Brown
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#181
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#195
Pace69.3#158
Improvement-3.7#322

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#230
First Shot-1.5#232
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#221
Layup/Dunks-2.9#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#229
Freethrows+1.0#100
Improvement-1.8#286

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#136
First Shot+0.6#160
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#121
Layups/Dunks-0.4#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#183
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#83
Freethrows-1.6#284
Improvement-1.8#280
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.1% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 31.6% 37.3% 12.2%
.500 or above in Conference 57.3% 64.5% 32.7%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.7% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 2.0% 15.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round2.6% 3.1% 0.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Away) - 77.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 34 - 44 - 11
Quad 49 - 413 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 34   @ North Carolina L 87-94 9%     0 - 1 +7.0 +18.0 -11.0
  Nov 14, 2021 343   Central Connecticut St. W 75-57 91%     1 - 1 +2.6 -0.7 +4.4
  Nov 19, 2021 45   Creighton L 57-78 15%     1 - 2 -10.8 -12.4 +2.5
  Nov 20, 2021 117   Bradley W 65-62 34%     2 - 2 +6.5 +1.4 +5.4
  Nov 22, 2021 69   Colorado L 52-54 21%     2 - 3 +5.8 -13.4 +19.1
  Nov 26, 2021 227   Bryant L 59-65 68%     2 - 4 -11.7 -18.2 +6.5
  Nov 28, 2021 241   @ Quinnipiac W 72-61 55%     3 - 4 +9.1 -7.1 +15.5
  Dec 01, 2021 262   @ Umass Lowell W 73-63 58%     4 - 4 +7.2 -2.1 +8.8
  Dec 05, 2021 284   Sacred Heart W 79-66 80%     5 - 4 +3.3 +2.0 +1.8
  Dec 07, 2021 289   @ Merrimack W 76-56 66%     6 - 4 +15.0 +9.0 +7.4
  Dec 10, 2021 79   Vermont L 65-70 30%     6 - 5 -0.3 -4.0 +3.6
  Dec 27, 2021 61   @ Syracuse L 62-93 14%     6 - 6 -20.1 -12.0 -7.2
  Dec 30, 2021 70   @ Maryland L 67-81 15%     6 - 7 -3.8 -2.5 -0.8
  Jan 02, 2022 211   @ Penn L 73-77 46%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -3.8 -3.3 -0.3
  Jan 07, 2022 179   @ Harvard W 84-73 40%     7 - 8 1 - 1 +12.8 +15.6 -2.2
  Jan 08, 2022 243   @ Dartmouth L 46-58 55%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -14.0 -20.1 +4.6
  Jan 15, 2022 144   @ Princeton L 74-76 34%     7 - 10 1 - 3 +1.6 +3.9 -2.4
  Jan 17, 2022 134   Yale L 63-66 49%     7 - 11 1 - 4 -3.5 -8.3 +4.8
  Jan 22, 2022 337   @ Columbia W 75-67 77%    
  Jan 29, 2022 229   Cornell W 78-73 71%    
  Feb 04, 2022 179   Harvard W 70-68 61%    
  Feb 05, 2022 243   Dartmouth W 66-60 73%    
  Feb 12, 2022 229   @ Cornell W 76-75 49%    
  Feb 18, 2022 144   Princeton W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 19, 2022 211   Penn W 72-68 67%    
  Feb 26, 2022 337   Columbia W 77-64 90%    
  Mar 05, 2022 134   @ Yale L 68-73 29%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.5 1.2 3.0 1st
2nd 0.3 4.6 5.8 0.8 11.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 6.6 11.4 2.3 0.0 20.5 3rd
4th 0.1 4.9 14.1 3.5 0.0 22.7 4th
5th 0.1 2.6 11.3 4.6 0.1 18.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 7.0 5.1 0.2 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.8 3.2 0.3 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 1.7 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.6 6.1 13.0 21.7 25.7 19.9 9.7 2.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 58.7% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
9-5 16.0% 1.5    0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2
8-6 1.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 2.1% 54.9% 54.9% 14.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.9
9-5 9.7% 12.7% 12.7% 15.2 0.0 0.9 0.3 8.4
8-6 19.9% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.2 19.7
7-7 25.7% 25.7
6-8 21.7% 21.7
5-9 13.0% 13.0
4-10 6.1% 6.1
3-11 1.6% 1.6
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.6 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.1% 54.9% 14.6 1.4 20.5 31.5 1.4