.0 +8.0
  Nov 18, 2021 74   @ Cincinnati L 45-79 6%     2 - 2 -24.1 -20.5 -4.3
  Nov 24, 2021 197   VMI W 59-54 27%     3 - 2 +3.5 -11.3 +15.4
  Nov 25, 2021 281   @ New Orleans W 68-66 36%     4 - 2 -2.4 -7.5 +5.0
  Nov 26, 2021 329   Central Arkansas W 75-66 62%     5 - 2 -2.1 +0.2 -1.6
  Nov 30, 2021 15   @ Tennessee L 44-86 2%     5 - 3 -24.9 -13.0 -16.4
  Dec 06, 2021 145   @ Morehead St. L 66-71 14%     5 - 4 -1.4 +2.1 -4.1
  Dec 12, 2021 203   @ College of Charleston L 76-78 OT 20%     5 - 5 -1.3 -1.8 +0.7
  Dec 18, 2021 115   Wofford L 49-76 19%     5 - 6 -25.8 -15.7 -15.0
  Dec 21, 2021 102   @ Furman L 61-75 8%     5 - 7 -6.6 -1.7 -6.8
  Jan 05, 2022 272   @ N.C. A&T L 57-65 33%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -11.6 -13.8 +1.8
  Jan 08, 2022 311   South Carolina Upstate L 72-82 62%     5 - 9 0 - 2 -21.1 -6.9 -14.4
  Jan 12, 2022 223   @ Gardner-Webb L 61-64 23%     5 - 10 0 - 3 -3.4 -7.6 +4.1
  Jan 20, 2022 183   Winthrop L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 22, 2022 187   Longwood L 61-66 34%    
  Jan 26, 2022 351   @ Charleston Southern W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 29, 2022 249   UNC Asheville L 64-65 48%    
  Feb 02, 2022 225   Campbell L 58-60 42%    
  Feb 05, 2022 285   @ Radford L 60-63 36%    
  Feb 09, 2022 275   High Point W 62-61 56%    
  Feb 12, 2022 183   @ Winthrop L 64-74 18%    
  Feb 16, 2022 311   @ South Carolina Upstate L 66-68 41%    
  Feb 19, 2022 223   Gardner-Webb L 61-64 42%    
  Feb 23, 2022 351   Charleston Southern W 71-62 82%    
  Feb 26, 2022 249   @ UNC Asheville L 61-67 28%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 5 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 1.2 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 3.3 0.3 5.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.1 1.8 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 5.7 4.7 0.3 11.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 7.0 8.2 1.5 0.0 18.2 9th
10th 0.1 2.3 9.0 10.1 2.9 0.0 24.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.9 6.1 6.2 1.8 0.1 16.3 11th
12th 0.2 1.5 3.2 2.8 0.7 0.1 8.5 12th
Total 0.2 1.6 5.3 11.3 17.3 20.0 18.1 13.5 7.9 3.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 72.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-5 22.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.2% 11.4% 11.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
10-6 1.2% 10.4% 10.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.1
9-7 3.4% 8.6% 8.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.1
8-8 7.9% 4.5% 4.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 7.5
7-9 13.5% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.1
6-10 18.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 17.8
5-11 20.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.2 19.8
4-12 17.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.2
3-13 11.3% 11.3
2-14 5.3% 5.3
1-15 1.6% 1.6
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 1.6 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%