Harvard
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#179
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#175
Pace69.3#157
Improvement-3.0#303

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#177
First Shot+1.4#137
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#283
Layup/Dunks-1.6#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#18
Freethrows-1.8#304
Improvement+0.2#162

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#190
First Shot-1.6#234
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#96
Layups/Dunks+0.6#159
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#225
Freethrows-1.0#266
Improvement-3.3#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 16.3% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 86.7% 95.5% 78.2%
.500 or above in Conference 70.6% 84.8% 56.8%
Conference Champion 11.1% 16.5% 5.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.7% 3.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round10.9% 16.3% 5.7%
Second Round0.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Away) - 49.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 33 - 53 - 7
Quad 49 - 212 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 90   @ Iona L 87-90 OT 18%     0 - 1 +5.9 +1.3 +5.2
  Nov 17, 2021 255   @ Albany W 60-53 57%     1 - 1 +4.5 -4.0 +9.3
  Nov 22, 2021 246   @ Siena L 69-72 55%     1 - 2 -5.1 -5.4 +0.5
  Nov 24, 2021 129   Colgate W 89-84 OT 47%     2 - 2 +5.0 +1.1 +3.2
  Nov 27, 2021 217   Northeastern W 77-57 66%     3 - 2 +15.0 +1.5 +13.3
  Dec 01, 2021 89   Rhode Island L 57-64 33%     3 - 3 -3.1 -10.0 +6.7
  Dec 04, 2021 154   @ Massachusetts L 77-87 36%     3 - 4 -7.0 +3.4 -10.7
  Dec 19, 2021 344   Holy Cross W 62-54 91%     4 - 4 -7.6 -12.6 +5.9
  Dec 21, 2021 248   Howard W 77-69 73%     5 - 4 +0.9 -6.5 +6.8
  Jan 07, 2022 181   Brown L 73-84 60%     5 - 5 0 - 1 -14.3 +3.5 -18.2
  Jan 15, 2022 337   @ Columbia W 91-82 79%     6 - 5 1 - 1 -0.2 +9.4 -10.0
  Jan 17, 2022 243   @ Dartmouth W 60-59 55%     7 - 5 2 - 1 -1.0 -4.6 +3.8
  Jan 22, 2022 229   @ Cornell W 78-77 49%    
  Jan 28, 2022 211   Penn W 74-70 66%    
  Feb 04, 2022 181   @ Brown L 68-70 39%    
  Feb 05, 2022 134   @ Yale L 70-75 30%    
  Feb 09, 2022 134   Yale L 72-73 50%    
  Feb 12, 2022 211   @ Penn L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 18, 2022 337   Columbia W 80-66 90%    
  Feb 19, 2022 229   Cornell W 80-75 70%    
  Feb 26, 2022 144   @ Princeton L 71-75 33%    
  Mar 05, 2022 243   Dartmouth W 68-62 74%    
Projected Record 12 - 10 7 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.3 2.9 4.8 2.7 0.5 11.1 1st
2nd 0.3 5.6 9.5 3.7 0.4 19.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 6.2 12.0 3.7 0.3 22.3 3rd
4th 0.1 3.4 11.1 2.9 0.1 17.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.7 8.6 3.6 0.1 14.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.1 3.5 0.2 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.1 0.3 5.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 8th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.4 9.0 16.0 21.4 20.7 16.0 8.8 3.1 0.5 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
11-3 88.3% 2.7    2.0 0.7 0.0
10-4 54.4% 4.8    1.9 2.4 0.4 0.0
9-5 17.8% 2.9    0.3 1.3 1.1 0.2
8-6 1.2% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 11.1% 11.1 4.7 4.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.5% 100.0% 100.0% 13.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-3 3.1% 88.3% 88.3% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.9 0.0 0.4
10-4 8.8% 54.4% 54.4% 14.7 0.1 1.6 2.8 0.3 4.0
9-5 16.0% 17.4% 17.4% 15.1 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.7 13.3
8-6 20.7% 0.5% 0.5% 15.3 0.1 0.0 20.6
7-7 21.4% 21.4
6-8 16.0% 16.0
5-9 9.0% 9.0
4-10 3.4% 3.4
3-11 0.8% 0.8
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.8 3.6 5.4 1.1 89.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 13.4 5.0 52.5 41.4 1.1
Lose Out 0.1%