Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#61
Expected Predictive Rating+5.1#101
Pace70.1#138
Improvement+3.2#54

Offense
Total Offense+9.0#14
First Shot+7.6#13
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#74
Layup/Dunks+1.3#125
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#79
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#79
Freethrows+1.7#65
Improvement+1.1#111

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#189
First Shot-0.4#179
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#188
Layups/Dunks+4.3#32
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#354
Freethrows+2.1#48
Improvement+2.1#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 1.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.1% 23.8% 9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.3% 19.9% 6.5%
Average Seed 10.1 9.5 10.4
.500 or above 56.5% 80.1% 52.8%
.500 or above in Conference 52.4% 77.4% 48.5%
Conference Champion 1.1% 4.8% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.1% 1.3%
First Four2.9% 4.6% 2.7%
First Round9.6% 21.6% 7.8%
Second Round4.1% 10.0% 3.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 2.9% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 13.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 24 - 57 - 13
Quad 36 - 312 - 16
Quad 44 - 117 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 307   Lafayette W 97-63 95%     1 - 0 +23.1 +15.2 +7.0
  Nov 14, 2021 158   Drexel W 75-60 84%     2 - 0 +12.8 +4.7 +9.2
  Nov 20, 2021 129   Colgate L 85-100 79%     2 - 1 -15.0 +6.4 -20.8
  Nov 24, 2021 75   Virginia Commonwealth L 55-67 54%     2 - 2 -4.6 -8.1 +3.6
  Nov 25, 2021 119   Arizona St. W 92-84 69%     3 - 2 +11.4 +20.8 -9.7
  Nov 26, 2021 8   Auburn L 68-89 19%     3 - 3 -3.2 +4.0 -7.3
  Nov 30, 2021 27   Indiana W 112-110 2OT 44%     4 - 3 +12.1 +17.0 -5.5
  Dec 04, 2021 42   @ Florida St. W 63-60 33%     5 - 3 1 - 0 +15.9 -2.2 +18.1
  Dec 07, 2021 6   Villanova L 53-67 19%     5 - 4 +3.9 -5.5 +7.8
  Dec 11, 2021 155   @ Georgetown L 75-79 70%     5 - 5 -1.0 +2.6 -3.7
  Dec 27, 2021 181   Brown W 93-62 86%     6 - 5 +27.7 +17.5 +9.3
  Dec 29, 2021 229   Cornell W 80-68 90%     7 - 5 +6.1 +0.4 +5.4
  Jan 01, 2022 67   Virginia L 69-74 61%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +0.5 +7.8 -7.9
  Jan 05, 2022 58   @ Miami (FL) L 87-88 40%     7 - 7 1 - 2 +10.1 +11.9 -1.8
  Jan 08, 2022 49   @ Wake Forest L 74-77 OT 35%     7 - 8 1 - 3 +9.4 +1.7 +7.9
  Jan 11, 2022 139   Pittsburgh W 77-61 81%     8 - 8 2 - 3 +15.0 +16.6 +0.9
  Jan 15, 2022 42   Florida St. L 71-76 52%     8 - 9 2 - 4 +2.8 +10.5 -8.2
  Jan 18, 2022 68   Clemson W 91-78 61%     9 - 9 3 - 4 +18.5 +17.3 +0.8
  Jan 22, 2022 10   @ Duke L 73-84 14%    
  Jan 25, 2022 139   @ Pittsburgh W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 29, 2022 49   Wake Forest W 78-77 56%    
  Feb 02, 2022 97   @ North Carolina St. W 78-77 48%    
  Feb 05, 2022 86   Louisville W 76-72 67%    
  Feb 08, 2022 138   @ Boston College W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 12, 2022 32   @ Virginia Tech L 68-74 28%    
  Feb 19, 2022 138   Boston College W 79-70 82%    
  Feb 21, 2022 125   Georgia Tech W 77-69 79%    
  Feb 23, 2022 65   @ Notre Dame L 74-76 41%    
  Feb 26, 2022 10   Duke L 76-82 31%    
  Feb 28, 2022 34   @ North Carolina L 79-85 29%    
  Mar 05, 2022 58   Miami (FL) W 80-78 60%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 1.9 0.2 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.7 1.0 0.0 5.6 4th
5th 0.1 3.5 3.3 0.2 7.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 6.3 1.3 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 5.7 4.3 0.3 10.9 7th
8th 0.2 3.9 7.7 1.4 0.0 13.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 8.1 3.6 0.1 14.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 6.0 5.3 0.5 12.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.8 1.1 0.0 9.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 3.1 1.5 0.1 6.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.0 0.1 3.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 15th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.7 8.5 14.7 19.3 19.4 16.4 10.1 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-5 83.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 40.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 8.0% 92.0% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.3% 95.2% 16.3% 78.9% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.3%
14-6 1.5% 86.7% 13.4% 73.3% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 84.7%
13-7 4.7% 62.1% 10.7% 51.4% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.8 57.6%
12-8 10.1% 34.3% 7.1% 27.2% 10.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.0 6.6 29.3%
11-9 16.4% 11.0% 3.3% 7.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.1 14.6 8.0%
10-10 19.4% 3.9% 2.4% 1.5% 11.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 18.6 1.5%
9-11 19.3% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 19.0 0.0%
8-12 14.7% 1.4% 1.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.5
7-13 8.5% 0.8% 0.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 8.4
6-14 3.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 3.7
5-15 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.1% 3.0% 8.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.9 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 88.9 8.3%