Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.0#351
Expected Predictive Rating-14.4#339
Pace75.9#36
Improvement+1.6#101

Offense
Total Offense-8.0#345
First Shot-9.5#355
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#75
Layup/Dunks-3.4#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#183
Freethrows-3.9#355
Improvement+0.7#130

Defense
Total Defense-7.0#341
First Shot-7.5#350
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#135
Layups/Dunks-6.0#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#248
Freethrows-0.8#254
Improvement+0.8#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.7% 2.3% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 55.2% 35.0% 59.9%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Away) - 18.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 43 - 144 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 109   @ Mississippi L 68-93 3%     0 - 1 -18.2 -6.1 -9.5
  Nov 17, 2021 49   @ Wake Forest L 59-95 1%     0 - 2 -23.6 -14.8 -4.5
  Nov 22, 2021 125   @ Georgia Tech L 70-85 4%     0 - 3 -9.7 +0.3 -9.7
  Nov 26, 2021 68   @ Clemson L 59-91 2%     0 - 4 -21.5 -12.1 -7.9
  Nov 28, 2021 214   @ Kennesaw St. L 52-89 9%     0 - 5 -36.9 -24.8 -9.2
  Dec 02, 2021 238   Jacksonville L 56-67 21%     0 - 6 -17.7 -16.7 -0.8
  Dec 05, 2021 171   @ Tarleton St. W 59-57 6%     1 - 6 +4.1 -6.3 +10.5
  Dec 16, 2021 308   Tennessee St. L 75-78 35%     1 - 7 -13.9 -4.6 -9.3
  Dec 20, 2021 267   Manhattan L 75-99 19%     1 - 8 -29.7 -12.9 -13.0
  Dec 21, 2021 346   South Carolina St. L 65-75 44%     1 - 9 -23.4 -20.4 -1.8
  Jan 05, 2022 223   Gardner-Webb L 63-88 18%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -30.4 -12.4 -17.3
  Jan 08, 2022 249   @ UNC Asheville L 59-82 12%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -25.2 -17.2 -7.4
  Jan 12, 2022 225   @ Campbell L 52-67 9%     1 - 12 0 - 3 -15.5 -14.2 -3.7
  Jan 15, 2022 183   Winthrop L 65-70 14%     1 - 13 0 - 4 -8.4 -5.1 -3.8
  Jan 19, 2022 275   High Point W 70-66 28%     2 - 13 1 - 4 -5.0 -0.9 -3.8
  Jan 22, 2022 311   @ South Carolina Upstate L 72-81 19%    
  Jan 26, 2022 299   Presbyterian L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 29, 2022 332   Hampton L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 02, 2022 285   @ Radford L 65-75 15%    
  Feb 05, 2022 187   Longwood L 66-77 15%    
  Feb 09, 2022 272   @ N.C. A&T L 68-79 13%    
  Feb 12, 2022 223   @ Gardner-Webb L 63-78 8%    
  Feb 16, 2022 249   UNC Asheville L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 19, 2022 311   South Carolina Upstate L 74-78 38%    
  Feb 23, 2022 299   @ Presbyterian L 62-71 18%    
  Feb 26, 2022 183   @ Winthrop L 70-87 6%    
Projected Record 4 - 22 3 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.8 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.8 2.7 0.2 7.8 9th
10th 0.2 2.4 7.5 6.3 0.9 0.0 17.2 10th
11th 0.3 5.1 14.2 10.5 2.3 0.1 32.5 11th
12th 7.7 15.7 10.9 2.5 0.1 36.8 12th
Total 8.0 20.9 27.4 21.5 13.1 6.2 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6
9-7 0.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
8-8 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
7-9 2.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.2
6-10 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2
5-11 13.1% 13.1
4-12 21.5% 21.5
3-13 27.4% 27.4
2-14 20.9% 20.9
1-15 8.0% 8.0
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.0%