Dartmouth
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#243
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#280
Pace62.0#331
Improvement-0.5#197

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#284
First Shot-3.5#278
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#231
Layup/Dunks-4.1#316
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#252
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#32
Freethrows-3.2#346
Improvement-0.3#192

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#182
First Shot-1.3#217
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#106
Layups/Dunks-1.7#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#89
Freethrows+0.7#139
Improvement-0.2#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.6% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 1.3% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 23.0% 38.4% 12.7%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 19.8% 10.4% 26.1%
First Four0.5% 1.2% 0.1%
First Round0.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Princeton (Home) - 40.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 83 - 12
Quad 44 - 57 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 138   @ Boston College L 57-73 21%     0 - 1 -11.9 -8.7 -4.7
  Nov 13, 2021 155   @ Georgetown W 69-60 24%     1 - 1 +12.0 -3.6 +15.7
  Nov 28, 2021 227   @ Bryant W 63-61 OT 35%     2 - 1 +1.3 -12.4 +13.7
  Dec 01, 2021 79   @ Vermont L 65-83 10%     2 - 2 -8.3 +2.3 -12.0
  Dec 04, 2021 221   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 68-78 OT 34%     2 - 3 -10.3 -15.9 +7.0
  Dec 08, 2021 241   Quinnipiac L 69-72 59%     2 - 4 -9.9 -0.2 -10.1
  Dec 11, 2021 198   Boston University L 62-65 48%     2 - 5 -7.1 -6.0 -1.4
  Dec 16, 2021 76   @ Stanford L 78-89 OT 10%     2 - 6 -1.1 +5.9 -6.2
  Dec 19, 2021 107   @ California L 55-61 14%     2 - 7 +0.9 -4.9 +4.9
  Dec 21, 2021 228   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 57-61 36%     2 - 8 -4.9 -6.6 +1.2
  Jan 02, 2022 229   @ Cornell L 71-79 36%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -8.9 -4.3 -4.6
  Jan 08, 2022 181   Brown W 58-46 45%     3 - 9 1 - 1 +8.7 -7.4 +17.7
  Jan 15, 2022 211   @ Penn L 68-78 32%     3 - 10 1 - 2 -9.8 -2.4 -7.9
  Jan 17, 2022 179   Harvard L 59-60 45%     3 - 11 1 - 3 -4.2 -8.5 +4.2
  Jan 22, 2022 144   Princeton L 66-69 40%    
  Jan 29, 2022 337   @ Columbia W 69-64 65%    
  Feb 04, 2022 134   @ Yale L 61-70 19%    
  Feb 05, 2022 181   @ Brown L 60-66 27%    
  Feb 12, 2022 144   @ Princeton L 63-71 21%    
  Feb 18, 2022 229   Cornell W 71-70 57%    
  Feb 19, 2022 337   Columbia W 71-61 82%    
  Feb 22, 2022 134   Yale L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 26, 2022 211   Penn W 67-66 53%    
  Mar 05, 2022 179   @ Harvard L 62-68 26%    
Projected Record 7 - 17 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.2 1st
2nd 0.2 2.1 1.3 0.1 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.6 3.4 0.3 7.4 3rd
4th 0.1 3.5 7.3 0.8 11.8 4th
5th 0.1 3.3 10.5 2.6 0.0 16.5 5th
6th 0.2 3.9 12.6 6.1 0.1 22.9 6th
7th 0.4 5.8 12.8 7.1 0.5 26.6 7th
8th 0.5 3.0 4.6 1.8 0.1 10.0 8th
Total 0.5 3.4 10.6 18.6 23.2 20.7 13.9 6.4 2.2 0.5 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
10-4 73.5% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
9-5 28.4% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
8-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 15.0 0.1
10-4 0.5% 60.1% 60.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 0.2
9-5 2.2% 14.2% 14.2% 16.0 0.3 1.9
8-6 6.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.4
7-7 13.9% 13.9
6-8 20.7% 20.7
5-9 23.2% 23.2
4-10 18.6% 18.6
3-11 10.6% 10.6
2-12 3.4% 3.4
1-13 0.5% 0.5
0-14
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.6 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.0 100.0
Lose Out 0.5%